Time to board the 2022 NRL Round 4 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips train for a big weekend of rugba leeg highlighted by the Grand Final replay on Friday.
Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, some barely interesting stats to go alongside, and our own thoughts on who will win.
We also offer up some alternative tips. These alternative tips are often based on a rugby league, and sometimes something completely absurd, and are aimed at those NRL tipsters who just can’t be bothered.
This week it is all about April Fools. But more on that later.
So enjoy the 2022 NRL Round 4 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips where there’s something for everyone. Mostly.
And in case you missed it, all the biggest exclusive stories from last weekend’s action is in our Wooden Spooners NRL Round 3 Headlines…
2022 NRL Round 4 Predictions – Alternative Tips
Short on inspiration already? Or looking for that edge to your tipping that no one else in your competition has? Well here are the Alternative NRL Tips for this round.
This week’s alternative tips is based on each team’s winning record in April since 1998. Given that April Fool’s Day will fall over the weekend.
Simples.
2022 NRL Round 4 Predictions – Gurgler Tips
Can we beat our own Alternative NRL tips? Usually not, so again we’ll be the April Fool.
TIGERS to beat Titans
SHARKS to beat Knights
PANTHERS to beat Rabbitohs
WARRIORS to beat Broncos
SEA EAGLES to beat Raiders
ROOSTERS to beat Cowboys
STORM to beat Bulldogs
EELS to beat Dragons
2022 NRL Season Prediction Results
Alternative tips are ahead after week one, and why not, it used first week form, unlike our woeful logic. And the Alternative tips picked a draw….
ALTERNATIVE TIPS – 63% – 13/24
6/8 First Round Form
4/8 More Dangerous Mascot
3/8 Best H2H
OUR TIPS – 56% – 13/24
2022 NRL Round 4 Weekly H2H Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one visual, or two. Click on the images for a closer look. It looks marginally more impressive closer up.
2022 NRL Round 4 Barely Interesting Stats
MATCH BY MATCH BARELY INTERESTING STATS
Wests Tigers have won all three games v Qld on a Thursday. Although they have won just two of their ten away games on a Thursday.
Gold Coast Titans have lost all five games on a Thursday. The Gold Coast Chargers are the only Gold Coast team to win on a Thursday, and that was against the laide Rams.
West Tigers have won three of the last four at CBUS Stadium v Titans. And four of their last five at the ground if you include the Bulldogs game.
Gold Cost have lost their last three games v Sydney teams at home. Eight of their last nine too. Plus 14 of their last 16.
Newcastle have won the last four games between these sides. None have been at Shark Park.
Sharks have won their last four matches v Newcastle at Shark Park or equivalent name.
Four of the last five Sharks games on a Friday have been decided by five points or less. Three of those games have seen field goals.
Newcastle have won just four of their 20 away trips v non Sydney clubs on a Friday. Obscure enough for you.
Penrith and Souths have the NRL’s second worst and worst record respectively in April since 1998.
Penrith are going for a 13th win in a row at home on a Friday this weekend.
It’s 19 in a row at Penrith Stadium going back to 2019. They average just 9 points against in that run.
Souths have only lost three of their last 16 away games v Sydney clubs. All three were against Penrith.
Souths have scored exactly 12 points four times in the last six clashes v Penrith.
Warriors have won all of their matches v Broncos at a neutral venue. (1/1)
This will be the Broncos first game at Sunshine Coast Stadium / Dolphin Oval
Broncos have lost eight of their last nine away games on a Saturday.
The last five times Broncos have won either two or three consecutive games, the first loss is by an average of 36 points.
The last seven games between these sides on a Saturday have been at Manly’s home ground.
Roosters have won three straight in Qld v North Queensland.
Cowboys have won just three of their 15 clashes v Sydney clubs since 2021. One of seven at their current home ground in that run.
North Queensland lost all eight games against the top six sides last season. Aside from the 24-0 loss to Penrith, the Cowboys scored either 16 or 18 in all of those games.
Bulldogs have the best H2H record v Melbourne since 1998, their Storm’s winning rate is still 51%.
Melbourne have now lost three of their past four Saturday games.
Even worse, the Storm have lost five of their last six matches at AAMI Park on a Saturday.
Parramatta have scored exactly 12 in their past three meetings v Dragons and won just one.
Parramatta have won five straight on a Sunday. Dragons have lost their past four Sunday clashes and conceded at just over 41 points per game.
2022 NRL Round 4 Barely Interesting Stats Extra
APRIL FOOLS – TEAM WINNING % IN APRIL SINCE 1998
2022 NRL Gurgler Form-O-Meter
Introduced as part of the Wooden Spooners Headlines is our Form-O-Meter.
This takes in 15 various stats from this season, and ranks each team within those stats. Then add all the scores together for the ultimate Form-O-Meter.
The scores relate to each team’s distance from the top scoring team.
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In a blatant attempt to get more views on NRL stories we’ve previously released, here’s a selection of the finest cuts.
Sporting Cynic – Why your team can’t win the NRL Premiership
GurglerBet – 2022 NRL Betting Specials
