2020-2021 Premier League Predictions Week 7 and Preview

FOR THE CURRENT SEASON 21-22 WEEK 7 EPL PREDICTIONS CLICK HERE.

After yet another best weekend of football so far this season, so we need to deliver another quality serving of stats and predictions with our 2020-2021 Premier League Predictions Week 7 and Preview. It will hopefully deliver loads of stats and a decent prediction or two for the discerning football fan. Including a new prediction based on H2H stats.

Should be another great weekend, although we really do miss the Saturday 3pm glut, which was great viewing on the other side of the world.

Leeds v Leicester looks a great way to round off the 7th game week, and Liverpool v West Ham will prove just how 20-21 this season really is.

Our preview ambles through all ten Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading. And if that isn’t enough, we throw in our 2020-21 Premier League Week 7 Predictions for each game.

Come for the stats, stay for the predictions.

Premier League Week 7 Predictions – Preview Summary

H2H stats are for all time unless stated, and other stats are based on last season. 

This week we have included a new prediction feature based on a bunch of stats, which are explained at the end to save you time now.

FRIDAY GAMES

WOLVES v CRYSTAL PALACE

MATCH STATS

Why Wolves can win

Wolves have a higher xG than Crystal Palace.

Wolves have a 100% home record v London clubs this season.

Crystal Palace averaged 0.5 points per game v Midland opposition last season, the worst geographic opponent.

Why Crystal Palace can win.

Not sure if it is a reason they can win or lose, but Zaha attracts fouls like no other, almost at comedy banana skin levels, so it could lead to penalties for the Eagles or yellow cards for reaction.

Crystal Palace have only failed to score twice in the last 12 trips to Wolves. One was the last match in July.

Crystal Palace have won the last two games at Wolves in October.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Wolves have scored and conceded the exact same amount of goals both home and away. Although it has worked out better away than at home. But strangely all four of their away goals came in one game v West Ham.

Why Should We Care

We can foresee either a 0-0 or a late Jiminez goal. Which of course is great if he’s in your FPL side. But for the neutral, it has potential to be dull.

We Say….

Wolves 0 Crystal Palace 0

S&C Computer Says….

DRAW

SATURDAY GAMES

SHEFFIELD UTD v MANCHESTER CITY

MATCH STATS

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Why Sheffield Utd can win

Sheffield United have only been beaten by Man City once in seven games on a Saturday. Make that one in nine home games on a Saturday.

Man City have won just three away matches from their last eight.

Man City also have a terrible record away v sides when the opposition scores first. 

Sheffield Utd’s goals scored is 3.54 under their expected goals. Not sure that means they are due to pick up soon, or they just aren’t going very well.

Why Man City can win.

Sheffield Utd have scored just one goal this season at home.

Sheffield Utd haven’t won any of their last nine EPL matches. One draw is the highlight. Nor their last four at home.

Man City have twice the amount of shots on target per game, and nearly seven more shots per game.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Everton (1st) and Sheffield Utd (19th) have conceded the same amount of goals so far this season. Third last Burnley too.

Sheffield Utd have only beaten Man City once in the league this century. And that was in 2000. Taking in the seven games from 2000, there have only been eight goals scored in total, so not a big scoring game.

Why Should We Care

KDB should be back, which makes Man City a lot more enjoyable to watch. Could this be the week the Blades cut down their awful start to season.

We Say….

Sheffield Utd 0 Man City 2

S&C Computer Says….

MANCHESTER CITY

BURNLEY v CHELSEA

MATCH STATS

Why Burnley can win

Chelsea have won only one of their last five matches away.

Why Chelsea can win.

Chelsea’s expected goals is double that of Burnley’s. Chelsea are well ahead of their xG too, and Burnley is behind.

Burnley are yet to score at home. Or beat Chelsea at home this century – six wins and one draw in seven games for Chelsea.

Chelsea have scored four goals on their last two visits to Burnley.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Burnley haven’t beaten Chelsea at home since 1983. Nor beaten them on a Saturday in October since 1966

Why Should We Care

Because this season means anything could happen. And it’s the only game in the old 3pm Saturday timeslot.

We Say….

Burnley 1 Chelsea 3

S&C Computer Says….

CHELSEA

LIVERPOOL v WEST HAM

MATCH STATS

Why Liverpool can win

Liverpool are averaging 19 shots per game this season. Likely that Mo Salah has a few of them. There is no stat for should have passed v shot on goal.

Liverpool have a 100% record this season against London clubs in two attempts.

Liverpool top the table for teams scoring points after going behind.

Liverpool haven’t been beaten at home for a long, long time.

Liverpool have not been beaten in the last eight league matches v West Ham (6W 2D).

Why West Ham can win.

Liverpool are slightly underperforming against their expected goals. West Ham are the opposite.

West Ham have conceded six fewer goals than Liverpool after six game weeks.

West Ham avoided defeat against both Spurs and Man City in the last few games 

Barely Interesting Stat:

West Ham last won at Liverpool in 2015. Before then it was 1963.

Why Should We Care

Probably the game of the weekend. West Ham’s run looked awful a few weeks ago, but they have held their own and it’s not as if Liverpool are really flying at the moment.

We Say….

Liverpool 2 West Ham 1

S&C Computer Says….

LIVERPOOL

SUNDAY GAMES

ASTON VILLA v SOUTHAMPTON

MATCH STATS

Why Aston Villa can win

Southampton are currently pointless away to top six sides.

Aston Villa have scored twice as many goals at home than Southampton have away. Although, seven of those were against one side.

Why Southampton can win.

Southampton haven’t lost to Aston Villa in their last seven meetings (4W 3D). December 2013 since a 3-2 win away to Southampton for Aston Villa.

Go back an extra nine years to 2004 when Aston Villa last beat Southampton at home.

Their Shots on Target is 10% higher than Aston Villa.

Southampton have a 100% record v midland teams this season.

Barely Interesting Stat:

These teams have only met once on a Sunday, with Aston Villa winning that clash 1-0 in 1997.

Why Should We Care

Two teams that most would have been surprised about being in the top ten at this stage. 

We Say….

Aston Villa 2 Southampton 1

S&C Computer Says….

SOUTHAMPTON

NEWCASTLE v EVERTON

MATCH STATS

Why Newcastle can win

Newcastle have scored more goals at home this season than table topping Everton have away.

Newcastle are unbeaten in their last three away matches v Everton

Why Everton can win.

Newcastle have leaked eight goals at home this season in three matches.

Everton have won three of the past four games at Newcastle.

Everton’s xG is almost double, and their shots on target and % of shots on target (41 % v 28%) were much higher.

Barely Interesting Stat:

The record between these sides on a Sunday is 5W 5D 5L in 15 matches. 

Everton have only beaten Newcastle once 1971 on a Saturday in October.

Why Should We Care

Newcastle can be a bit dull sometimes, but they have the Max. For Everton meanwhile there is interest to see if the early season bubble has burst.

We Say….

Newcastle 0 Everton 2

S&C Computer Says….

EVERTON

MANCHESTER UTD v ARSENAL

MATCH STATS

Why Man Utd can win

Man Utd have taken more than five extra shots per game than Arsenal so far this season.

Arsenal haven’t beaten Man Utd at Old Trafford in the league since 2006, 13 games ago.

Why Arsenal can win.

Man Utd haven’t won any of their last five home games.

Going back to 1980, Man Utd have won just one of six games in October between these sides.

Barely Interesting Stat:

No team has conceded more goals at home this season so far than Man Utd.

Why Should We Care

The big name clash betting the premium timeslot. Much interest in the sides led by former club heroes, especially how low they can go with Arsenal 11th and Man Utd down to 15th.

We Say….

Man Utd 2 Arsenal 0

S&C Computer Says….

MANCHESTER UTD

SPURS v BRIGHTON

MATCH STATS

Why Spurs can win

Kane

Son

Spurs have won the last four games at home, and Brighton have scored just once in those four games.

Why Brighton can win.

Spurs are yet to win at home this season – 2 Draws and a loss.

Brighton have scored more goals away than Spurs have at home.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Brighton have beaten Spurs only once at home in 8 matches. Back in 1981.

Why Should We Care

Son and Kane are becoming the Premier League’s best duo, so enjoy them while they are fit.

We Say….

Spurs 3 Brighton 1

S&C Computer Says….

SPURS

MONDAY GAMES

FULHAM v WEST BROM

MATCH STATS

Why Fulham can win

Fulham’s expected goals is double that of West Brom’s. Although the Baggies are outperforming theirs by three goals while Fulham are underperforming.

West Brom last beat Fulham at Craven Cottage in 1967. A 16 game run without winning (9L 7D)

Why West Brom can win.

Fulham have scored one goal at home this season, which is one number higher than the home points they have amassed.

West Brom scored three goals the last time they played a London side this season.

Fulham haven’t beaten West Brom on a Monday in two attempts.

Barely Interesting Stat:

The last four league games between Fulham and West Brom have ended in a draw, and six of the last eight.

Why Should We Care

Because who doesn’t want to see a bottom four clash, and a window into what could well be a six pointer later in the season.

We Say….

Fulham 1 West Brom 2

S&C Computer Says….

WEST BROM

LEEDS v LEICESTER

MATCH STATS

Why Leeds can win

Leeds average five more shots per game than Leicester. And with Patrick Bamfiord on fire that could be a worry.

Leeds just blew away Aston Villa at home, a side who had a 100% record to that point.

Why Leicester can win.

Leicester are 3/3 on the road this season.

Leicester have conceded just two goals on the road this season. Which is second best for the season behind Aston Villa’s 0.

Leeds are 0/1 against midlands teams at home this season.

Leeds have won just 1/6 of these clashes at home.

Leicester have won two of the last three Monday clashes between these sides, but none of the preceding seven.

Barely Interesting Stat:

The home side has won just two of the last 13 league clashes.

Leicester have won both of the last clashes in October 2-1 away from home.

Why Should We Care

After slightly surprising away wins last time out, one which included a Bamford hat trick, this game should be plenty entertaining and a good way to round out the weekend.

We Say….

Leeds 1 Leicester 2

S&C Computer Says….

LEICESTER

NEW FEATURE – S&C 3000 SUPER COMPUTER PREDICTIONS

With so many stats available we decided to use them to determine winners.

In addition to our Premier League Predictions Week 7 we thought we’d go a little more data based.

When we say Super Computer, it is really Excel, but that’s just between you and us.

For each different stat we compare the result for both sides, and then come up with a share of 100% of each stat.

The overall winning % is an average of all the individual stats.

If the result happened to be in the middle 5% (47.5% to 52.5%) then we declare that one a draw.

The data fields used are as below. We only feature the more interesting one on the visual as most of the fields are available elsewhere.

Current Form Last Three (points per game PPG)
Current PPG (All Season) 
Expected Goals
Expected Goals Difference
Expected Points
Goals Conceded PG
Goals Scored PG
Shot On Target PG
Shots On Target %
Who Scored Rating
TotalShots PG
Points Won After Going Behind
Assist PG
H2H Overall
H2H Last 10
H2H Home v Away