More football, less Covid is the main theme of this week’s Premier League Predictions Week 10 and Preview. And who would really want more Covid.
As ever our preview ambles through all ten Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading.
And if that isn’t enough, we throw in our 2020-21 Premier League Week 10 Predictions for each game.
Come for the stats, stay for the predictions.
Premier League Week 10 – Season Results Summary
Tables are all good and well, but what about a much more colourful presentation of the results for the 20-21 Premier League season so far, with some opposition stats.
Premier League Week 10 Predictions – Preview Summary
H2H stats are for all time unless stated, and other stats are based on last season.
This week we have included a new prediction feature based on a bunch of stats, which are explained at the end to save you time now.
FRIDAY GAMES
CRYSTAL PALACE v NEWCASTLE
MATCH STATS
Why Crystal Palace can win
Crystal Palace have two wins and a draw from three home games v sides in the bottom six.
Newcastle have the lowest shots on target per game this season. Although, Crystal Palace are only six places higher.
Crystal Palace have the second highest net foul figure this season. (Fouls won v Fouls conceded)
Crystal Palace flogged the last northern raider who visited Selhurst Park (v Leeds 4-1)
Crystal Palace haven’t lost any of their last five home games v Newcastle going back to 2015. But prior to that run Newcastle had won six straight at Crystal Palace.
Why Newcastle can win.
Newcastle’s record away to London teams is currently one win and one draw.
Crystal Palace have won only 1/5 of midweek clashes.
Barely Interesting Stat:
These two teams have the lowest and second lowest shots from open play per game this season.
IF Newcastle score two, go straight to your nearest bookies/betting site as they are 8/8 at Selhurst Park when scoring two or more.
Why Should We Care
Although this hardly looks like a classic on paper, some football is still better than no football.
We Say….
Crystal Palace 0 Newcastle 0
S&C Computer Says….
SATURDAY GAMES
BRIGHTON v LIVERPOOL
MATCH STATS
Why Brighton can win
Because they beat Aston Villa away 2-1, who beat Liverpool 7-2 at the same ground. Surely that means that Brighton will easily beat Liverpool….
Why Liverpool can win.
Because they haven’t lost to Brighton since they joined the Premier League – six wins from six games.
Liverpool’s xG is almost twice as high as Brighton’s. The Shots on Target per game is.
The last time Brighton beat Liverpool was in the same month/year that Apple launched their Macintosh computer.
Brighton have lost both December games v Liverpool.
Barely Interesting Stat:
No team has had more shots from Open Play per game this season than Liverpool, but Brighton are also sixth. Brighton have the second most shots on the woodwork this season behind West Ham.
Why Should We Care
Will Mo Salah play after his Cairo-vid adventures? Brighton did get the win they have been threatening to do as well, so this may not be as clear cut as one might think.
We Say….
Brighton 1 Liverpool 2
S&C Computer Says….
SATURDAY GAMES
MAN CITY v BURNLEY
MATCH STATS
Why Man City can win
Burnley haven’t beaten Man City in Manchester since August 1973, when Gary Glitter had the number one song.
Man City have beaten Burnley by a combined 24-2 in the six games in Manchester since Burnley’s most recent arrival into the Premier League.
The last three games in Manchester have ended in a 5-0 win for Man City.
Why Burnley can win.
Burnley got their first win of the season last round.
Barely Interesting Stat:
All three of Man City’s home games this season have been against sides in the top six on the weekend they face them.
Why Should We Care
Let’s see what the Man City reaction to the Spurs loss is. And the recent triple 5-0 wins at Manchester means there might be plenty of goals. For one side.
We Say….
Man City 5 Burnley 0
S&C Computer Says….
SATURDAY GAMES
EVERTON v LEEDS
MATCH STATS
Why Everton can win
Everton have a 100% home record v non Big 6 teams this season.
Leeds are now winless in three games, Everton just broke their three game losing sequence last weekend. Although Leeds didn’t fail to win more than three games in a row last season in the Championship.
Leeds haven’t beaten Everton away since a 4-1 Cup win in 1991.
Leeds haven’t scored a goal in any of the last six visits to Goodison Park on a Saturday.
Why Leeds can win.
Leeds have won twice as many games as Everton in November.
Leeds average 2.5 shots on target per game more than Everton.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Leeds’ last win in the league at Everton predates the Premier League (1990). The 12 Premier League clashes at Everton have ended in six draws and six Everton wins.
Why Should We Care
Two master managers going head to head. Two underrated goal scorers in Bamford and DCL (at beginning of season) going head to head.
We Say….
Everton 1 Leeds 1
S&C Computer Says….
SATURDAY GAMES
WEST BROM v SHEFFIELD UTD
MATCH STATS
Why West Brom can win
Sheffield United’s net foul score is the worst in the league this season.
Sheffield United’s only point this season so far was in their only game so far against a fellow bottom six side. West Brom at least have two draws and a loss.
West Brom’s xG is almost double Sheffield United’s.
Why Sheffield Utd can win.
West Brom have scored just one goal in the last six games. And none in the last three. Sheffield United have at least scored five goals.
West Brom won the last game at Sheffield Utd two seasons ago. And have three wins, one draw and just one loss in the last five matches at Sheffield United.
Barely Interesting Stat:
The away side has won six of the last ten games between these sides. Just two wins for the home side in that run.
Why Should We Care
Last v second last anyone? Neither team with a win, surely means one team will at the end of this round.
We Say….
West Brom 1 Sheffield Utd 0
S&C Computer Says….
SUNDAY GAMES
SOUTHAMPTON v MANCHESTER UTD
MATCH STATS
Why Southampton can win
Man Utd have only won of the last four at Southampton. Problem is Southampton haven’t won any of those four.
Southampton’s 30% winning record on a Sunday is better than the overall win % of 21%.
Why Man Utd can win.
Man Utd have a 100% record on the road this season. They have scored 10 goals away and conceded four. At home it is three scored and 10 conceded.
If Man Utd go down, they are at least the best team in the Premier League for coming back from a deficit.
Southampton have yet to beat a big six team at home this season.
The last time Man Utd lost to Southampton at home was 2003.
Barely Interesting Stat:
These teams have exactly the same Shot on Target per game so far this season. Southampton being more efficient with a nearly 10% difference in On Target %.
Both teams have scored as many goals as points this season.
Why Should We Care
Being an early game is great, and a good warm up for the Chelsea-Spurs game to follow.
We Say….
Southampton 1 Man Utd 2
S&C Computer Says….
SUNDAY GAMES
CHELSEA v SPURS
MATCH STATS
Why Chelsea can win
Prior to Spurs hammering Man Utd 6-1, Jose Mourinho had not beaten either of his former teams away from home in seven attempts as Man Utd or Spurs manager.
Chelsea have won the last four meetings in all comps.
Spurs have a dreadful record at Stamford Bridge. Their win in 2018 was their only success since the Premier League started. One win in 33 matches.
Why Spurs can win.
Jose outsmarted Pep last time out, and will back himself to outdo his old club this weekend.
Spurs have a 100% record v big six teams this season both home and away. Chelsea average 1.0 point per game away and 0.0 at home.
Harry Kane.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Interesting that with both of these sides in the top six, neither of these sides have taken a point against top six side this season so far. That will have to change this weekend.
The 6-1 win v Man Utd earlier this season is the only win Jose has managed against his former clubs as Spurs manager.
Why Should We Care
Spurs are top of the league, Jose going back to Chelsea. Top four clash between big six clubs. London Derby. Take your pick.
We Say….
Chelsea 1 Spurs 1
S&C Computer Says….
SUNDAY GAMES
ARSENAL v WOLVES
MATCH STATS
Why Arsenal can win
Wolves haven’t won at Arsenal since 1979.
Wolves haven’t beaten Arsenal in November since 1971.
Wolves have never beaten Arsenal on a Sunday.
Why Wolves can win.
Arsenal are in the bottom five for shot per game. Although Arsenal are much closer to Wolves for Shots on Target.
Wolves away result sequence this season has been (most recent game first) L W L W. So a win is due.
Barely Interesting Stat:
The last three games at Arsenal have ended 1-1. Neither team has picked up a point after going behind this season.
Why Should We Care
Hmmmm, we’ll get back to you. Maybe another Arsenal intra team bust up.
We Say….
Arsenal 1 Wolves 1
S&C Computer Says….
MONDAY GAMES
LEICESTER v FULHAM
MATCH STATS
Why Leicester can win
Leicester are still two goals ahead of their xG, Fulham are nearly four goals behind.
Leicester have the best shots on target % this season. Fulham are sixth worst.
Leicester have a 100% record against bottom six sides this season. Fulham have 0% record v top six sides.
Why Fulham can win.
Fulham average three more shots per game than Leicester.
Leicester haven’t beaten Fulham since before the first World War, eight games ago in 1913.
The home side have won just once in seven matches on a Monday. That was a 6-1 win to Leicester in 1952.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Leicester scored as many goals at Manchester City earlier in the season as all their home goals this season.
Why Should We Care
Let’s see if Leicester’s season fall away like it did last season when easily beaten by Liverpool. Fulham are starting to improve and could provide some real nuisance.
And 15 goals in the last three games at Leicester is not a bad start.
We Say….
Leicester 1 Fulham 2
S&C Computer Says….
MONDAY GAMES
WEST HAM v ASTON VILLA
MATCH STATS
Why West Ham can win
Aston Villa haven’t won any of the last four Monday clashes. Villa’s last win v West Ham on a Monday was in 1961.
Aston Villa have scored just once in the last five games at West Ham. That only goal ensured EPL survival though. The last five record is L2 D3.
Why Aston Villa can win.
Aston Villa are yet to concede on the road this season. Or lose. Or draw.
Villa easily Arsenal last time they visited London.
Aston Villa are +3 for net fouls, mostly thanks to Jack Grealish continually being fouled. West Ham are -1.
Barely Interesting Stat:
According to Who Scored ratings, Aston Villa are the best side this season. West Ham are a respectable fifth.
Why Should We Care
A good match up to end the week between two sides who could threaten to fill the European slots.
We Say….
West Ham 1 Aston Villa 2
S&C Computer Says….
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