So much football, so little time, so let’s not waste time on a big intro and offer up our Premier League Predictions Week 31 and Preview.
There’s loads of stats and barely interesting figures for all.
So please accept and enjoy our Premier League Predictions Week 30 and Preview.
Premier League Predictions Week 31 – Season Summary
Tables are great for determining where a team sits in the Premier League but why not have a fancy visual that shows a quick summary of the 20-21 season so far.
Premier League Predictions Week 31 – Match by Match
FRIDAY 8:00PM UK
FULHAM v WOLVES
MATCH STATS
Why Fulham can win
Wolves are one win from four matches away to bottom six sides. Wolves actually have the lowest points haul against bottom six teams.
Fulham have a better xG than Wolves and their expected points is only one point apart.
Why Wolves can win.
Fulham haven’t beaten a middle eight team at home this season.
Wolves have lost just one of the last 13 matches against Fulham since 2014 (W8 D4 L1)
Barely Interesting Stat:
Teams have met only once on a Friday and Wolves won that only game in 2017.
We Say….
Fulham 1 Wolves 0
SATURDAY 12:30PM UK
MANCHESTER CITY v LEEDS UTD
MATCH STATS
Why Man City can win
Man City are W11 D3 against middle eight teams this season and 100% in the six games at home at the handy combined score of 17-3.
Man City are the leading scorer of goals this season and have the best expected goals total. Leeds have scored the seventh most goals and have the fifth best xG despite sitting 11th on the table.
Leeds are the only team whose expected goals against is over two goals a game away from home. Man City are the only team with an xG of greater than two goals a game.
Why Leeds can win.
Leeds have lost just three of 13 matches to Man City on a Saturday since 1992-93. Man City have won one of the last four on a Saturday.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Leeds have W2 L5 against the top six teams away this season but have scored the most goals in those games (12). They have also conceded 19 goals which is the second highest amount. It does help they have played more top six sides away than all teams except Sheffield Utd.
The last match in Manchester between these sides was won by Man City in the Cup 4-0 in 2013.
We Say….
Man City 5 Leeds 1
SATURDAY 3:00PM UK
LIVERPOOL v ASTON VILLA
MATCH STATS
Why Liverpool can win
Liverpool have won the last two games v Villa at Anfield. Although the four games before that are without a win.
Liverpool have also won the last three games on a Saturday.
Why Aston Villa can win.
Aston Villa beat Liverpool 7-2 when they weren’t so rubbish at home.
Liverpool have lost six in a row at home and winless in eight. They are winless in five matches since GW11 at home to a side outside of the top six.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Fulham have a better xG total at home since January than Liverpool whose 7.6 is just 16th best.
Aston Villa have the second worst Point per Game comparison for pre GW20 and post GW20. Southampton are the worst. Liverpool are third worst. The biggest improver is Sheffield Utd, helped by setting a very low bar pre GW20. Fulham and Brighton are next best.
We Say….
Liverpool 2 Aston Villa 0
SATURDAY 5:30PM UK
CRYSTAL PALACE v CHELSEA
MATCH STATS
Why Crystal Palace can win
Chelsea have won just two of six away to the middle eight sides.
Why Chelsea can win.
Crystal Palace have won just one in eight v London sides this season.
Chelsea have won six straight v Crystal Palace and five of the last six at Selhurst Park.
Crystal Palace (D3 L5) have yet to beat a top six side this season.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Crystal Palace have won four of the last nine clashes v Chelsea on a Saturday.
We Say….
Crystal Palace 0 Chelsea 4
SUNDAY 12:00PM UK
BURNLEY v NEWCASTLE
MATCH STATS
Why Burnley can win
Newcastle are winless in seven games.
Only Chelsea, Leeds and Brighton have conceded fewer goals in their last six home games.
Burnley have lost just one in the last seven home games v Newcastle.
Why Newcastle can win.
Burnley have won just one of the last six matches v Newcastle home or away.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Burnley have drawn five of their last six home games, but still have more points in those six games than Liverpool and Everton combined.
These teams have met 107 times since 1895. This is the first match to be played on a Sunday.
We Say….
Burnley 0 Newcastle 0
SUNDAY 2:05PM UK
WEST HAM v LEICESTER
MATCH STATS
Why West Ham can win
West Ham have a 100% win record v Midlands sides this season in eight games.
West Ham’s 3-0 win at Leicester earlier in the season was rather impressive.
Why Leicester can win.
Leicester are unbeaten in the last five games at West Ham.
Leicester have the superior record v top six sides – Leicester (W2 D1 L4) West Ham (W1 L8) and West Ham have lost all three home games v top six sides.
Barely Interesting Stat:
West Ham are unbeaten in the two games played on a Sunday at West Ham and have a record of W1 D1 away on a Sunday v Leicester. 17 goals have been scored in those four games.
We Say….
West Ham 2 Leicester 3
SUNDAY 4:30PM UK
SPURS v MAN UTD
MATCH STATS
Why Spurs can win
Mourinho is a jerk and Spurs beat Man Utd 6-1 earlier in the season.
Spurs are on a winning streak of three at home. Only Man Utd can match that for current run.
Why Man Utd can win.
Spurs have lost all three home games v top six sides.
Man Utd (W9 D6) are still undefeated away this season.
Man Utd are unbeaten in their last five games v London clubs.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Man Utd are undefeated (W1 D3) against big six clubs away from home this season. They have scored the equal fewest goals with just two. But they are also yet to concede a goal.
Spurs have won just two of 13 matches at home on a Sunday to Man Utd.
We Say….
Spurs 0 Man Utd 0
SUNDAY 7:00PM UK
SHEFFIELD UTD v ARSENAL
MATCH STATS
Why Sheffield Utd can win
The pattern of Sheffield Utd at home to Arsenal is (most recent game first) LWLWLW – which means it’s time for the Blades to win.
Why Arsenal can win.
Arsenal have won the past two fixtures with Sheffield Utd by 2-1.
Sheffield Utd have one point in nine games v London sides this season. The Blades have scored three more goals than Fulham have against London sides.
Sheffield Utd have lost all five games at home to big six clubs.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Sheffield Utd have spent all but the first two gameweeks this season in the bottom two.
These teams have met five times on a Sunday and only one of the games was in the league. Arsenal have won the last three and Sheffield Utd the first fixture on a Sunday.
We Say….
Sheffield Utd 0 Arsenal 3
MONDAY 6:00PM UK
WEST BROM v SOUTHAMPTON
MATCH STATS
Why West Brom can win
West Brom could hardly have impressed more last weekend by flogging Chelsea in London.
Southampton have won one in nine away games and lost five of their last six away.
West Brom are 11th for last six form – Southampton are 16th.
Why Southampton can win.
Southampton are on a five game winning streak v West Brom. And the last three in a row at West Brom.
Southampton have lost just once in six away games to bottom six sides.
Barely Interesting Stat:
West Brom have not won a game this season against middle eight clubs at home (D1 L4)
Only Man Utd have conceded fewer goals away from in the last six game than West Brom.
We Say….
West Brom 2 Southampton 1
MONDAY 8:15PM UK
BRIGHTON v EVERTON
MATCH STATS
Why Brighton can win
Brighton are undefeated at home v Everton since re-entering the top flight aka Premier League.
Brighton have the third highest xG total at home this season. They are just 12 goals from their xG total.
Why Everton can win.
Everton (W4 D1) are undefeated away to bottom six sides.
Brighton (D2 L3) are winless at home to middle eight sides.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Everton have won the only two games played between these sides on a weekday.
We Say….
Brighton 2 Everton 1
