Sadly Coronavirus is back affecting rugby league and so with those worries around we are here to help people with their NRL tips for this week and every week. So we offer you our Alternative NRL Round 4 Tips Alternative for this week.
Instead of allowing the competition admin to give you the away teams for when you don’t care about who you tip, why not take on board our weekly Alternative NRL Tipping method instead.
Each week there’s a new theme, and occasionally it will have nothing to do with rugby league. Just the way we like it. This week is all about Easter and the team’s record for the Easter weekend round.
In addition to that is a whole bunch of barely interesting stats for the round of NRL ahead. Impress your friends and / or family by stealing them and sharing.
Good luck with your Alternative NRL Round 4 Tips.
NRL Round 4 Tips Alternative – Gurgler v Easter
So here are this week’s alternative tips. The method to how it works is below.
METHOD TO THE MADNESS
It’s easy. Get every game played over an Easter weekend from 1998, and the side with the best winning % gets the tip because they are historically more likely to win.
NRL Round 4 Tips – Our Selections
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NRL Tipping Scoreboard
US – 71% – 17/24
ALTERNATIVE TIPS
FIRST ROUND FORM – 4/8
FULLBACKS – 5/8
INJURIES @ RD 3 – 6/8
NRL Round 4 Tips – Barely Interesting Stats
- Manly have beaten Penrith just twice in the last 11 meetings and five of the last six at Brookvale.
- Penrith have won their past five away games against Sydney opposition, and by the healthy margin of 187-48. Excluding finals the Panthers are on a nine games run away from home as well.
- Penrith have also won nine of their last ten Thursday games. Manly are 3/9 overall on a Thursday but won their last two. It helps one game was against the Broncos.
- Bulldogs have won just one of their last eleven matches v Sydney opposition, but that one win was Souths.
- Melbourne have lost just twice to Brisbane in 20 games since 2011. Those two wins have both comes in Melbourne.
- Melbourne have won 11 in a row at home to Qld opposition.
- The Storm’s home record on a Friday night is 83%, the next best is Canberra with 69%. Although we are unsure how many of those games have been on Channel Nein but could predict. For the record Wests Tigers have the worst home record on a Friday and are the only team under 50% win rate.
- Cronulla have won six in a row v Queensland opposition.
- Cowboys have lost seven in a row in NSW and 10 of their last 11 and 14 of their last 16. They have also lost all but one of their last 12 matches v Sydney opposition home or away.
- Titans have won four in a row v NSW opposition, three of those have been on the road.
- Canberra have won eight of their last nine games v Qld teams.
- Newcastle have only beaten St George Illawarra 5/22 at home since 1998.
- St George Illawarra have won just once in their last nine away games to NSW sides.
- Warriors have won just one of their last six away trips to a Sydney sides on a Sunday.
- Parramatta are undefeated against the Wests Tigers at Bankwest in four starts.
- Wests Tigers have won just once in their last nine home games v Sydney opposition.
- Wests Tigers are 2/8 when using Bankwest as a home ground.
NRL Round 4 Tips – Barely Interesting Graphs
EASTER WEEKEND FORM
Here is the full visual that served as the basis of this week’s alternative NRL Round 4 Tips.
Further on we have a look at which particular day of the Easter weekend each team wins on.
Interestingly current NRL powerhouse Penrith have the worst record when the Easter bunny is around, and the Tigers are down the lower end of the Easter winning ladder. Maybe it’s a jealous cat thing.
We guess you call it ironic that South Sydney don’t fare very well either.
A Dragons isn’t very Easter like either, so maybe that’s why St George Illawarra are top of the Easter winning %.
MONDAY FORM
Since this round has a Monday game, we look back on the form of each team on a Monday since 1998.
FRIDAY FORM
After discovering the outstanding home form of the Melbourne Storm, we thought we’d look at every team’s Friday home form.
The Storm are best by a mile, and the Tigers are the only team under 50% win rate for Friday.
