Here are our our Premier League Predictions Week 12 and Preview which as ever is packed full of data.
Our preview ambles through all the available Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading.
And if that isn’t enough, we throw in our 2020-21 Premier League Week 12 Predictions for each game. With our current strike rate in the 40-50% range. Underwhelming yes, but it has been a difficult season.
We’d better hurry up and get ready for the midweek fixtures coming up this week as well. Too much football is barely enough.
For now, come for the stats, stay for the Premier League Predictions Week 12.
FANTASY PREMIER LEAGUE PLAYERS
In addition to the below we have some FPL gear too.
Premier League Predictions Week 12 – Season Results Summary
Tables are all good and well, but what about a much more colourful presentation of the results for the 20-21 Premier League season so far, with some opposition stats.
Premier League Week 12 Predictions – Preview Summary
H2H stats are for all time unless stated, and other stats are based on last season.
This week we have included a new prediction feature based on a bunch of stats, which are explained at the end to save you time now.
FRIDAY GAMES
LEEDS UTD v WEST HAM UTD
MATCH STATS
Why Leeds can win
Leeds have only been beaten once by West Ham since 2000 in 11 games. West Ham have only beaten Leeds three times since 1980. (Leeds 18 Draw 9 West Ham 3)
West Ham have won just 7/51 at Elland Road.
Leeds have been beaten once in a midweek fixture (not Sat/Sun) in ten games at Leeds.
Why West Ham can win.
Leeds are better away than at home this season. They haven’t won this the first home game of the season v Fulham.
Patrick Bamford has scored just one of his eight goals this year at home.
Barely Interesting Stat:
West Ham have scored and conceded the exact same goals home and away this season.
The only two games between these sides on a Friday have ended in a draw.
Three of the four games to kick off at 8pm on Friday in the entire Premier League have ended to 2-0 to someone. The other 3-0.
Why Should We Care
Should be pretty entertaining.
We Say….
Leeds 1 West Ham 1
S&C Computer Says….
SATURDAY GAMES
WOLVES v ASTON VILLA
MATCH STATS
Why Wolves can win
Wolves won both games last season.
Wolves have also won the last three home games between these sides.
Why Aston Villa can win.
Aston Villa are better away lately than at home and have conceded just the two goals away this season. Both of those last away game at West Ham.
Ni Jiminez for Wolves.
Aston Villa have had nearly a two week break between fixtures.
Aston Villa have a 100% record v bottom six and middle eight teams away from home.
Barely Interesting Stat:
These teams haven’t met on a Saturday in December since 1964. Aston Villa’s record on Saturday in December isn’t great either 3/15.
Why Should We Care
Not quite a Birmingham City v Aston Villa derby (the last of which saw Jack Grealish punched on field before going on to score the winning goal) but should offer enough quality for the neutral.
We Say….
Wolves 0 Aston Villa 0
S&C Computer Says….
NEWCASTLE UTD v WEST BROM
MATCH STATS
Why Newcastle can win
Callum Wilson has scored as many goals as West Brom this season.
Newcastle’s results sequence at home this season is (most recent game first) L W L W L. So W is next.
Why West Brom can win.
West Brom take more shots and have more on target than Newcastle.
West Brom won the last game in Newcastle on a Saturday (in 2018). Before that win it was 9 games and 41 years for the last win.
Barely Interesting Stat:
These two sides are first and second for saves made per game. West Brom lead the league for saves within the six yard box.
West Brom have won the last four matches against Newcastle in December.
Why Should We Care
This could be pretty dull. How sad that there is only one Saturday 3pm kick off these days. We like the West Brom kits.
We Say….
Newcastle 1 West Brom 0
S&C Computer Says….
MANCHESTER UTD v MANCHESTER CITY
MATCH STATS
Why Man Utd can win
No team has scored more points from a losing position than Man Utd. Man City have just two draws from four deficits.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s record against Man City is 3 wins 3 losses. Not sure if that’s good or not, but it is mildly interesting.
Champions League exit could spur them onto league success.
Man Utd have won two from two when playing in the Premier League immediately following a Champions League loss.
Why Man City can win.
Man Utd’s home record this season is woeful. No points against top six sides and one point against big six teams. Man City can’t talk though, they have 0 points away to top six sides or big six teams.
The away side has won the last three clashes on a Saturday.
Only Burnley and Sheffield Utd have scored fewer goals at home than Man Utd,
Barely Interesting Stat:
Manchester City won the last Manchester derby at Man Utd in December in 2017. It was the first win in the 12 games that have been played at Old Trafford in December.
This is the first game between these sides on a Saturday at Old Trafford in four seasons.
Why Should We Care
Premium clash of the weekend with a Manchester derby. Man Utd on the improve, hard to tell with Man City if you exclude the now traditional 5-0 win over Burnley last weekend.
We Say….
Man Utd 0 Man City 3
S&C Computer Says….
EVERTON v CHELSEA
MATCH STATS
Why Everton can win
Everton have the Premier League’s highest scorer in Dominic Calvert-Lewin with 11 goals in 11 matches, and is exceeding his personal xG by over two goals. Meanwhile Timo Werner has four goals and is underperforming against his xG by 1.5 goals.
Everton are 3/3 for games v London sides. Chelsea have one of each in three matches against teams from the North West.
The away side haven’t lost any of the last seven clashes.
Chelsea have won only once in their last six trips to Goodison. And it is one in nine on a Saturday there.
Why Chelsea can win.
Chelsea have conceded just four goals away this season compared to Everton’s 10 at home. Goals scored are pretty even.
Chelsea are undefeated on the road this season (3W 2D) while Everton have lost their last two at home.
Barely Interesting Stat:
This will be a good test for Chelsea, as all five of their previous away games have been played against the bottom six sides (at time of playing).
Ten of the last 14 games on a Saturday in December between Everton and Chelsea have ended in a draw.
Why Should We Care
Might be a few goals in this game – 30 in the last seven games between these sides and there was a 0-0 draw.
We Say….
Everton 1 Chelsea 3
S&C Computer Says….
SUNDAY GAMES
SOUTHAMPTON v SHEFFIELD UTD
MATCH STATS
Why Southampton can win
Danny Ings is back.
Southampton have almost twice as many shots on target than Sheffield Utd.
Sheffield Utd have lost every away game his season.
Southampton won both games last season.
Southampton have won both of the games between these sides playing on a Sunday.
Why Sheffield Utd can win.
Sheffield Utd’s xG which increased rapid in the past few weekend, which means soon enough they’ll go on a scoring spree.
Sheffield Utd have won the last four games between these sides in December, and Southampton have only won one of the last ten games in December.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Sheffield Utd’s xG is better than Southampton’s despite plenty of real estate of the Premier League table in between.
Why Should We Care
Danny Ings is back, and can he continue to fire the Saints into the top four?
We Say….
Southampton 3 Sheffield Utd 2
S&C Computer Says….
CRYSTAL PALACE v SPURS
MATCH STATS
Why Crystal Palace can win
Crystal Palace have drawn once and won once in the last two games on a Sunday.
Why Spurs can win.
Kane and Son are on track to break all kinds of partnership records this season.
Spurs have a 100% away to non big six clubs this season.
Spurs’ xG is currently four goals ahead. In reality, Spurs are six goals ahead.
Barely Interesting Stat:
There have been only six clashes between Crystal Palace and Spurs in December, and Spurs haven’t lost any. (2W 4D)
Seven of the nine clashes between these sides on a Sunday have ended 1-0.
Why Should We Care
Crystal Palace and Spurs were both pretty impressive last weekend. Can the Son-Kane story continue?
We Say….
Crystal Palace 1 Spurs 1
S&C Computer Says….
FULHAM v LIVERPOOL
MATCH STATS
Why Fulham can win
Liverpool are 16th for away results this year so far, with just one win in five road trips.
Liverpool’s goal difference is still negative on the road.
Why Liverpool can win.
Liverpool saw off Wolves 4-0 last weekend without looking too dangerous, and Wolves are usually good against the top sides.
Liverpool have won the last seven games between these sides.
They may have won only once on the road this season, but Liverpool are 1/1 against London sides away. Fulham lost their only match at home to North West sides. Although that was competitive against Everton.
Fulham have never beaten Liverpool on a Sunday in five attempts. Liverpool are 3/3 on a Sunday at Fulham.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Fulham are undefeated at home to Liverpool in December. 1W 1 D.
Why Should We Care
Liverpool still demand attention, even if they aren’t as dynamic as previous seasons. Fulham are improving too.
We Say….
Fulham 0 Liverpool 3
S&C Computer Says….
ARSENAL v BURNLEY
MATCH STATS
Why Arsenal can win
Arsenal have a 100% record v bottom six opposition this season. In fact, they have only beaten bottom six opposition.
Burnley concede at over two goals a game away. Which is lucky as Arsenal average exactly one goal scored a game at home.
Burnley have only won once this season. Arsenal four.
Arsenal have won nine in a row v Burnley at home.
Why Burnley can win.
Burnley have scored two goals in their last three games. One more than Arsenal.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Arsenal’s xG is four goals higher, but Burnley’s xA (xg against) is four goals less than Arsenal.
Burnley’s last win in London v Arsenal was in the same month that BBC launched their first teletext in 1974.
Why Should We Care
How low can Arsenal go? But this is one of way too many games on a Sunday. New schedule stinks.
We Say….
Arsenal 2 Burnley 1
S&C Computer Says….
LEICESTER v BRIGHTON
MATCH STATS
Why Leicester can win
Jamie Vardy, decent strike rate against Brighton.
Leicester are one of the more efficient teams with Shots on Target %, Brighton are the worst.
Leicester are undefeated in the last six v Brighton (4W 2D)
Why Brighton can win.
Brighton have been quite good on the road this season, beating Newcastle and Aston Villa, and competitive against Spurs and Everton in losses.
Brighton are undefeated against midlands teams this season. (1W 1D)
Barely Interesting Stat:
These sides haven’t met on a Sunday.,
Why Should We Care
Because Leicester are quite hot and cold at the moment, and Brighton are playing well but not getting any rewards. Actually we’re not sure if that is a reason to watch. If you’re still up by the time this game is played then you are a warrior.
We Say….
Leicester 2 Brighton 1
S&C Computer Says….
