Midweek Premier League is here, and so are our our Premier League Predictions Week 13 and Preview which as ever is packed full of data.
Our preview rushes through all the available Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading just as quickly as the games are coming.
And if that isn’t enough, we throw in our own predictions for each game. With our current strike rate in the 40-50% range. Underwhelming yes, but it has been a difficult season.
Too much football is barely enough, and so is our preview.
Come for the stats, stay for the Midweek Premier League Predictions Week 13.
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
In addition to the below we have some FPL gear too.
Premier League Predictions Week 13 – Season Results Summary
Tables are all good and well, but what about a much more colourful presentation of the results for the 20-21 Premier League season so far, with some opposition stats.
Premier League Week 13 Predictions – Preview Summary
H2H stats are for all time unless stated, and other stats are based on last season.
This week we have included a new prediction feature based on a bunch of stats, which are explained at the end to save you time now.
TUESDAY GAMES
WOLVES v CHELSEA
MATCH STATS
Why Wolves can win
Wolves are undefeated in two home matches v London clubs this season. And 3/4 overall.
Why Chelsea can win.
Chelsea have scored nearly twice as many goals away as Wolves have at home.
Chelsea are three goals better than their Expected Goals – Wolves are one goal behind. And no Jiminez. Chelsea xG is ten goals more too.
Chelsea lead the midweek H2H 5-4 (2 draws)
Barely Interesting Stat:
Chelsea won 6-0 the last time this game was played ion a Tuesday.
The sequence of results at Wolves is this (most recent game first – Chelsea, Wolves, Chelsea, Chelsea, Wolves, Chelsea, Chelsea, Wolves, Chelsea, Chelsea.
Why Should We Care
Midweek football is great.
We Say….
Wolves 0 Chelsea 3
S&C Computer Says….
MANCHESTER CITY v WEST BROM
MATCH STATS
Why Man City can win
Man City’s xG is 12 goals higher.
Man City average five more shots and two more shots on target per games than West Brom.
Man City haven’t conceded a goal for three games.
Man City have won the last six games played in midweek.
Man City have won the last eight home matches v West Brom. West Brom’s last win was in 2003.
Why West Brom can win.
West Brom have won as many games in December (10) as Man City. And despite losing the last two in December v West Brom, they avoided defeat in the prior five games in December.
Barely Interesting Stat:
West Brom haven’t beaten Man City during midweek in Manchester since 1931, 11 games ago.
Why Should We Care
Because there could be plenty of goals here.
We Say….
Man City 6 West Brom 0
S&C Computer Says….
WEDNESDAY GAMES
ARSENAL v SOUTHAMPTON
MATCH STATS
Why Arsenal can win
Can they?
Arsenal have won twice as many midweek games as Southampton. (14 – 7 + 10 draws)
Southampton have beaten Arsenal only once in the league on a Wednesday from nine matches.
Why Southampton can win.
The Saints have scored twice as many away as Arsenal have at home.
Arsenal have lost heir last four home games and scored just once in the process. Southampton are undefeated in their last five games away (3W 2D)
Southampton are nine goals ahead of their xG, Arsenal are four goals behind.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Arsenal have scored exactly two goals in the past four matches v Southampton, and have won two (+ 1D 1L)
Why Should We Care
How low can it go for Arsenal. With Sheffield Utd making Southampton look like Bayern Munich, Arsenal will struggle to win at home, again.
We Say….
Arsenal 1 Southampton 2
S&C Computer Says….
LEEDS UTD v NEWCASTLE
MATCH STATS
Why Leeds can win
Leeds average five more shots and two more on target than Newcastle. And xG is eight goals higher.
Leeds hold a 7-2 advantage in December at home to Newcastle.
Why Newcastle can win.
Newcastle are on a two game winning streak. Leeds are two losses in a row.
Newcastle have conceded just four goals on the road this season, while Leeds have let in 11 goals at home.
Newcastle have lost just once in five games away this season. Leeds haven’t won any of their last five at home.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Newcastle have won five of the last seven Wednesday clashes between these sides. Leeds have one win and a draw to show for that run.
Why Should We Care
Two former fallen big teams from the Premier League meet in the Premier League again.
We Say….
Leeds 1 Newcastle 1
S&C Computer Says….
LEICESTER v EVERTON
MATCH STATS
Why Leicester can win
Jamie Vardy has hit form nicely after the Brighton game. He has six goals and four assists in ten games v Everton.
Leicester have won two of the last three games at home to Everton.
Why Everton can win.
Everton have a 100% record away to top six opposition this season. And big side teams.
Leicester have won just once in 12 midweek games since 1966. Prior to that Leicester had won three midweek clashes in a row.
Barely Interesting Stat:
These two sides have nearly the exact same shots per game, shots on target per game and shots on target %. Leicester are a little further ahead of their xG than Everton.
Leicester have only won one of 11 games between these sides on a Wednesday.
Why Should We Care
Two teams trying to crack into the top six
We Say….
Leicester 2 Everton 0
S&C Computer Says….
LIVERPOOL v SPURS
MATCH STATS
Why Liverpool can win
Liverpool haven’t been beaten at home for more than a few seasons now. Although Spurs (4W 2D) are undefeated away.
Liverpool have had more shots, more shots on target this season and the xG is a lot higher. Spurs as least are outperforming their xG by five goals – Liverpool is better than xG by two goals.
Liverpool are on a run of five straight victories over Spurs.
Why Spurs can win.
Because Jose Mourinho loves these big clashes, and has Spurs going well this season.
Son and Kane are the most lethal Premier League combo in the game at the moment, and possibly for ever if they keep going the way they are.
Spurs are top of the last six form in the Premier League.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Liverpool have won just two of the last 15 clashes on a Wednesday – 2010 and 1991.
Liverpool haven’t lost at home to Spurs in December ever.
Why Should We Care
If first v second isn’t good enough for you then you are very hard to please.
We Say….
Liverpool 1 Spurs 1
S&C Computer Says….
FULHAM v BRIGHTON
MATCH STATS
Why Fulham can win
Fulham drew with Liverpool on the weekend, so Brighton should be easier in theory.
Fulham have a 100% record at home to bottom six sides this season.
Why Brighton can win.
Brighton have lost every second away game this season, and lost their most recent away game, so according to the pattern a win or draw is coming.
Prior to their last season together in the EPL, Brighton had won five
Barely Interesting Stat:
Brighton last beat Fulham in midweek back in 1971. It is their only win in 10 matches played during midweek v Fulham.
Why Should We Care
Well this is being played at same time as Liverpool v Spurs, so one for the second screen or die hard fans.16th v 18th doesn’t inspire too much.
We Say….
Fulham 2 Brighton 1
S&C Computer Says….
WEST HAM v CRYSTAL PALACE
MATCH STATS
Why West Ham can win
Were quite impressive against Leeds.
West Ham have won the only two clashes between these sides in December at West Ham.
Why Crystal Palace can win.
A draw against Spurs last weekend is a great result to build some form from.
Crystal Palace did the double over West Ham last season.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Four December games played between these sides have gone with the home team every time.
Why Should We Care
A London derby between two sides that are surprising a few this season.
We Say….
West Ham 2 Crystal Palace 0
S&C Computer Says….
THURSDAY GAMES
ASTON VILLA v BURNLEY
MATCH STATS
Why Aston Villa can win
Aston Villa’s xG is ten expected goals higher, and they significantly more shots and on target.
Aston Villa have won the last three midweek clashes and lead 8-5 overall (2 draws)
Why Burnley can win.
Beating Arsenal in London is a decent effort and Burnley have lost just once in the last five, which was the standard 5-0 away loss to Man City. Burnley are actually ahead of Aston Villa in the form table.
Villa’s home record is a cause for concern now, three losses in a row.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Aston Villa have won all four games at Villa Park in December by a combined 16-4.
Why Should We Care
Because who doesn’t love an all claret clash.
We Say….
Aston Villa 0 Burnley 1
S&C Computer Says….
SHEFFIELD UTD v MANCHESTER UNITED
MATCH STATS
Why Sheffield Utd can win
Because their xG is better than four other teams, but they are underperforming it by 7.5 goals. Surely one day it will turn around as at least they are creating a few chances.
Why Man Utd can win.
Five from five on the road this season.
Man Utd average five more shot on goal per game and two more on target.
The Blades have scored two goals at home this season. Man Utd have eight times more.
Barely Interesting Stat:
The last time Sheffield Utd beat Manchester Utd in the league was in the first month of the Premier League back in 1992.
Why Should We Care
Because Manchester Utd are a lot more interesting on the road this season, coming from behind in five games.
We Say….
Sheffield Utd 0 Manchester Utd 4
S&C Computer Says….
