February 4, 2025, 8:07 am

EPL | 2023-24 Premier League Week 18 Predictions + Stats Preview

Tis the weekend before Christmas and all around England most of the Premier League teams are vying for supremacy. Talking of festive, our 2023-24 Premier League Week 18 Predictions + Stats Summary for the weekend ahead.

Each week we provide a meandering look into the upcoming round of Premier League football, with not only our predictions for the upcoming Premier League fixtures but offer up a wide range of H2H and in-season stats and barely interesting facts. 

There’s so much to go through we can barely contain it to just one long page, but it’s worth it for our Premier League Week 18 Predictions plus all the stats.

2023-24 Premier League Week 18 Fixtures

2023-24 Premier League Week 18 fixtures

2023-24 Premier League Week 18 Predictions

Here are our fearless predictions for the fixtures ahead, and tune in below for all the stats and barely interesting stats that go along with them.

Crystal Palace 1 Brighton 1
Aston Villa 4 Sheffield Utd 0
West Ham 1 Man Utd 1
Fulham 3 Burnley 0
Luton 1 Newcastle 0
Nottm Forest 0 Bournemouth 2
Spurs 2 Everton 1
Liverpool 2 Arsenal 0
Wolves 2 Chelsea 1

Read on for the match-by-match full preview and stats.

Season Progress: 49% – 78/159 – Correct Scores – 7

(Tech Issues GW 6)

2023-24 English Premier League Current Stats

A quick look at the current state of play in the Premier League.

2023-24 Premier League Week 18 Summary4

 

2023-24 English Premier League Week 18 Best Stats

Here are some of our favourite stats from the match H2H stats below. But read on for ore….

CRYSTAL PALACE v BRIGHTON – ANYONE FOR A DRAW?

An underrated local derby in the Premier League is Crystal Palace and Brighton, and this is probably the reason of Thursday 8pm. Maybe the other reason is the number of draws.

50% of the 12 games played in the league since Brighton were promoted have ended in a draw. Better still, the last four games played at Crystal Palace have ended in a draw. And even better is that all four of those draws ended with the exact same result 1-1.

Brighton and Crystal Palace also hold the season high for drawn games with five. Four of Brighton’s draws have come in their last eight games. Crystal Palace may not have that late run of draws, but they have only won once at home this season. So wins are scarce and a draw it shall be.

 

ASTON VILLA v SHEFFIELD UNITED – HOME COMFORTS

No team is going better than Aston Villa at home this season, and even at the end of last season.

Aston Villa have won 15 in a row at home, with their last non-win being a 4-2 loss to Arsenal in March 2023. A solid nine month record of winning. In the League that it is. Their last seven home wins to end last season came at the combined total of 14-2, and this season it is 25 goals scored and five conceded in eight games.

Aston Villa a out-performing their expected goals at home by over six goals, which is the second biggest gap behind Manchester City.

In addition to Aston Villa’s awesome home form, Sheffield United are yet to win a game away from home. Good for Premier League to a degree is that Sheffield United’s winless away run is the only one. In France and Germany they have two teams with zero wins away and Italy (4) and Spain (5) so the EPL is ahead on those terms with just the one team with zero sway wins.

 

BEST OF THE REST

WHU v MUN – Man Utd’s draw last weekend v Liverpool was their first of the season.
FUL v BUR – No team can better Fulham’s 17 goals in the last six games in the Premier League.
FUL v BUR – Fulham and Burnley haven’t met at Fulham on a Saturday since 1998, where Fulham won 4-0.
FUL v BUR – Fulham are 3/3 at home to bottom six sides and 2/2 v promoted sides.
LUT v NEW – Newcastle top the Premier League for Expected Goals this season but do drop to seventh best away from home. 
LUT v NEW – Newcastle last beat Luton at Luton in 1981. Since then it’s W5 D3 for the Hatters.
NFO v BOU – Bournemouth are undefeated in their last six games v Nottingham Forest (W4 D2).
NFO v BOU – Nottingham Forest are one of just three teams not to win a home game v middle eight sides (at time of match). Bournemouth are 2/2 v promoted sides.
TOT v EVE – Everton are equal second for last six form, and have won more games this season than all of the teams from 9th down, including Chelsea.
TOT v EVE – Everton are 3/3 for away games in London this season.
TOT v EVE – Spurs have lost just one of their last 15 home games v Everton (W10 D4 L1).
LIV v ARS – Liverpool last lost to Arsenal at home in 2012, since then it has been W7 D4. Even more impressive it has been five straight home wins on a Saturday v Arsenal with a combined winning total of 20-4.
WOL v CHE – Wolves are undefeated in their last three home games v Chelsea.
WOL v CHE – Wolves are yet to win on a Sunday this season (D1 L2). Chelsea have won a game, but their Sunday record isn’t much better (W1 D3 L3)

Theydon Boishttps://www.thegurgler.com
Born and raised on the banks of Yebri Creek, Theydon Bois has always been obsessed by sport. A stellar career of Underage B sides, RSL Social Golf, C Grade Warehouse and D Grade Indoor Cricket didn’t showcase much talent, but provided a window into the love for any game, any time. Theydon follows as much as he can and will provide opinion, ideas, and best tips and bets for most sports*. A particular interest in English Football sees Theydon Bois up every Saturday night until 2am with two laptops, smartphones, IPad and a radio feed of Soccer Saturday. A lifelong fan of underperforming, mediocre, disappointing teams will not sway his enthusiasm for sport. *Rugby Union not included.

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