In case you have some excitement left after this week’s State of Origin opener we offer up our Alternative NRL Round 14 Tips for this week.
Why not take on board our weekly Alternative NRL Tipping method. You’ve got nothing to lose by coming this far already and it will save you precious time. To maybe rewatch Game of Thrones.
Each week we have a new theme, and occasionally it will have nothing to do with rugby league. Just the way we like it. This week in honour of the first State of Origin game of the season, we have tips based on the result straight after the first big interstate contest.
In addition to the tips are a whole bunch of barely interesting stats for the round of NRL ahead. Impress your neighbours, parcel delivery drivers, and fellow passengers by stealing them and sharing.
Good luck with your Alternative NRL Round 14 Tips if you choose to use them.
READ MORE – ROUND 13 WEEKEND HEADLINES
NRL Round 14 Tips Alternative – Gurgler v Post Origin 1 Form
So here are this week’s alternative tips. The method to how it works is below.
METHOD TO THE MADNESS
We got the record of each NRL Side in their first game after Origin I since 2010 and worked out who has the biggest winning percentage.
The team that historically wins the most since 2010 is more likely to win this season. So gets the tips for this season.
Says us anyway.
NRL Round 14 Tips – Our Selections
We think we are much better tippers than the alternative and so here are our selections for the week. So far we’re winning.
COWBOYS to beat Sea Eagles
PANTHERS to beat Sharks
ROOSTERS to beat Titans
RABBITOHS to beat Knights
RAIDERS to beat Broncos
STORM to beat Warriors
EELS to beat Tigers
DRAGONS to beat Bulldogs
2021 Us v Them NRL Tipping Scoreboard
US – 70% – 70/100
ALTERNATIVE TIPS
THEM – 54% – 54/100
FIRST ROUND FORM – 4/8
FULLBACKS – 5/8
INJURIES @ RD 3 – 6/8
EASTER – 4/8
ZERO POINTS – 5/8
MASCOTS – 4/8
PENALTIES – 4/8
POST CONTACT METRES – 5/8
BEST H2H – 3/8
SUNCORP STADIUM RECORD – 6/8
DISCIPLINE – 4/8
WINTER – 3/8
SCRABBLE – 1/4
NRL Round 14 Tips – Barely Interesting Stats
- Manly have won all three clashes against the Cowboys since 1998 on a Friday. Manly scored a consistent 22,26,24 in those games while the Cowboys scored a palindromic 12,21,12.
- Cowboys have lost their last six away trips on a Friday and have not won since May 2018 in Bathurst against the Panthers.
- Sharks have won eight of their last nine home matches on a Friday.
- Penrith’s only regular season loss in 2020 was in an away game to a fellow Sydney side, and last week registered their first loss of the season after playing an away game to a fellow Sydney team on a Friday night. Going back to 2018 they have won 1/7 on a Friday v Sydney team away. Overall since 1998 the winning % is just 11.6%. Their away Friday night record isn’t much better at 24%.
- Gold Coast have won just four of the 20 home matches played against Sydney teams since 2018.
- Roosters are on a six game winning streak v Gold Coast. And five in a row on a Saturday going back to 2012.
- Souths have lost just three home games on a Saturday against NSW sides since 2010. Although those three losses have come in the last three seasons.
- Newcastle’s last six away games follow a pattern and mean victory this weekend – (most recent game first) LLWLLW.
- Canberra have lost five games in a row at home, their opposition have scored 34 three times in that run and there’s 1 x 35 points conceded also. The other game saw them concede 24 points which isn’t quite as interesting.
- Brisbane have won two of their 18 away games since the start of 2020.
- Melbourne have won ten in a row against the Warriors.
- But there is hope – the Warriors games v Melbourne on a Sunday follow a pattern. Most recent result first – LLLWWLLLWWLLL
- Parramatta have lost their last three games on a Sunday to Sydney opposition. And their scores have halved each time 24->12->6. So that means a loss with three points this weekend then.
- Parramatta are on a six match winning streak v Wests Tigers.
- Wests Tigers have won their last five away games on a Sunday to Sydney opposition. Four of those five opponents have been the St George Illawarra Dragons.
NRL Round 14 Tips – Barely Interesting Visuals
Aside from the weekly barely interesting facts are a few visuals that we came up with while looking at the match by match stats.
The first is a follow up to the weekly tips – best record after State of Origin #1 by team. And for once Melbourne does have best record for something.
The we were wondering which day is more likely to see an away team win a game, so we have those stats since 1998.
After that while trying to find something barely interesting for the Dragons-Bulldogs clash we wondered if it was the lowest scoring fixture of all. It wasn’t. So we threw in the top and bottom ten matches by average of total points scored per game.
