The big European competitions kicked off this week, and with the football coming thick and fast, we’ll add to that with this weekend’s Premier League Predictions Week 6.
Each week our preview includes just enough quick and barely interesting stats to help you decide a winner. Plus an alternative tipping method based on some obscure football stat or something even less relevant.
Following on from the first batch of European midweek games, we’re using each team’s form after the first European midweek as a method to decide winners.
Enjoy the long Premier League Predictions Week 5 and preview.
READ MORE….
MATCH DIFFICULTY RATINGS – Week 6
Premier League Predictions Week 6 2019-20 – v Post International Break 1
Points per game in brackets.
SOUTHAMPTON (2.1) to beat Bournemouth (1.5)
DRAW – Leicester v Spurs (2.2)
DRAW – Watford v Man City (1.8)
EVERTON (1.6) to beat Sheffield (NA)
BURNLEY (1.6) to beat Norwich (1.0)
NEWCASTLE (1.5) to beat Brighton (1.3)
CRYSTAL PALACE (1.2) to beat Wolves (1.0)
MAN UTD (1.9) to beat West Ham (1.1)
ARSENAL (1.8) to beat Aston Villa (1.1)
CHELSEA (1.8) to beat Liverpool (1.1)
TIPS BACKGROUND: This one is easy. We’ve taken 10 seasons of stats, and worked out how each team does after the first International break, the higher the average points, the more they are to win, so they get the selection.
Below is each team’s record in the first gameweek after the European competitions for the last 10 seasons.
Surprisingly, the best team after European games is not listed as a current EPL side but is West Brom. Spurs and Leicester win the current Premier League teams stats, coincidental that they meet on this weekend.. Brighton have never scored a point after the first European break.
| Team | Avg Points |
| Tottenham | 2.2 |
| Leicester | 2.2 |
| Southampton | 2.1 |
| Manchester United | 1.9 |
| Chelsea | 1.8 |
| Arsenal | 1.8 |
| Manchester City | 1.8 |
| Watford | 1.8 |
| Burnley | 1.6 |
| Everton | 1.6 |
| Bournemouth | 1.5 |
| Newcastle United | 1.5 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.2 |
| Aston Villa | 1.1 |
| West Ham | 1.1 |
| Liverpool | 1.1 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1.0 |
| Norwich | 1.0 |
| Brighton | 0.0 |
And the average points based on each competition. No surprise really since the better teams play in the better competitions.
| Team | Average of Points |
| Champions League | 2.15 |
| Europa League | 1.55 |
| (blank) | 1.13 |
2019-20 Premier League Predictions Week 6 – GAME BY GAME PREVIEW
Here’s our match by match review and our own Premier League Predictions Week 6. With loads of stats as below. But keep in mind the following…
All stats are based on the last 10 years of Premier Leagues fixtures,except where stated. Our Match Rating is out of 20, and is explained at the end. Last 5 matches are Premier League fixtures only. The graphic stats are all Premier League only.
The barely interesting fact is just that, barely interesting. But takes in all competitions.
SOUTHAMPTON v BOURNEMOUTH
FRIDAY 8:00pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
A nice South Coast derby to kick off the weekend with the two teams separated by just 50km. Although Portsmouth would be a bigger rival to Southampton, they are down in the third tier and that H2H probably won’t happen again for a while. Both teams sit in midfield and had good wins last weekend and play in a decent style, but outside of the Friday night kick off wouldn’t be a game too many would be eagerly anticipating.
MATCH STATS
Plenty of draws and Southampton wins over the past 10 seasons, but crucially Bournemouth have the only win at a similar kick off time, showing that the night time is the right time to win.
BARELY INTERESTING FACTS
Four of the last six games have ended in a draw.
These teams have never met in the second tier of English football.
OUR FINAL SAY
Southampton 1 Bournemouth 0
BEST BET
Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.08
James Ward-Prowse – First Goalscorer @ $.7.00
LEICESTER v SPURS
SATURDAY 12:30 pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
The game of the day on Saturday sees both teams needing to impress on their most recent match. Leicester at old Trafford and Spurs in Greece during the weekend. Both sides play good football, and there’s plenty of interesting players to keep one interested. Nice choice for the early kick off.
MATCH STATS
A solid average of 4 goals a game across these games in the past 10 seasons. Stats are heavily weighed in Spurs’ favour. Especially the early kick off time. And games on a Saturday. Looks like it will be a break in stats for the Foxes to win. This is the kind of game Leicester needs to win if they want to be genuine top six or even top four.
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
Leicester haven’t beaten Spurs on a Saturday since 2002. They have won just 1/6 home games since.
OUR FINAL SAY
Leicester 2 Spurs 1
BEST BET
Leicester to win @ $2.80
Jamie Vardy – First Goalscorer @ $5.00
MANCHESTER CITY v WATFORD
SATURDAY 12:30 pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
Not much rivalry to speak of, except revenge for Watford after the FA Cup final spanking. Always plenty of interest in Man City games, even more so after last weekend’s loss at Norwich. There’s the interest of Watford with their new-old manager. Should be decent to watch too, if only for the goals.
MATCH STATS
Everything points to a City victory, although Man City appear not to be quite as ruthless at home.
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
Man City have beaten Watford by exactly two goals in their last five home games against Watford.
OUR FINAL SAY
Man City 3 Watford 1
BEST BET
Man City to win by exactly two goals @ $3.75
Raheem Sterling to score anytime @ $1.50
EVERTON v SHEFFIELD UNITED
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
One for the fans this game. With no rivalry and form slipping with each week, this looks a game for those with Fantasy Football interests or betting.
MATCH STATS
No Graphic for this game due to Sheffield Utd’s absence from the EPL in the last 10 seasons.
But the overall H2H is 53-47 to Everton with 31 draws. The most recent match was in 2011 in the League Cup where Everton won 3-1 at home.
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
The last five games at Everton have been decided by two goals – three times for Everton and two for the Blades.
OUR FINAL SAY
Everton 0 Sheffield Utd 0
BEST BET
Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.78
BURNLEY v NORWICH
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
A game of little rivalry but increasing interest. Both teams playing above expectations, no more so than Norwich beating Man City last weekend. The battle of all out attack v tighter defence should be pretty interesting.
MATCH STATS
Not a great amount of games to use from the last 10 seasons of fixtures, but Norwich are surely in the right form to turn that stat around.
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
Norwich have not won at Burnley since 200, where they triumphed 5-3. They have missed out out on another four since.
OUR FINAL SAY
Burnley 1 Norwich 1
BEST BET
Draw @ $3.60
First Goalscorer – Teemu Pukki @ $6.00
NEWCASTLE v BRIGHTON
SATURDAY 5:30 pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
The late Saturday kick off will hardly be one neutrals will be looking out for. At least Brighton are playing better football this season, and Newcastle aren’t quite as hopeless as most thought at the start of the season.
MATCH STATS
All even between the teams and the draws overall in the past ten seasons, but the upper hand goes to Brighton in September, but the later kick off suiting Newcastle more.
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
Eight of the last nine matches between these teams has seen two goals or less.
OUR FINAL SAY
Newcastle 0 Brighton 1
BEST BET
Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.57
CRYSTAL PALACE v WOLVES
SUNDAY 2:00pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
One of four Sunday games with League Cup duties awaiting, and this games does provide some interest in how these teams bunce back after heavy losses last weekend.Interest in Wolves is higher than usual given how their solid defence is being leakingand their position in the bottom three.
MATCH STATS
Wins to the away sides in thee of the last four games, but Sunday is new ground for these fixtures.
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
The last four games at Crystal Palace between these sides has ended up Crystal Palace 3-1 or Wolves 1-0 two a piece.
OUR FINAL SAY
Crystal Palace 0 Wolves 0
BEST BET
0-0 Draw @ $7.50
WEST HAM v MANCHESTER UTD
SUNDAY 2:00pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
MATCH STATS
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
Man Utd have only won at West Ham once in the last five trips. And not at the Olympic Stadium.
OUR FINAL SAY
West Ham 2 Man Utd 1
BEST BET
West Ham to win @ $3.30
ASRENAL v ASTON VILLA
SUNDAY 4:30pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
MATCH STATS
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
Arsenal have won the last two league games at home between these sides by a combined 9-0.
OUR FINAL SAY
Arsenal 3 Aston Villa 1
BEST BET
Both Team to Score @ $1.57
CHELSEA v LIVERPOOL
SUNDAY 4:30pm
OUR R.I.C.K. EFFECT MATCH RATING (out of 20)
| Rivalry | lnterest | Currrent Form | Klassiker Style | Total |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 |
MATCH STATS
BARELY INTERESTING FACT
The last time a home side lost this match on a Sunday was the infamous Gerrard slip match at Anfield.
OUR FINAL SAY
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 1
BEST BET
Chelsea – Handicap +1.0 @ $1.80
MORE STUFF
The match rating is our thoughts on how exciting a neutral should get about the game. We rank it by if it is a great rivalry, whether at least one of the teams are in good form, whether they play decent football or dross, and general interest. Whether the team has a star player, crazy manager, give away lots of red cards, or have a Rene Higuita style goalkeeper. We wish anyway. Each field is rated out of five and the grand total out of 20.
