Ever wondered which Premier League side has the easiest or hardest set of upcoming fixtures? Well allow us to present our Week 8 Premier League Fixtures Difficulty Rating.
Proud partners of The Gurgler – S&C Sports Data – have come up with a measure to judge the difficulty factor for each team over the next three games. Not just with current table position, but historical results and more.
We could go further, but we think three games provides just enough window for FPL players, late night sports fans in Australia, or multi loving gamblers alike.
How our Week 8 Premier League Fixtures Difficulty Rating works….
S&C Sports Data have data from 10 seasons of Premier League, and created a measure of each team’s head to head record over that period, on a sliding scale from current day backwards.
Then the team in question and the opposition’s overall and recent form is taken into consideration, including measuring the relative form of the two sides.
The Match Rater 3000 score is then produced, with a range of 1 being the easiest possible fixture up to 10 for the hardest.
So the S&C measure combines many fields to give an overall picture for the next three games.
Week 8 Premier League Fixtures Difficulty Rating Overall Results
Week 8 Premier League Fixtures Difficulty Rating Trends
- Spurs have two super easy fixtures to bounce back from their midweek mauling from Bayern Munich.
- The 5.0 Rating is Liverpool’s highest of the season, with games v Leicester, Man Utd and Spurs ahead.
- Bournemouth’s recent run of form is rewarded with the equal lowest Difficulty rating.
- No luck for Newcastle who have the most difficult fixtures ahead for the next three weeks.
- Check out below where we compare what teams should have scored according to our difficulty rating, and the competition points have actually scored.
Premier League Fixtures Difficulty Rating Next Three Games
Here is the breakdown of the Week 8 Premier League Fixtures Difficulty Rating. Colour coded for your convenience.
This gives a quick guide to the difficulty factor.
THE NEXT THREE PREMIER LEAGUE GAMES FOR ALL CLUBS
Sidetracked: Top Four Hopefuls next three matches difficulty
There’s an expanding group of teams playing for the last two spots in the top four, so here is the progress of their game difficulty over the next three weeks.
Which team in Overperforming / Underperforming against our Difficulty Rating?
We have gone back through our difficulty ratings so far this season, and worked out the potential points each team could have scored, and then have a comparison ready for mild interest.
No surprise that Liverpool are overperforming, and Norwich drop out of positive territory after losing last weekend, and Leicester move in.
Team | Diff Rating Points Projected | Actual Points | % Diff |
Liverpool | 16 | 21 | 31% |
Leicester | 13 | 14 | 8% |
Manchester City | 16 | 16 | 0% |
West Ham | 12 | 12 | 0% |
Bournemouth | 12 | 11 | -9% |
Arsenal | 14 | 12 | -14% |
Tottenham | 13 | 11 | -15% |
Sheffield United | 10 | 8 | -21% |
Chelsea | 14 | 11 | -22% |
Crystal Palace | 14 | 11 | -22% |
Norwich | 8 | 6 | -24% |
Manchester United | 12 | 9 | -25% |
Burnley | 12 | 9 | -26% |
Southampton | 11 | 7 | -35% |
Brighton | 11 | 6 | -45% |
Wolves | 13 | 7 | -47% |
Everton | 14 | 7 | -51% |
Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | -54% |
Newcastle United | 11 | 5 | -56% |
Watford | 13 | 2 | -85% |
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