A cold snap is going around Australia, and talking of cold snaps, the Broncos will probably be hoping to break their cold snap of six straight losses. There’s not long to go until the finals, and the Broncos are one of a few teams hanging on by a thread. Talking of sewing, our 2024 NRL Round 20 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview has stitched up this week’s NRL nicely.
Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2024 NRL Round 20 Matches
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
Fri 8:00 pm – Canberra v Warriors
Sat 3:00 pm – South Sydney v Wests Tigers
Sat 5:30 pm – Newcastle v Brisbane
Sat 7:35 pm – Melbourne v Roosters
Sun 2:00 pm – Penrith v Dolphins
Sun 4:05 pm – Manly Warringah v Gold Coast
Sun 6:15 pm – North Queensland v Bulldogs
2024 NRL Round 20 Tips
WARRIORS by 6
SOUTHS by 10
NEWCASTLE by 6
MELBOURNE by 2
PENRITH by 16
GOLD COAST by 4
NORTH QUEENSLAND by 8
SEASON PROGRESS: 90/141 (64%)
READ MORE: Our 2024 Match Centre Home
Want help with your NRL Tips?
2024 NRL Round 20 Tips Weekly H2H Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
Canberra have lost four in a row coming into this game.
Canberra have also lost three in a row at Canberra Stadium.
Warriors have won three straight v Canberra. All three of those wins were on a Friday.
Warriors have won just two of the last 11 away games. But have won four of their last five away games on a Friday.
Souths and Wests Tigers both have a 50% win record at Central Coast Stadium. Rabbitohs from 16 games and Tigers from 8.
Souths have won seven of their last eight v Wests Tigers.
It’s six wins in a row for Souths over the Tigers as the home side. And 12 of the last 14 as the home side.
Souths have also won six home games in a row on a Saturday v Wests Tigers. The last time the Tigers won away to Souths on a Saturday their current head coach was playing.
Souths are still on a three game winning streak on a Saturday.
Wests Tigers have lost seven in a row away and 16 of their last 17 away games.
Broncos have won four in a row v Newcastle, but three of those four wins have been at Suncorp Stadium.
Newcastle have won three of the four games in Newcastle on a Saturday v Broncos.
Broncos have won seven of their last eight away games on a Saturday, that only loss was the last game however. And they have lost their last three Saturday games.
Newcastle have won their last three Saturday games and seven of their last nine.
Newcastle have also won their last six home games on a Saturday v Qld sides. And 12 of their last 14 v Qld sides at home on any day.
Melbourne have won 12 of their last 13 home games. They have also won four of their last five home games on a Saturday.
But…..they have lost seven of their last nine games as the home side on a Saturday v Sydney clubs. Note: that is shared between AAMI Park and Suncorp Stadium.
But….they have only won three of their last eight at AAMI Park v Sydney clubs. Not to mention their dreadful recent record at home to Canberra.
But….the Storm have never lost to the Roosters in Melbourne on a Saturday ever in seven games. And concede only 10 points per game in that run while scoring at 27 points on average.
Roosters have won seven of their last eight on a Saturday and five of their last six away on a Saturday.
Roosters have won eight straight on a Saturday v non NSW teams away from home.
Roosters have won five of 16 games v Melbourne anywhere on a Saturday.
Dolphins have the best record this season v Sydney teams – 88% or W7 L1. Their record in Sydney is W1 L1.
Penrith’s 75% win rate v Top Half teams this season is the competition’s best. Dolphins’ record is not too shabby either at 67%. Note: Top Half is ladder position at time of match not current ladder position.
The Dolphins 28.9 points scored on average v top half sides is also the competition’s best. Penrith’s average is 21.3.
Penrith lost their last home game on a Sunday, but it was nine wins in a row before that.
St George Illawarra have the same home game winning % as Penrith (71%)
Oh, and Penrith have won the only clash between these sides.
Gold Coast have won six of the last eight v Manly at Brookvale.
But…Manly have won the only two games between these sides at Brookvale on a Sunday. The last game was in 2013.
Manly have lost six of their last seven home games v Qld sides.
Manly have won all four home games on a Sunday this season.
Gold Coast have lost six of their last seven away games on a Sunday to Sydney sides.
Bulldogs lead Cowboys in H2H on a Sunday by 5-3.
North Qld have lost four of their last five home games.
But the Cowboys have won their last three home games on a Sunday and kicked a field goal in all three of those games.
Bulldogs have won just one of their last 12 away games.
Bulldogs have won just one of their last ten away games v Qld sides.
Bulldogs have also lost six in a row away on a Sunday.
2024 NRL Round 20 Stats Extra – Origin v Pre Origin Comparison
Here’s a comparison in win %, points scored and conceded from before the Origin teams were named (and thus players taken out and the NRL is in stand by mode). It sure does highlights the Broncos woes.
2024 NRL Round 20 Helpful Betting Stuff
Here’s a few betting things to enhance your tipping.
BETTING SUMMARY
FAVOURITES SUMMARY
BETTING RECORD AND RESULT BY TEAM
Also follow our full Dedicated First and Last Try Scorer page via the link here.
2024 NRL Season Stats Summary
Find more stats with our 2024 NRL Teams Stats Page.