NRL Round 16 Betting Preview & Stats

Here is our big NRL Betting Round 16 Tips and Stats Preview, with a focus on betting and stats.

For those who like a punt, or just a stats fan in general,, we have a load of good gear below. With the finest in big price same game multis to chew on.

Grab your pencils, and get ready for some “quality” NRL Betting Round 15 tips and loads of barely interesting facts to help you choose.

PARRAMATTA EELS v SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS

Better to be lucky than good, as the NRL have lucked in with Thursday night’s clash a good one between two in-form sides with minimal injuries. Although, not expecting the same amount of first half fireworks from Souths this week, nor the same amount of zero from Parramatta’s defense. One wonders with all the hype around the Anthony Seibold sacking in Brisbane whether both coaches here feel a little bit of satisfaction. Arthurs because his club continued their faith in him despite a last placed finish and general disappointment, and Wayne Bennett because it’s Antohny Seibold..

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Souths have won the only Thursday night clash between these sides.
• Parramatta have lost only four of their first 20 games at Bankwest Stadium. However they have lost two of their last three matches at home to Sydney based sides. Souths have won their last two games there against Sydney sides, but their overall record at Bankwest is 50%.
• Since lockdown, Parramatta’s result have followed a pattern – (Earliest game first) WWWLWWWLWWWLW….so Parra aren’t due another loss yet.
• The Eels have won all four Thursday games this season.
• Souths are on a run of four straight wins over Sydney sides.

• Small one cent movement towards and away from Parramatta is fair enough based on ladder position, but the way Souths destroyed Manly last weekend, you think they’d have a few more friends.
• All but one of the matches between these sides have finished with 38 points or more, so taking on the 38.5 total points line appears to be a risk worth taking.
• Especially since games featuring Souths have scored 56 or more points in three of the last four matches and managed 38 points alone in the first half last weekend.
• Although games with Parramatta have only passed 30 points once in the last four games.
• Souths have won the first half 60% of the time this season while Parramatta have won the second half 67% this season.
• Parramatta have won 73% of their second halves this season, so a Souths first half-Parramatta second half multi is worth a look.

• Parramatta have scored first on 11 occasions compared to Souths’ seven.
• No winger has scored first for Parramatta this season. One winger hasn’t scored at all.
• Wingers have scored last in 67% of Souths games this season, either for or against the Bunnies.
• Centres could be the way to go for first try scorer.
• No Gagai or Johnston for Souths means some real try scoring power is missing, and Souths probably best avoided for 1st and last scorers.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Souths +6.5 start
Total Points – Over 38.5
Souths +3.5 start 1st Half
Parramatta -3.5 start 2nd Half
Waqa Blake to score anytime

@ $41

ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS v GOLD COAST TITANS

The Dragons need to find some wins to keep their top eight hopes alive at the expense of their shire rivals, while Gold Coast need to keep winning to maintain their superiority over their geographic rivals. Although, they could also lose every game until the end of the season for the same result. 

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• St George Illawarra have lost just once in their last 12 games v Queensland opponents.
• Gold Coast have one win in 16 v Sydney clubs.
• Titans lead the H2H on a Friday 4-3. And have a decent 50% winning record at Kogarah.
• Dragons have won just two of their last ten games at Kogarah.
• St George Illawarra have also scored 110 points in their last four games at Kogarah and won only once.
• Titans have won only three of their 10 Friday matches across the last two seasons. The Dragons are three from eight over the same period but have won their last two Friday games.

• The total points market looks interesting at 45.5. While the two last games total points tally has been under that mark, the three games preceding were well over. And the Dragons have averaged over 27 points in their last four games at Kogarah.
• Gold Coast have averaged 23.5 in their last four games at Kogarah. So the over 45.5 is looking OK.
• St George Illawarra have scored more points in the first half 73% this season, and with the Titans also over 50%, take the highest scoring half option.

• Gold Coast have scored the first try four times this season, which is the worst strike rate in the competition.
• The Titans do move up to solid midfield for last try scored, having been last to score eight times in their 15 matches so far, equal to the Roosters and Souths.
• St George are only just ahead for first try scorer with six, and reckon Matt Dufty is the main to do the deed this time.,
• Hard to go past Phillip Sami for last try scorer or Mikaele Ravalawa.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Gold Coast +9.5 start
Total Points Over 45.5
Philip Sami to score a second half try
First Half – Higher Scoring Half

@ $26

SYDNEY ROOSTERS v BRISBANE BRONCOS

So the Broncos have removed their “cancer”, and what a wonderful way to display how awful your club is running than to deliver that analogy. The Broncos players have the chance to show that the problems at the club are all about the coach with a big performance on Friday night, but the quality of the opposition, the result last time out, and the pea-hearted efforts they have put in since lockdown mean that the misery will probably continue. Perhaps they should get one of those Ikea racks out the front to neatly organise the returned jerseys from fans. 

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Looking at H2H you almost need forget all historical stats, as this Broncos are historically bad.
• Broncos haven’t beaten a Sydney side in Sydney since July last year.
• Brisbane also haven’t won an away game since beating the Cowboys in March. Six straight losses since.
• Brisbane’s record against the Roosters is normally OK, since 2015 their winning % is 53%.
• The Roosters have lost just three of 16 home games v Queensland opposition. The Cowboys have two of those wins.
• One potential weak point for the Roosters could be Friday games v Queensland opposition. They have lost four of the last five, and just ten of 26 matches since 1998.

• Who could believe that a Broncos side would go into any game with odds of $11.00 and 25.5 points start. But they have earned those outsider odds.
• It’s probably true the Broncos have been better in recent weeks, and Roosters not quite as good, and the Broncos should have something to play for, so surely the Broncos can lose by less than 25.5.
• Total points is interesting, the 46.5 mark has been too much for just three of the 13 games since 2015, and one of them was the freak 59-0 Roosters win earlier this season.
• Roosters have averaged 22 points in their last six games, and the Broncos are averaging 14 points for the entire season.
• Both sides score 50% less in the second half than the first on average this season, so take the first half for highest scoring for sure.

• With the Broncos clocking off early every week, you can’t take them for last try scorer. Not for twice in 15 matches. The Roosters are just over 50% for last try scored.
• Roosters have provided the first try scorer on ten occasions this season compared to Broncos six. And how can you go past Brett Morris to do the job first.
• Kotoni Staggs seems like the only Broncos player trying every week, and so is a great chance to score anytime. And who wouldn’t love one of his tries from last week anytime.
• Why not double up on Brett Morris to score last too. A Brett Morris bookend is more likely than any Bronco scoring last.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Brisbane +24.5 Start
Total Points Under 46.5
First Half – Highest Scoring Half
Kotoni Staggs to score anytime
Brett Morris to score anytime first half

@ $41