Welcome to our 2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 + Stats Preview – a meandering look into the upcoming weekend of Premier League football.
We not only provide our predictions for the upcoming GW11 Premier League fixtures, but offer up a wide range of H2H and in-season stats and barely interesting facts.
Enough to keep one busy for a while anyway.
So please accept and enjoy our 2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 + Stats Preview.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Our Selections
Here are our fearless predictions for the fixtures ahead, and tune in below for all the stats and barely interesting stats that go along with them.
Our tips have been terrible the last few game weeks so is due a turnaround.
Southampton 2 Aston Villa 1
Man Utd 1 Man City 3
Brentford 2 Norwich 0
Chelsea 2 Burnley 0
Crystal Palace 1 Wolves 1
Brighton 3 Newcastle 0
Arsenal 3 Watford 0
Everton 0 Spurs 2
Leeds 1 Leicester 2
West Ham 2 Liverpool 1
Season Progress – 43% – 43/100 – 16 Correct scores
Last Week – 2 / 10 – 0 Correct score
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Season Summary
Here are the league table stats in a different way.
Results colour coded. Goals stats. And a look at who each team is getting their points against.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Stats Corner
Before we get into our in depth game by game preview, here are some key season stats so far.
We have shots and passes, saves and touches. Expected goals and more. Stats are taken from our in depth analysis into Fantasy Premier League.
You can find all our FPL stuff here at All Fantasy Football
We have our own fixture difficulty rating system we use for FPL purposes, but as part of that we measure which teams should have got the points vs the points they have actually won for this season. The Summary is below, but read more here 21-22 EPL Fixture Difficulty.
Read more on our 21-22 Clean Sheets Stats analysis. The summary is below.
Here are the Expected goals stats, plus a quick look at which team is outperforming and underperforming.
Stats courtesy of Understat website.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Selecta3000 Predictions
As an alternative to our own predictions which involve relentless form study, stats analysis, and finger in the air educated guesswork, here is our Selecta3000 tips which are based on cramming as many stats in as we could manage then letting the computer work out a % win from there.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Match by Match Stats Previews
Our big, beautiful full visual preview of each game is below.
More stats than you could probably ever want or need, for now.
FRIDAY 8:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
It’s Friday night football.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Southampton have scored ten goals in their last three trips to Aston Villa, yet have scored only three in three at home to Villa.
These teams have never met on a Friday. Southampton have won 50% of the 14 midweek games.
Only Norwich have scored fewer goals v non top six sides this season than Southampton.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Southampton 2 Aston Villa 1
SATURDAY 12:30PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
It’s a Manchester derby for the early game, and with added Ronaldo and both clubs having the occasional wobble this season it should be great.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Between league games and the League Cup, the home side has scored in just one game (2 goals and the only home win in six) in the last six meetings between these clubs. The last two have been won 2-0 by the away side. There have been just seven goals in total during that six game run.
Going back to 2006, Man Utd have lost just one of eight clashes v Man City on a Saturday. Their record is W6 D1 L1.
Last weekend’s loss to Crystal Palace was the first time this season in the league that Man City’s xG was under 1.0 for the game.
Man City have the lowest expected goals against this season at 6.9.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Man Utd 1 Man City 3
SATURDAY 3:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Brentford home games tend to be exciting, but Norwich are dreadful to watch at the moment.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Brentford are in 12th place, with 12 points, and have scored and conceded 12 goals.
Since Covid shut down the Premier League in 2020, Norwich have scored two points, four goals and conceded 48 goals in 19 Premier League games.
Norwich are unbeaten in the last five games v Brentford (W3 D2). Make that six in a row at Brentford too (W3 D3) with Brentford’s last home win v Norwich coming in 2009. In League One.
Brentford last beat Norwich at home on a Saturday in 1958 in the Third Division South.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Brentford 2 Norwich 0
SATURDAY 3:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Because Burnley are on a one game winning streak, and Chelsea do tend to beat bottom six teams very easily at home.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Chelsea (W6 D1) are unbeaten in their last seven games v Burnley.
Chelsea lead the way for clean sheets this season with seven. Four away and three at home.
Chelsea are well out in front for scoring more goals than their xG says they should (+7 goals).
Burnley averaged just one goal scored every three games v big six clubs last season.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Chelsea 2 Burnley 0
SATURDAY 3:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Both of these teams are travelling nicely now, and giant killing Crystal Palace are real surprises.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Wolves are 1/1 for trips to London this season.
The away side hasn’t scored a goal in the last three clashes between these sides.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Crystal Palace 1 Wolves 1
SATURDAY 5:30PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Brighton looked super against Liverpool last weekend. And one does wonder if Newcastle will be the world’s richest second division sporting team.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Brighton and Newcastle have both drawn both of their matches v bottom six teams this season.
Brighton are undefeated in their last eight matches v Newcastle. (W4 D4)
In their last four trips to Brighton Newcastle have scored one goal in total.
Brighton have lost just one of their last 10 clashes with Newcastle on a Saturday. (W5 D4 L1)
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Brighton 3 Newcastle 0
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Watford are due to do something soon surely. And Arsenal’s life is going way to smoothly at the moment.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Arsenal have won three straight at home v Watford.
Watford and Arsenal have played five times on a Sunday, and Watford have scored exactly two goals in four of those five games. And won only once.
These teams have met in November twice. Watford have won both games.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Arsenal 3 Watford 0
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Spurs have a shiny new manager,
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Spurs are unbeaten in their last eight trips to Everton. (W3 D5)
These teams have met 10 times in November at Everton. Everton have won just one game. In 1961.
Everton are two losses from two games v London sides.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Everton 0 Spurs 2
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Both sides are interesting.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
The home side has won just three of the last 17 games.
Leeds (W2 D2) are unbeaten in the last four Sunday clashes between these sides.
Leicester have won the last two matches between these sides at Leeds and five of the last six.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Leeds 1 Leicester 2
SUNDAY 4:30PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Premium timeslot for a premium game.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Liverpool have won the last four league matches v West Ham and undefeated in ten. It actually follows a pattern – WWWWDWWWWD.
Liverpool have outscored West Ham by 14-3 in their last five trips to West Ham.
Liverpool (W5 D2) are unbeaten in the last seven games v West Ham on a Sunday.
Liverpool’s last loss in the league in London was v Arsenal in the 19/20 season.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
West Ham 2 Liverpool 1
