NRL | 2022 NRL Round 11 Predictions Stats Alternative Tips

May 17, 2022

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Welcome to our weekly look at the upcoming weekend – the one after big Magic Round at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane. it’s just a regular old round with our regular old NRL Round 11 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips.

Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, a bunch of barely interesting stats to go alongside, and our own thoughts on who will win.

We also offer up some alternative tips. These alternative tips are often based on a rugby league, and sometimes something completely absurd, and are aimed at those NRL tipsters who just can’t be bothered.

This week we are desperately trying to squeeze out one more lot of election based tipping. More on that soon.

So enjoy the 2022 NRL Round 11 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips where there’s something for everyone. Mostly.

2022 NRL Round 11 Predictions – Alternative Tips – Suncorp Stadium results since 1998

Short on inspiration already? Or looking for that edge to your tipping that no one else in your competition has? Well here are the Alternative NRL Tips for this round.

With the election on this Saturday, this week’s alternative tips are based on the election for one last time.

With Sportsbet slashing the odds for the ALP we’re gonna say say that the Labor Party are likely winners on Saturday. So that means that seats that have the lowest odds for ALP are more likely to be happier over the weekend. Hence, more likely.

Of course there were ties and we have explained them below.

* The Tigers are in Anthony Albanese’s electorate so will be happier.
** Anthony Albanese is a Rabbitohs fan – so they will be happier
*** Scomo is a well known Sharks fan, so will be unhappiest.
Note: Since the Warriors are playing out of Redcliffe we used that seat.

2022 NRL Round 11 Predictions – Gurgler Tips

Can we beat our own Alternative NRL tips? Usually not, so again we’ll have to keep trying.

BRONCOS to beat Knights
TIGERS to beat Bulldogs
EELS to beat Sea Eagles
WARRIORS to beat Dragons
STORM to beat Cowboys
PANTHERS to beat Roosters
RAIDERS to beat Rabbitohs
TITANS to beat Sharks

2022 NRL Season Prediction Results

Our tips jumped ahead of the alternative tips last week, so now onto bigger and better things.

ALTERNATIVE TIPS – 64% – 51/80
6/8 First Round Form
4/8 More Dangerous Mascot
3/8 Best H2H
6/8 April Fools
7/8 Bad Boy Points (Penalties/Sin Bins etc)
5/8 Greens Votes
6/8 Marginal Seats
5/8 Covid Cases
6/8 May Record
3/8 Suncorp Stadium Record

OUR TIPS – 64% – 51/80

2022 NRL Round 11 Weekly H2H Stats

Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?

Much like Noah and his ark, ours come in twos.

Here’s as much information that we could cram into one visual, or two. Click on the images for a closer look. It looks marginally more impressive closer up.

2022 NRL Round 11 Barely Interesting Stats

MATCH BY MATCH BARELY INTERESTING STATS

Broncos won four games in a row for the first time since 2017.

Broncos have lost both Thursday clashes v Newcastle. It doesn’t help that they have been in the last two seasons when the Broncos have been crap.

Newcastle have won all three home games on a Thursday v Queensland sides.Wests Tigers and Bulldogs clash has been named the Shane Flanagan derby. Given he has been linked to both clubs all season by his mates at Fox League.

Wests Tigers have won their last three games at Leichhardt on a Friday by a combined 108-22. Two of those three wins have come against the two most recent premiers.

Bulldogs have won six of the last seven games v Wests Tigers on a Friday.

Parramatta have provided both top two sides with their first loss of the 2022 season.

Parramatta may have lost their last three v Manly but they have won the last four v Manly on a Friday.

Manly have lost their last four games away on a Friday v Sydney teams. And 13 of their last 16.

While technically all of the Warriors games are away fixtures since 2020, they have lost 12 of their last 14 away games.

Melbourne last conceded 30 or more in September 2020 v Dragons, and this was the most points conceded since letting in 34 points against the Dragons in May 2018. Melbourne have now lost four of their last seven Saturday games.

The Storm have won 25 games in a row v Queensland opposition, with their last loss against the Gold Coast in May 2017. Their last loss to the Cowboys was in 2015 – 12 games ago.

Penrith have lost one of the 18 games on a Saturday since season 2020. They have conceded six points or less in eight of those games. Penrith’s last loss v a Sydney team in Sydney on a Saturday was in 2019 against the Roosters at the SCG.

Souths have lost their last three against Canberra on a Sunday.

Gold Coast last beat Cronulla in 2017 – six straight losses since.

Gold Coast have only won one of six games v Cronulla on a Sunday, but have a 100% at home on a Sunday v Sharks.

2022 NRL Round 11 NRL Team Form O Meter

We have our own in-house way of measuring which team is going the best based on a bunch of available stats. Like Run Metres, Line Breaks, Tackle Busts, Tries, Goals, Errors, Tackles, Post Contact Metres and more.