Premier League Predictions Week 33 – Gurgler v Breweries

After a massive week and a bit of Premier League football, the football continues in the Premier League, but only with a half arsed round again as the FA Cup semi finals takes centre stage. But that won’t stop us with our Premier League Predictions Week 33.

Every week we offer up our Premier League predictions, along with a mini preview of each match, with a few best bets in an alternative Premier League preview.

We also put our tips up against a competitor, usually not human though, and based on some football stat or general life. This week our tipping opponent is based on which town/city has the most breweries for no good reason.

It’s a lot like the BBC’s Lawros tips, but better. Arguably.

Premier League Predictions Week 33 – Gurgler v Number of Breweries in the UK

TIPS BACKGROUND: Sure using breweries as a tipping method sounds ridiculous, but since it is only a pissweak truncated round of football, we basing our Premier League Predictions Week 33 opponent on the number of breweries in the team’s related city/town.

Why you may ask. Good question, and thanks for asking. 

Our theory is that the more breweries there are, the more choice of beer the locals have, so the more they may drink, so the happier and more boisterous they’ll be, and the better support they’ll give, and the better the team will play.

PREMIER LEAGUE Predictions Week 33 – Number of Breweries in the UK

Number of breweries in brackets. as says Wikipedia.

SOUTHAMPTON (19) to beat Liverpool (6)
BURNLEY (18) to beat Bournemouth (8)
HUDDERSFIELD (32) to beat Leicester (14)
CRYSTAL PALACE (18) to beat Newcastle (13)
ARSENAL (67) to beat Everton (6)
DRAW – Chelsea (67) v West Ham (67)

GURGLER PREMIER LEAGUE Predictions Week 33

Now our tips. Based on our opinion, research, study and ignorance. (In no particular order)

LIVERPOOL to beat Southampton (4-1)
BOURNEMOUTH to beat Burnley (3-0)
LEICESTER to beat Hudderfield (2-0)
NEWCASTLE to beat Crystal Palace (2-1)
DRAW – Everton v Arsenal (1-1)
CHELSEA to beat West Ham (3-0)

Premier League Predictions Week 33 Mini Match by Match Preview

Here’s a quick run down of every game for Week 33, with a barely interesting stat included for those inclined.

SOUTHAMPTON v LIVERPOOL

Kick Off: Friday 8:00pm UK
Previous 2018-19 Result: Liverpool 3 Southampton 0

A game between Liverpool, and a team which seemed at one stage to be their nursery. Hard to argue against the impact of former Southampton players in the Liverpool team – their current two most in form players Virgil van Dijk and Sadio Mane came to Merseyside from Southampton.

Liverpool got a little lucky against Spurs last round, but importantly it was a win that keeps them right in the title race. Aside from a game against Chelsea, their remaining games are relatively easy, but Southampton have been in a decent run of form, so maybe not.

Southampton have won three of their last four games, beating Spurs, Brighton and Fulham, but were also very competitive against Man Utd in that four game run, so Liverpool won’t want to take the game too easy. A loss from here will probably be the end of their title challenge, as they might get lucky with one Man City loss, but certainly not two given their form and squad,

Barely Interesting Fact: Southampton would be up to 10th on points if the season started when current coach Ralph Hassenthuttl began his reign. They would be ahead of Leicester if the same points per game were applied for the entire season.

BOURNEMOUTH v BURNLEY

Kick Off: Saturday 3:00pm UK
Previous 2018-19 Result: Burnley 4 Bournemouth 0

The recent fixtures certainly couldn’t have gone much better for Burnley – their closest rival for relegation in Cardiff City lost two games in a row, while Burnley got an unexpected win over Wolves. The gap between third last Cardiff and fourth last Burnley is now 5 points with six games to go, and the goal difference is an 11 goals advantage too, so effectively a full two games ahead. Advantage Burnley.

They face Bournemouth who are  on 38 points which should be safe now, and they have lost just once in their last seven home games. That was only a 1-0 to Man City. Who it feels like they have been playing for nothing for months now. Not good enough for the Everton Cup or relegation.

Barely Interesting Fact: There have been three or more goals in the last five matches between these two sides.

HUDDERSFIELD v LEICESTER

Kick Off: Saturday 3:00pm UK
Previous 2018-19 Result: Leicester 3 Huddersfield 1

Huddersfield were officially relegated as part of last weekend’s action, which has looked inevitable for most of the season. Still, a two season stay in which they were rarely embarrassed can be looked upon as a good thing. Their recent result against West Ham proved they were competitive on their day but not quite enough. Still, they get a wad of cash that few other clubs in England get for being the worst in their league.

Leicester meanwhile are looking on the up, with new manager Brendan Rodgers starting to justify leaving Celtic who win everything for an upper midfield Premier League side. Since announcing Rodgers as the new boss, Leicester have won four games from five, and currently sit fifth in the last six form table and 9th overall. A win of two goals or more here will see them grab 7th temporarily.

Two players that have done the job in that same period are Jamie Vardy and Youri Tielemans. Vardy has repeated his great form after a manager being fired (like after Ranieri) with 5 goals and an assist in five games. Youri Tielemans in the same period has four assists and one goal.

Barely Interesting Fact: Huddersfield haven’t beaten Leicester in the league since 1995.

NEWCASTLE v CRYSTAL PALACE

Kick Off: Saturday 3:00pm UK
Previous 2018-19 Result: Crystal Palace 0 Newcastle 0

13th plays 14th in a clash where both teams are probably safe at this point, but will want a win to be sure. It should be a good battle as Newcastle have become very strong at home – winning their last five in a row, and Crystal Palace have been very competitive on the road this season. Palace are currently 7th overall for away form this season, behind five of the top six and Leicester.

Each side features their own xcitmenet machines in Wilfried Zaha and Miguel Almiron. Hopefully free of immediate danger of relegation the team will go for it and a game full of attack awaits. In reality there’ll probably be just the one goal or none.

Barely Interesting Fact: Three of the past four games between these sides played in Newcastle have ended in a 1-0 win for Newcastle.

EVERTON v ARSENAL

Kick Off: Sunday 2:05pm UK
Previous 2018-19 Result: Arsenal 2 Everton 0

All of a sudden Everton are in some decent form, having won three of their last five – which has included a win over Chelsea – and they probably should have four wins after throwing away a 2-0 lead at Newcastle. They are still a chance of grabbing their 7th place if the run continues.

They’re every chance of continuing that run as their opponent Arsenal have been not been great on the road this season. Currently their away form is just the 10th best and they have won just one away game in their past eight. That was a relatively unconvincing 2-1 win over Huddersfield. They actually drop to 13th in last six away form. 

The fact that Arsenal still have the real prize of a Champions League spot to play for, not just a best of the rest title means they have more to play for on paper. But to get that third or fourth spot they will need to be better on the road. They still have 6 games to play away. Most other teams have played 16 away.

Barely Interesting Fact: Everton have conceded the seventh most goals at home this season, Arsenal the eighth most away.

CHELSEA v WEST HAM

Kick Off: Monday 8:00pm UK
Previous 2018-19 Result: West Ham 0 Chelsea 0

Chelsea showed they deserved a shot at the top four against Brighton on Wednesday, and all it took was the simple idea of playing their best players, and finally giving their promising young players, who are wanted by loads of other club a go in the team. They were terrible against Cardiff, but still got the win somehow. Sadly Higuain looks even more useless for Chelsea than he did at AC Milan. A shame as he was a top shelf forward in his prime.

West Ham continue to be as unreliable to tip as ever, their last six run of WLWLWL does nothing to change that. Still they are 11th and past the magical 40 point barrier. But given everything they have, it should be at least a little more.

Barely Interesting Fact: Chelsea have only beaten West Ham five times in the past 12 games since 2013.

2018-2019 Premier League Tipping Competition Results

THE GURGLER

2018-2019 Tipping Results – 169/319 – 53% – (19 Correct Scores)

Last Week Tipping Results –  11/15

Best – 11/15 Week 32

OPPOSITION

2018-2019 Results – 149/319 – 47%

Week 1 – 6/10 – Week 1 Form from last 5 seasons
Week 2 – 5/10 – Change in Market Value after Transfer Window
Week 3 – 4/10 – Red Cards from last 5 seasons
Week 4 – 7/10 – Form v Post Sir Alex Man Utd
Week 5 – 5/10 – Post International Break Form
Week 6 – 3/10 – Avoiding Russian Spies
Week 7 – 4/10 – Brexit
Week 8 – 6/10 – v Jose Mourinho
Week 9 – 4/10 – Sacked Managers / Tenure
Week 10 – 4/10 – Fighting Managers
Week 11 – 7/10 – v Leicester City
Week 12 – 4/10 – US Mid Term Elections
Week 13 – 6/10 – Claudio Ranieri
Week 14 – 5/10 – Own Goals
Week 15 – 5/10 – Midweek Form (Last 5 Seasons)
Week 16 – 2/10 – Hate
Week 17 – 4/10 – Dangerous Nickname
Week 18 – 5/10 – Christmas Shopping
Week 19 – 4/10 – Boxing Day Form
Week 20 – 7/10 – 2018 Form
Week 21 – 1/10 – New Year’s Eve
Week 22 – 7/10 – January Form
Week 23 – 3/10 – Traffic
Week 24 – 2/10 – Post FA Cup 3rd / 4th Round Form
Week 25 – 4/10 – Happiness
Week 26 – 6/10 – Valentine’s Days
Week 27 – 6/10 – Divorce
Week 28 – 5/10 – Sack Race
Week 29 – 8/10 – Wages
Week 30 – 5/10 – Recycling
Week 31 – 1/5 – Gossip
Week 32 – 10/15 – Expected Goals