Time to board the 2022 NRL Round 5 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips train for a big weekend of rugba leeg highlighted by the Grand Final replay on Friday.
Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, some barely interesting stats to go alongside, and our own thoughts on who will win.
We also offer up some alternative tips. These alternative tips are often based on a rugby league, and sometimes something completely absurd, and are aimed at those NRL tipsters who just can’t be bothered.
This week it is all about each team’s penalty count and sin bin record this season. But more on that later.
So enjoy the 2022 NRL Round 5 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips where there’s something for everyone. Mostly.
And in case you missed it, all the biggest exclusive stories from last weekend’s action is in our Wooden Spooners NRL Round 4 Headlines…
2022 NRL Round 5 Predictions – Alternative Tips
Short on inspiration already? Or looking for that edge to your tipping that no one else in your competition has? Well here are the Alternative NRL Tips for this round.
This week’s alternative tips is based on the super moan from the Cowboys coach last weekend about referee bias. Some NRL journos agree, so we thought we’d get some data to see.
Our data below allocates one point for penalty given, going on report, sin binning and send offs. Bad Boys points we’ll call them. The team with the most Bad Boys points is less likely to win because coaches and journalists think that refs are biased.
And there’s a nice visual at the end of this to show them all.
Simples.
2022 NRL Round 5 Predictions – Gurgler Tips
Can we beat our own Alternative NRL tips? Usually not, so again we’ll have to penalise ourselves.
KNIGHTS to beat Sea Eagles
WARRIORS to beat Cowboys
ROOSTERS to beat Broncos
STORM to beat Canberra
RABBITOHS to beat Dragons
EELS to beat Titans
SHARKS to beat Tigers
PANTHERS to beat Bulldogs
2022 NRL Season Prediction Results
Our tips jumped ahead of the alternative tips last week, so now onto bigger and better things.
ALTERNATIVE TIPS – 59% – 19/32
6/8 First Round Form
4/8 More Dangerous Mascot
3/8 Best H2H
6/8 April Fools
OUR TIPS – 63% – 20/32
2022 NRL Round 5 Weekly H2H Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one visual, or two. Click on the images for a closer look. It looks marginally more impressive closer up.
2022 NRL Round 4 Barely Interesting Stats
MATCH BY MATCH BARELY INTERESTING STATS
Newcastle have lost both Thursday games played v Sydney sides. Manly have lost their last three Thursday clashes and won just three of 12 overall.
Manly’s last win over Newcastle pre-dates Covid. Alternatively, Newcastle are on a three game winning run covering 2020 and 2021.
The Warriors are undefeated in two games at Redcliffe and have won both games by 14 points.
New Zealand are also on a run of five straight wins v Queensland teams at home.
North Queensland have lost five straight on a Friday, scoring exactly 18 points three times. They’ve also lost nine of their last 10 Friday games.
A field goal has been kicked in four of the last five clashes between the Warriors and Cowboys and only one of them has been decided by one point.
Roosters have won five straight v Queensland sides and 11 of their last 12 matches.
St George Illawarra may have won the most recent Charity Shield game v South Sydney earlier in the year, but they have lost seven competition games in a row to Souths. And 13 of the last 15 going back to 2014.
The Dragons have also lost 11 in a row v Sydney clubs.
South Sydney have won 11 in a row on a Saturday.
Canberra have lost seven straight to Melbourne at home on a Saturday.
Melbourne have won seven straight away on a Saturday.
There’s still hope for the Bulldogs, the last four teams beaten by Melbourne to nil before the Dogs all made the top eight by season’s end.
Sharks have won three straight at Shark Park v Tigers. Wests Tigers have lost five Sunday games in a row v Sydney clubs.
Bulldogs have lost three straight v Penrith and scored just four points in total. They have also conceded 100 points in that run.
Bulldogs have lost their past 12 games on a Sunday in Sydney.
Penrith haven’t played an away game on a Sunday since 2018.
2022 NRL Round 5 Barely Interesting Stats – Extra
2022 TEAM STATS
Here’s a brief look at some key stats on the field for each team so far in NRL 2022.
PENALTY STATS IN 2022
2022 NRL Gurgler Form-O-Meter
Introduced as part of the Wooden Spooners Headlines is our Form-O-Meter.
This takes in 15 various stats from this season, and ranks each team within those stats. Then add all the scores together for the ultimate Form-O-Meter.
The scores relate to each team’s distance from the top scoring team.
YOU MAY HAVE MISSED…..
In a blatant attempt to get more views on NRL stories we’ve previously released, here’s a selection of the finest cuts.
Sporting Cynic – Why your team can’t win the NRL Premiership
GurglerBet – 2022 NRL Betting Specials
