If you’re struggling to keep up with which game week it is, or which competition is on, who is injured, and if Liverpool will ever win again. Same for us. But that will never stop our Premier League Predictions Week 28 and Preview.
Our preview ambles through the available Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading.
So many games, it’s going to feel like unlimited football or football overdose. Either way is fine by us.
This week the big game is in north London for historic reasons, but you could argue that Man Utd v West Ham is more interesting.
For now, come for the predictions and stay for the Premier League Predictions Week 28.
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
FRIDAY 8:00PM UK
NEWCASTLE v ASTON VILLA
MATCH STATS
Why Newcastle can win
Newcastle are unbeaten in nine games at home to Aston Villa that haven’t been played on Saturday or Sunday.
Aston Villa have not won any of their last three against bottom six sides.
Why Aston Villa can win.
Newcastle have won 1/7 v Midlands teams this season.
Barely Interesting Stat:
The last Friday game between these sides was played in 1953. For the record Newcastle rule the Friday H2H 2-1 and so does the away team.
Aston Villa have scored two goals and won one game in four since Jack Grealish has been out.
We Say….
Newcastle 0 Aston Villa 2
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SATURDAY 12:30PM UK
LEEDS v CHELSEA
MATCH STATS
Why Leeds can win
Leeds have only lost one of four matches at home to London sides.
Leeds have only been beaten by Man City for expected goals since February. Chelsea are fractionally behind in third.
Why Chelsea can win.
Leeds have lost all four home matches to the big four. And are D1 L6 to the big six teams.
Chelsea now have the longest unbeaten streak with 9 games.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Chelsea are unbeaten at home to middle eight teams, but not quite as good away to middle eight teams (W2 D2 L1)
The last nine matches at Leeds has ended (most recent result first) Chelsea Draw Leeds Chelsea Draw Leeds Chelsea Draw Leeds.
Chelsea have only won 3/35 Saturday games v Leeds in Leeds.
We Say….
Leeds 2 Chelsea 4
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SATURDAY 3:00PM UK
CRYSTAL PALACE v WEST BROM
MATCH STATS
Why Crystal Palace can win
West Brom have won just once in 19 matches v sides outside of the top six.
West Brom have drawn two and lost six v London sides this year.
Crystal Palace have won the last three games v West Brom.
Why West Brom can win.
The home side haven’t scored a goal in the last three matches.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Crystal Palace have the worst expected goals score since January 1 this season, and by some distance. They are four expected goals behind next worst Newcastle. Meanwhile Man City are the top team for expected goals since January 1, and have an expected goals score ten goals higher than next best Man Utd and 24 goals better than Crystal Palace. It hasn’t stopped Crystal Palace from going OK – their record is W4 D3 L5,
Crystal Palace have played the most games against the bottom six sides this season. Their record isn’t bad either (W8 D2 L2). Remembering bottom six is at time of playing.
We Say….
Crystal Palace 1 West Brom 1
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SATURDAY 5:30PM UK
EVERTON v BURNLEY
MATCH STATS
Why Everton can win
Everton have won five of the six games played at Goodison v Burnley in the Premier League era.
Everton have won three of their last four and Burnley have won none of the last five.
Why Burnley can win.
Burnley are W2 D1 from the last three matches v Everton on a Saturday.
Burnley have won one and lost one v Top six sides away this season.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Both sides have won only once this season v North West sides. Burnley have scored only two goals in total.
We Say….
Everton 3 Burnley 0
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SATURDAY 8:00PM UK
FULHAM v MAN CITY
MATCH STATS
Why Fulham can win
Man City have only lost one match to a London side this year, and that was away against a side wearing a white shirt.
Why Man City can win.
Fulham haven’t scored against Man City in the last six meetings and have conceded 18 goals. The last time they did score against Man City was in 2013 where they lost 2-4.
Man City have won the last eight straight on a Saturday v Fulham.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Only four sides have yet to lose to a bottom six side this season. Man City, West Ham, Burnley and Fulham.
We Say….
Fulham 1 Man City 1
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SUNDAY 12:00PM UK
SOUTHAMPTON v BRIGHTON
MATCH STATS
Why Southampton can win
Southampton are unbeaten in eight games v Brighton.
Why Brighton can win.
Brighton (W1 D1) are unbeaten in games v Southampton on a Sunday,
Barely Interesting Stat:
Brighton are the only team yet to beat a bottom six side but have drawn all but one of their seven meeting v bottom six.
We Say….
Southampton 2 Brighton 0
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SUNDAY 2:00PM UK
LEICESTER v SHEFFIELD UTD
MATCH STATS
Why Leicester can win
Leicester (W7 D2 L1) have lost only one fixture against the bottom six teams this season.
Sheffield Utd have won 1/7 against the top six.
Leicester have won six in a row v Sheffield Utd.
Why Sheffield Utd can win.
Sheffield Utd won the last game between these side in March in 1996.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Leeds have conceded three more goals against the top six than Sheffield Utd who have conceded just one more goal v top six than Liverpool.
Sheffield Utd have not scored a goal or a point v midlands sides away.
There has only been one game between these sides on a Sunday. Leicester won it in December a few months ago.
We Say….
Leicester 3 Sheffield Utd 0
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SATURDAY 4:30PM UK
ARSENAL v SPURS
MATCH STATS
Why Arsenal can win
Arsenal (W2 D1) are unbeaten at home to London clubs this season.
Spurs (D2) have not beaten a middle eight team on the road this season. Arsenal (W3 D4 L1) have lost just once.
Why Spurs can win.
Spurs (3) are on the current longest winning streak now Man City have lost a game.
Spurs have won the last two games on a Sunday.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Spurs have only beaten Arsenal once at Arsenal on a Sunday. That was back in 1987 and the first ever Sunday game. Since then it is three draws and nine losses.
Spurs have won only one of their last nine matches v Arsenal in March.
We Say….
Arsenal 2 Spurs 1
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SUNDAY 7:15PM UK
MAN UTD v WEST HAM
MATCH STATS
Why Man Utd can win
Man Utd haven’t lost to West Ham at home since 2007 (W11 D4)
West Ham have only won one of eight games v top six sides this season (L7). Their record is slightly better v big six clubs – still just the one win but three draws in nine.
Why West Ham can win.
Man Utd have won only two of the last eight games played on a Sunday.
Man Utd have won just two of nine v London Clubs. And none at home.
Barely Interesting Stat:
West Ham last beat Manchester Utd away in March in 1964.
We Say….
Man Utd 0 West Ham 2
Premier League Predictions Week 28 – Match by Match
SATURDAY 7:15PM UK
MAN UTD v WEST HAM
MATCH STATS
Why Wolves can win
Liverpool have lost six home games in a row.
Why Liverpool can win.
Liverpool have lost just once to middle eight teams this season.
Wolves have lost all six games against teams from the north west.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Wolves have won the most recent Monday game v Liverpool and won three of the seven overall.
Liverpool are only better than Sheffield Utd on last six form by one goal.
Liverpool have only met once on a Monday in Liverpool, and Liverpool won that only game in 1964.
We Say….
Wolves 0 Liverpool 0.
