It’s the final State of Origin and there’s plenty to be excited about. A Series Decider, at Lang Park with a fierce/feral local crowd, and more re-runs of that Westpac ad. Not for the first time in 2024 Gus Gould makes sense. But as with any major sporting tournament or celebration The Gurgler is here to overthink and over-analyse it all with stats that may or may not matter. So talking about all that, here is our 2024 State of Origin Game 3 Stats Summary.
While the NRL is still in reserve grade mode, many ask whether the State of Origin hype is worth it, and to a degree we can’t wait for the Origin series to end so the NRL might not be ignored as much. But all agree that our 2024 State of Origin Game 3 Stats Summary certainly is worth the hype. We have stats, visuals, historic H2H plus we used as many stats as we think are useful to predict not only the winner, but the score. Who else offers such a service. Enjoy.
2024 State of Origin Game 3 Stats Prediction
Here’s our big ticket item before you get distracted and get sucked into the clickbait on Fox Sports – our Game 3 Predictions – which uses a lot of the stats we’ll dive into later.
2024 State of Origin Game 3 Best Bet
SAME GAME MULTI
QLD to win
Total Points Over 42.5
Race to 20 Points – QLD
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow to score anytime
Jeremiah Nanai to score anytime
Brian To’o to score anytime
$1 pays $35 (as per Sportsbet 10/7)
2024 State of Origin Game 3 Stats Summary
Here we dive into the history and stats of the first game of the Origin series and games at the Sydney Olympic Stadium.
State of Origin Game 3 Record
- Queensland lead 27-13 overall for Game Three with two draws.
- Since 2010 the H2H for Game Three is QLD 11 NSW 3. It’s QLD 17 NSW 7 overall for Game Three at Suncorp Stadium.
- Queensland have won the last eight games at Suncorp Stadium when it hosts Game Three.
- Game Three for Queensland is the only Game/State where the average points scored is over 20 in Origin history.
- Game Three is the highest scoring game on average with 37 points, above Game One/Two at 31 points.
Does one team have the advantage heading into a decider?
Yes. Queensland.
- The Maroons lead 15-5 for live Game Three Series Deciders, with two draws.
- When the series decider is played at Suncorp Stadium it is nine wins to two and Queensland have won the last six occurrences.
- Queensland are ahead nine wins to three for winning Game Three when they have won Game One regardless of where either Game One or Game Three have been played.
- Whenever Queensland have won Game One at the Sydney Olympic Stadium, they have won the series on all four occasions.
- Finally, Queensland have won seven series in a row when the first game is at the Sydney Olympic Stadium, regardless of Queensland’s Game One result or where Game Three is played.
State of Origin Record @ Lang Park
QLD definitely hold the upper hand overall, as one would expect.
- Queensland have won six of the last seven games at Suncorp Stadium
- Queensland have won eight in a row at Lang Park when it hosts Game Three.
Key State of Origin Player Comparisons
Here we take the Game Three squads and compare some of the key battles from the NRL 2024 stats side by side.
DAVID FIFITA VS KURT CAPEWELL
The biggest talking point in the squad announcement, and here are the 2024 NRL Season stats that give weight to Fifita’s claims to be in the Game Three side.
FULLBACKS
The ever reliable Dylan Edwards vs the showman that is Reece Walsh.
CENTRES
Two new centres are in for Game Three, so time for a quick recap on their 2024 NRL stats.
SECOND ROWERS
The Blues second rowers were among the best on field. But can they do it again, let’s look at the 2024 NRL Stats.
