We’ve already brought you our Premier League predictions and FPL Fantasy Premier League tips for the weekend, so we offer up our Premier League Betting Matchday 5 Guide.
We look through the Premier League Betting Matchday 5 and select our Best Bets and Blurst Bets to avoid this weekend.
All odds courtesy of Sportsbet and correct as of Friday morning AEST.
Premier League Betting Matchday 5 Preview
LIVERPOOL v NEWCASTLE
SATURDAY 12:30 pm
This game would have been marginally more interesting if Rafa was still in charge at Newcastle. Liverpool’s current form can carry the interest for any neutral. Stats say Newcastle are no chance at Liverpool, but like against Spurs earlier this season, Newcastle have a decent record on the day and at the timeslot. But with no Benitez and Liverppol in such scoring form we can’t see anything good happening for them.
CORRECT SCORE BET
Liverpool 5 Newcastle 0 @ $17.00
OUR BEST BET
SAME GAME MULTI
Liverpool to Win
Over 2.5 Goals
Mane to score anytime
Salah to score anytime
@ $4.00
MAN UTD v LEICESTER
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
These teams look like they will be fighting over the lower end of the top six, so these games will be crucial. Leicester are in the better form at the moment, but this will be their toughest task yet. Plenty of interest too, especially anytime Man Utd are involved and when they are underwhelming. Jamie Vardy is worth at least one point for interest. Man Utd certainly have the advantage here, covering the Foxes in most departments. Not wins in September though, as Leicester’s only win over Man Utd in the last 10 seasons of the Premier League came in September. Although Man Utd’s 100% 3pm kick off stat cancels that out.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Man Utd | 6% |
| Draw | -8% |
| Leicester | -20% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Man Utd 1 Leicester 2 @ $13.00
BEST BET
Both Teams to score @ $1.72
GOALSCORER BET
Jamie Vardy to score anytime @ $2.60
BRIGHTON v BURNLEY
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
Our lowest Rick Effect rating of the weekend and no wonder it is in the 3pm batch. At least Brighton are playing better football this year, and you have to admire Burnley’s start to the season and Ashley Barnes’ goal scoring feats. Brighton have yet to break through for a victory against Burnley, but their record seems less awful in the 3pm kick off with 2 draws and a loss. That’s in the Premier League though. Brighton didn’t lose to Burnley in the three previous seasons in the Championship they were together for.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Brighton | 0% |
| Draw | 6% |
| Burnley | 6% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Brighton 1 Burnley 0 @ $7.50
BEST BET
Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.72
SPURS v CRYSTAL PALACE
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
A decent all London affair with two teams in decent form, and with decently interesting players. The lack of goals in this fixtures is the main worry for neutral enjoyment. Spurs advantage in just about every way, their unbeaten home record and 100% win rate in September should see them win again. Crystal Palace’s last win v Spurs in the League came in January 2015. Although, worth noting is Crystal Palace’s record away to the big six clubs recently. Wins over Man City, Man Utd, and pushing Liverpool all the way last season too.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Tottenham | 5% |
| Draw | 11% |
| Crystal Palace | -6% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Spurs 2 Crystal Palace 0 @ $7.00
BEST BET
SHEFFIELD UTD v SOUTHAMPTON
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
A good game for the neutral to tune into. Southampton hoping they can get the better of the plucky promoted side.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Sheff Utd | 0% |
| Draw | 3% |
| Southampton | 4% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Sheffield Utd 2 Southampton 0 @ $7.00
BEST BET
WOLVES v CHELSEA
SATURDAY 3:00 pm
Possibly a bit harsh on second glance, but these are two sides that have disappointed a little so far this year. Both teams have OK form, and style, but wil lfind it hard to compete with the other 3pm games. Chelsea have the advantage overall, especially the 100% record on Saturdays at 3pm, Wolves took 4 points from these fixtures last year, and Chelsea have gone a little bit backwards since. Wolves though are suffering a small mixture of second season syndrome and the Europa League qualifying fatigue.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Wolves | 3% |
| Draw | 2% |
| Chelsea | 4% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Wolves 1 Chelsea 1 @ $6.50
BEST BET
Draw and Both Teams to score @ $4.20
NORWICH v MAN CITY
SATURDAY 5:30 pm
Not much rivalry to speak of, as these sides have different goals for the year, but interest is high going into this because of the riches of Manchester City’s attack, and Pukki and his party offer plenty for the neutral. There should be loads of goals too to make it a worthwhile view. Not much going for Norwich’s chances here, except for the lack of Laporte at the back. One wonders if the new combination doesn’t settle in at the back, whether the in form Pukki will poach another goals against top opposition. Pukki scored at Anfield so how can he not score at the Etihad too. Norwich’s record at home to Man City gives them a tiny sniff of competing for a while.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Norwich | 55% |
| Draw | 21% |
| Man City | -2% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Norwich 2 Man City 4 @ 26.00
BEST BET
Over 3.5 Goals @ $1.60
BOURNEMOUTH v EVERTON
SUNDAY 2:00 pm
No real rivalry, but both play decent football, and have enough interesting players to justify tuning in on the Sunday. The earlier kick off helps for those in Australia. We’re still waiting on Moises Kean to break out, and reckon it could be this weekend. Good number of goals scored, and Everton do have the overall better record for EPL games. Everton also own the Sunday and 2pm timeslot in this fixture.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Bournemouth | 3% |
| Draw | 0% |
| Everton | 4% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Bournemouth 1 Everton 3 @ $18.00
BEST BET
Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.75
WATFORD v ARSENAL
Sunday 4:30 pm
A solid down the, middle all London affair, which should see Arsenal to take the game. A Troy Deeney will help this match get above a Rick Effect Rating. Watford having a new manager increases the interest just a bit. Watford have sprung the occasional surprise on Arsenal, but not on a Sunday with a late kickoff. Everything points to a win on Sunday for Arsenal.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Watford | 3% |
| Draw | 7% |
| Arsenal | 0% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Watford 1 Arsenal 2 @ $9.00
BEST BET
Both Teams to score @ $1.50
ASTON VILLA v WEST HAM
Monday 8:00 pm
The rivalry lies in the colour of the kit for now, but they could still be fighting over lower midfield places soon. Both teams play OK football, and in Haller West Ham appear to have a genuine goalscorer to get excited about. West Ham are also interesting as they rarely pout two good games together. A nice even split in the Premier League overall, but some below the surface. This fixture on a Monday means that West Ham are less likely to win, but the night time kick off swings it well back into West Ham’s favour.
| Team | % Change from 9/92019 |
| Aston Villa | 8% |
| Draw | 3% |
| West Ham | 0% |
CORRECT SCORE BET
Aston Villa 2 West Ham 0 @ $15.00
BEST BET
West Ham to win @ $2.60
