Welcome to our 2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 13 + Stats Preview – a meandering look into the upcoming weekend of Premier League football.
We not only provide our predictions for the upcoming GW13 Premier League fixtures, but offer up a wide range of H2H and in-season stats and barely interesting facts.
Enough to keep one busy for a while anyway.
The International break is over, so it’s time to get back into some regular football with our Premier League Predictions Week 13 + Stats Preview.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 13 – Our Selections
Here are our fearless predictions for the fixtures ahead, and tune in below for all the stats and barely interesting stats that go along with them.
Our tips have been terrible the last few game weeks so is due a turnaround.
Arsenal 3 Newcastle 0
Crystal Palace 1 Aston Villa 1
Liverpool 3 Southampton 0
Norwich 1 Wolves 1
Brighton 1 Leeds 0
Burnley 1 Spurs 2
Brentford 2 Everton 0
Man City 3 West Ham 0
Leicester 1 Watford 2
Chelsea 1 Man Utd 1
Season Progress – 43% – 51/120 – 17 Correct scores
Last Week – 3 / 10 – 1 Correct score
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 13 – Season Summary
Here are the league table stats in a different way.
Results colour coded. Goals stats. And a look at who each team is getting their points against.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 13 – Selecta3000 Predictions
As an alternative to our own predictions which involve relentless form study, stats analysis, and finger in the air educated guesswork, here is our Selecta3000 tips which are based on cramming as many stats in as we could manage then letting the computer work out a % win from there.
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 13 – Match by Match Stats Previews
Our big, beautiful full visual preview of each game is below.
More stats than you could probably ever want or need, for now.
SATURDAY 12:30PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
First game of the weekend. Early kick off.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Arsenal have won six in a row v Newcastle and 16 of the last 17 games going back to 2012.
Newcastle’s last goal scored v Arsenal predates Covid in September 2018. Six games ago.
In that run of 17 games mentioned previously, Newcastle have scored in just six games.
Arsenal (W19 D1) have lost just two games at home v Newcastle since 2000. And go back to 1997 since they last lost to Newcastle on a Saturday.
Newcastle, along with Aston Villa and Liverpool, have played the most games v London clubs this season,. Aston Villa and Newcastle have yet to beat a London club this season. Everton and Watford are the other winless London teams from fewer games.
Despite being last, Newcastle have scored more goals this season than fifth placed Arsenal. And more than 6th Wolves and 7th Spurs.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Arsenal 3 Newcastle 0
SATURDAY 3:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Crystal Palace are going and playing well, and Aston Villa have the new manager bounce with Steven Gerrard,
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
The home side has won the last six straight games, the away side has scored in just two of those games.
On a Saturday the home unbeaten streak is 15 games, with the last away win on a Saturday back in 1980.
These teams have only met twice before in November, Crystal Palace are undefeated (W1 D1)
As above with Newcastle, Aston Villa have played the equal most games v London sides and not won.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Crystal Palace 1 Aston Villa 1
SATURDAY 3:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Liverpool are always worth watching.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Liverpool have won the past four games at home v Southampton by a combined 12-0.
Liverpool are one of only four teams yet to be beaten by a team from outside the top six (at time of match). The others are Chelsea, Crystal Palace and Leicester.
Only Crystal Palace and Liverpool are yet to lose at home this season.
Southampton’s last win away to a big six club was on Boxing Day 2019 v Chelsea.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Liverpool 3 Southampton 0
SATURDAY 3:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Norwich on the road to recovery and Wolves are now top four giant killers.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Only Norwich and Man City are currently on a two game winning streak (the current comp’s longest) – the teams are second and second last.
Wolves have won the last two games at Norwich.
There have been three games between these sides in November, and the away side has never scored a goal.
Wolves (W3 D1) are unbeaten this season v bottom six sides. And W2 D1 away from home.
Norwich have kept one clean sheet at home this season, they only had two last visit to the EPL, and three the EPL season before that.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Norwich 1 Wolves 1
SATURDAY 5:30PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Last season’s over achiever meets this season’s over achiever.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Brighton are in the bottom six for expected goals since October (last six games)
Leeds have conceded the equal third fewest goals in the last six and are sixth best for expected goals against.
These sides have one win between them in the last 10 games combined. Brighton’s seven game winless streak is the competition’s second longest.
Going back to 2014 Brighton have won right of the last nine clashes v Leeds. Not only have Leeds not won any of their five away games in that run, they haven’t scored a goal.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Brighton 1 Leeds 0
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Things are on the up. Burnley scored three last weekend and Spurs had a shot on target.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Burnley are currently on the third longest unbeaten streak.
The last three record for this game at Burnley is a win a piece and one draw.
There have been five league matches between these sides and the away side hasn’t won any.
Spurs are 3/3 against bottom six sides this season. Burnley are D1 L3 v big six clubs.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Burnley 1 Spurs 2
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Two sides in desperate need of a win.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Everton have won just one of nine games at Brentford.
These teams have the third and fourth worst winless streak. Both sides have L3 D1 their last four games,
Brentford have lost 1/4 v fellow middle eight sides and Everton have won 1/6 v fellow middle eight sides.
These teams have never met on a Sunday.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Brentford 2 Everton 0
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
A top four clash.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
There have ben no goals scored in meetings between these sides this season.
Man City have won five in a row v West Ham at home. And 13 of the last 14. And six in a row on a Sunday at home.
These two sides, along with Liverpool, have the best points per game v big six teams this season (2.00)
Man City (2.50) has the best points per game v top six sides this season. West Ham (1.50) are second.
Mark Noble’s Expected Goals per 90 minutes is currently 34.25. Thanks to Understat
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Man City 3 West Ham 0
SUNDAY 2:00PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Can Watford hurt another struggling team?
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Leicester have won five in a row at home to Watford by a combined 11-1.
There have been no goals scored in the only games at Leicester between these sides on a Sunday.
Leicester are 0/2 at home v London sides.
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Leicester 1 Watford 2
SUNDAY 4:30PM
WHY SHOULD YOU CARE
Surely Man Utd will show up this weekend. If they don’t, Chelsea’s form points to a pantsing.
WHAT ARE THE BARELY INTERESTING STATS?
Chelsea are the leading scorers at home this season so far.
Man Utd are 1/1 away to big six clubs this season. That win was against a London club.
The last two games between these sides ended 0-0.
Man Utd (W3 D2) are undefeated in their last five trips to Chelsea.
Chelsea are equal clean sheet kings this season with Man City. Man Utd have the fifth worst expected goals against.
The last five first game results for a new Man Utd are as follows (most recent game first) – WWLLW
WHO’S GOING TO WIN?
Chelsea 1 Man Utd 1
2021-22 Premier League Predictions Week 12 – Stats Corner
Before we get into our in depth game by game preview, here are some key season stats so far.
We have shots and passes, saves and touches. Expected goals and more. Stats are taken from our in depth analysis into Fantasy Premier League.
You can find all our FPL stuff here at All Fantasy Football
EXPECTED GOALS
Here are the Expected goals stats, plus a quick look at which team is outperforming and underperforming.
Stats courtesy of Understat website.2021-22 Premier League Week 13 Predictions – xG
EXPECTED POINTS
We take our own difficulty rating system and then work out who should have won on paper and compare that to the actual points scored.
SACKED MANAGER MATRIX
For no good reason we have identified a bunch of form statistics and combined them into a score to determine who the next manager sacked is.
Previous editions picked Newcastle and other teams correctly as a team about to sack their manager.
This week it looks like Everton are the best bet.
But there are a few other visuals of interest, like difference in points per game for the last six and three games, plus a points per Million spent to see the real overachievers.
