The finals are here, and what a round of finals we have on offer this weekend, furthermore a premiership that looks open to just about every team. With so much at stake, some solid stats and tips are needed, so here are our bold 2022 NRL Finals Week 1 Tips + Stats Preview to help you win the weekend.
Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, and a bunch of barely interesting stats, probably more than one could ever need or want.
We also offer up some alternative tips. These alternative tips are often based on a rugby league stat, and sometimes something completely absurd, and are aimed at those NRL tipsters who just can’t be bothered.
For the first weekend of finals we have based the alternative tips on each team’s finals record since 2010.
So for now enjoy the 2022 NRL Finals Week 1 Tips + Stats Preview where there’s something for everyone. Mostly.
READ MORE: our Round 25 Team of the Week.
READ MORE: Round 25 NRL Wooden Spooners Highlights
2022 NRL Finals Week 1 Tips – Alternative Tips – Best Finals Record since 2010
Short on inspiration? Or looking for that edge to your tipping that no one else in your competition has? Well here are the Alternative NRL Tips for this round.
It’s been a long season and we had started to run out of ideas for an alternative tip. But we’ve got some stats on finals results which should be relevant as well as helpful.
We took the results from all finals games since 2010, and the team with better strike rate gets the tip.
ALTERNATIVE TIPS 2022 PROGRESS – 64% – 122/192
2022 NRL Finals Week 1 Tips – Gurgler Selections
Can we beat our own Alternative NRL tips? Usually not, so again we’ll have to keep trying.
Eels by 4
Storm by 8
Sharks by 2
Roosters by 10
OUR TIPS – 68% – 130/192
LAST WEEK 6/8
2022 NRL Finals Week 1 Tips H2H Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
2022 NRL Finals Week 1 Barely Interesting Stats Summary
Here we take the best points of interest for each match coming up this weekend, and share them with you for no cost. Feel free to share with friends and family.
Panthers v Eels
Only Parramatta (3) and Melbourne (2) have beaten Penrith more than once since Covid. Other finals contenders South Sydney, Cronulla and North Qld have beat them once. Only the Wests Tigers have beaten Penrith from outside this year’s final eight.
Parramatta have won the last two matches v Penrith as most people know, but also, both games were on a Friday.
Parramatta are 5/6 on a Friday this season. Penrith are 8/10.
Penrith have won two of their last five against this year’s finalists. Parramatta have won two of their last four.
Penrith are 5/7 at home to finals contenders this season. Parramatta are 3/6 away.
Storm v Raiders
Canberra have won the last four games at AAMI Park. Three of those have been on a Saturday.
Melbourne have only won two of their last seven matches at AAMI Park on a Saturday.
For all of Canberra’s good work at AAMI Park, they have lost the last three Saturday clashes with Melbourne.
Good news for Raiders fans. The last time Melbourne were in a knockout match the first week of finals they were knocked out (in 2014). And by the team who made the Grand Finals (Bulldogs).
Sharks v Cowboys
Cronulla have won eight straight v North Queensland.
Cronulla have also won six straight v North Qld on a Saturday (last loss in 2016).
The Sharks have also won eight of their last nine at home to the Cowboys. And 13 of 15 for games at home v Cowboys on a Saturday night going back to 1998.
Cronulla have not lost to a Qld side in NSW since Covid (5 matches).
North Queensland have lost both away games against Sydney sides on a Saturday this season.
Nicho Hynes has only lost one games of 12 v Qld opposition.
Roosters v Rabbitohs
The last three times the Roosters and Rabbitohs have faced off in the finals the winner has gone on to win the Premiership.
Roosters have a 7-3 H2H advantage for games v Souths in September. They have also won all five games in September when they were the home side.
Souths have won the last two clashes between these sides on a Sunday at the Football Stadium by a healthy 94-22. However the Roosters hold a 6-3 overall record on a Sunday since 1998.
Roosters have won five in a row v Sydney opposition on a Sunday and 15 of their last 17.
TOP EIGHT H2H SINCE 2020
Here is a quick look at how these teams have fared against each other for the past three seasons.
FINALS RECORD SINCE 2020 – 2022 FINAL TOP EIGHT
FINALS RECORD SINCE 2010 – 2022 FINAL TOP EIGHT
FINALS RECORD SINCE 2010 – ALL TEAMS
2022 NRL Finals Week 1 – 2022 Season Stats – Finals Teams
Want to know which finals team top which stats before the big games start, well help yourself.
2022 NRL Season Prediction Results
Our tips jumped ahead of the alternative tips last week, so now onto bigger and better things.
ALTERNATIVE TIPS
6/8 First Round Form
4/8 More Dangerous Mascot
3/8 Best H2H
6/8 April Fools
7/8 Bad Boy Points (Penalties/Sin Bins etc)
5/8 Greens Votes
6/8 Marginal Seats
5/8 Covid Cases
6/8 May Record
3/8 Suncorp Stadium Record
4/8 ALP Voting
2/8 Green / Teal Colour Wheel
1/4 June Form since 1998
6/8 Post Origin I Form
5/8 Winter Form
5/8 Post Origin II Form
4/4 Kicking Kings
5/8 Post Origin III Form
3/8 Twitter Followers
6/8 Current Ladder
7/8 August Form
2/8 Alphabetical Order
8/8 H2H Winner for Day of Week matches 2022
7/8 Lower Max Points Against for 2022
6/8 Last Round Form
