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Another week wasted by the International break, and this seemed more of a waste than usual with Covid-19 outbreaks everywhere, and key footballers going down. Still, the 2020-2021 Premier League Predictions Week 9 and Preview is ready.
Our preview ambles through all ten Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading. And if that isn’t enough, we throw in our 2020-21 Premier League Week 9 Predictions for each game.
Come for the stats, stay for the predictions.
Premier League Week 9 Predictions – Preview Summary
H2H stats are for all time unless stated, and other stats are based on last season.
This week we have included a new prediction feature based on a bunch of stats, which are explained at the end to save you time now.
SATURDAY GAMES
NEWCASTLE v CHELSEA
MATCH STATS
Why Newcastle can win
Newcastle have an OK record v Chelsea at home. The Magpies have won five of the last seven games at St James Park and Chelsea have won just once.
Chelsea have not won a Saturday game in Newcastle on their last five attempts.
Newcastle have won four of the six league games at St James’ Park in November.
Newcastle won the last time they played at home to a team that wear a blue home kit.
They have a 100% record at home to top six sides this season.
Why Chelsea can win.
Chelsea have twice the shots on target than Newcastle this season.
Chelsea have many attacking options. Newcastle’s leading striker Callum Wilson is in doubt. But they still have the Max. Hakim Ziyech is starting to come good, and Timo Werner scored during the midweek international fixtures.
Chelsea have scored as many away as Newcastle have conceded at home.
They are outperforming their xG by over five goals.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Four of the last five times Chelsea have won the away game at Newcastle they have won the FA Cup that season or the next. The most recent win in August 2018 was a few months after their last FA Cup triumph.
Why Should We Care
Because proper football is back.
We Say….
Newcastle 0 Chelsea 3
S&C Computer Says….
ASTON VILLA v BRIGHTON
MATCH STATS
Why Aston Villa can win
Brighton haven’t beaten Aston Villa since 1980.
Aston Villa have Jack Grealish, who is the second highest rated player in the Premier League this season according to Who Scored. Ollie Watkins is fifth for the record.
Despite playing OK and being competitive in most games, Brighton have still only won one game.
Why Brighton can win.
Brighton’s xG and Shots on Goal are reasonably even. Aston Villa have more on target which is why they’ve scored seven more goals this season.
Aston Villa have lost their past two home games and conceded seven goals. The same number of goals they got past Liverpool earlier in the season.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Brighton have never beaten Aston Villa away in 12 attempts. Three draws is their best effort.
Why Should We Care
Can Brighton beat Aston Villa for the first time in 40 years. Jack Grealish is also worth a look always.
We Say….
Aston Villa 3 Brighton 1
S&C Computer Says….
TOTTENHAM v MANCHESTER CITY
MATCH STATS
Why Spurs can win
Because Jose Mourinho loves the big games and poking Pep in the eye.
Man City might have more shots, but Spurs have more shots on target per game. Their 48.55% on target effort is pretty decent too. Spurs are five goals ahead in xG too.
Spurs have won the last two home matches v Man City, and they haven’t conceded in either of those two.
Why Man City can win.
Spurs haven’t been as impressive at home like they have been away this season.
Pep leads 11-6 v Jose in H2H with six draws.
Spurs haven’t beaten Man City on a Saturday on the last five matches.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Results for Spurs home games have followed this pattern (most recent game first) Spurs, Spurs, Man City, Man City, Spurs, Spurs, Man City, Man City.
Why Should We Care
It is the premium, big name game of the weekend. Are Spurs title challengers? Have Man City still got it? Jose Mourinho? Are the FPL players that are getting rid of Son and Kane going to regret looking at the fixture list instead of the form guide? All those questions could be answered this Saturday.
We Say….
Spurs 1 Man City 1
S&C Computer Says….
MANCHESTER UTD v WEST BROM
MATCH STATS
Why Man Utd can win
Because their side/squad is a load better than West Brom on paper.
Man Utd are unbeaten in three games v West Brom on a Saturday (2W 1D)
Man Utd have won the last four games in a row in November v West Brom. West Brom haven’t won since 1954 in November.
Why West Brom can win.
Man Utd have not won at game at home in the league this season. And only scored two goals.
West Brom have scored more goals away than Man Utd have at home this season.
West Brom have won the last fixture between these sides.
Ole has never beaten West Brom as a manager (1 Draw)
Barely Interesting Stat:
Man Utd have won once in the past five home games v West Brom (Record 1W 1D 3L)
Why Should We Care
For those who don’t like United it’s just the kind of game they’ve struggled to win recently. At home to a bottom half side.
We Say….
Man Utd 1 West Brom 1
S&C Computer Says….
SUNDAY GAMES
FULHAM v EVERTON
MATCH STATS
Why Fulham can win
Fulham have better three game form than Everton, and have looked half decent since the transfer window. Unlike their last stay in the EPL.
Fulham won the last Premier League clash here.
Fulham have a good record at home to Everton since 2000. 11 wins in 16 matches (Everton 3 Draw 2)
Everton won just one game in London last season.
Why Everton can win.
James Rodriguez is the main difference between the sides.
Everton have a perfect record this season away to a bottom six side.
Everton have won the last three games on a Sunday, two of those were at Fulham.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Between 2001 and 2010 Everton scored just five goals in 11 matches at Fulham.
Why Should We Care
Fulham and Everton are going in opposite directions with recent form.
We Say….
Fulham 1 Everton 1
S&C Computer Says….
SHEFFIELD UTD v WEST HAM
MATCH STATS
Why Sheffield Utd can win
West Ham have been in very good, winning games they should, competitive against the best teams in the league. So they are due to disappoint.
Sheffield Utd have lost just once in the last six meetings between these teams in Sheffield.
They have lost just two of the last 14 clashes anywhere.
Sheffield Utd did not lose to a London side at home last season (5W 1D). West Ham’s best result away to midlands teams last season was one draw from four games.
Why West Ham can win.
Sheffield Utd have not won any of the their last 11 games. Just one draw to show for their efforts.
West Ham have scored eight times more goals away this season than Sheffield Utd have at home.
West Ham are almost three goals over their xG. Sheffield Utd are four goals behind.
Barely Interesting Stat:
There have been only two games on a Sunday between these sides, One was a 1-1 draw in 1995, and the other was 5-0 win to West Ham in 1972.
Why Should We Care
To see if Sheffield Utd can break that losing streak this week.
We Say….
Sheffield Utd 1 West Ham 0
S&C Computer Says….
LEEDS UTD v ARSENAL
MATCH STATS
Why Leeds can win
Leeds have more than five more shots on goal than Arsenal, and two more on target.
Leeds won seven and drew one game at home to London clubs last season in the Championship. And beat Fulham in their first London clash at Elland Road this season.
Arsenal have won just four games of their last 15 league games on the road.
Why Arsenal can win.
Leeds have lost their last two at home.
Leeds haven’t beaten Arsenal since 2003 (6W 1D)
Leeds haven’t beaten Arsenal at home since 2000.
Barely Interesting Stat:
The last time Leeds United beat Arsenal both Harry Kewell and Mark Viduka scored in the 3-2 win.
Why Should We Care
This probably will be the game of the weekend. Leeds were plenty competitive against Arsenal in the Cup last season, and should be again this weekend.
There has been five goals scored in total in the past two Sunday clashes.
We Say….
Leeds Utd 3 Arsenal 2
S&C Computer Says….
LIVERPOOL v LEICESTER
MATCH STATS
Why Liverpool can win
Liverpool average a lot more shots per game than Leicester, but Leicester do seem quite efficient with their chances.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last six against Leicester (5W 1D) with the last loss coming in 2017.
Liverpool are undefeated in the last nine v Leicester at Anfield. The Foxes last win in 2000.
Liverpool haven’t lost at home for a few seasons.
Why Leicester can win.
Liverpool are running out of defenders, and Jamie Vardy appears back in form.
Barely Interesting Stat:
There have been only two fixtures between these sides on a Sunday, and Leicester have won neither (1L 1D)
Why Should We Care
Another great clash awaits, and it is 3rd v 1st no less between the Premier League winners of the last five seasons. Is this another Leicester title campaign, or like last season Liverpool halt that momentum.
We Say….
Liverpool 3 Leicester 1
S&C Computer Says….
MONDAY GAMES
BURNLEY v CRYSTAL PALACE
MATCH STATS
Why Burnley can win
Burnley have won five, drawn two and lost one in the eight games played not a weekend involving these.
Why Crystal Palace can win.
Burnley haven’t got a point or scored a goal this season at home.
The away side has won the last three games in this fixture.
Barely Interesting Stat:
There have been no goals scored in the Monday clashes between these sides. The only game ended 0-0.
Why Should We Care
Maybe you shouldn’t. Terrible time slot.
We Say….
Burnley 0 Crystal Palace 0
S&C Computer Says….
WOLVES v SOUTHAMPTON
MATCH STATS
Why Wolves can win
Wolves have lost just once in the past 9 games v Southampton.
Why Southampton can win.
Good enough for the lead of the Premier League last round, so good enough to take on Wolves and win.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Wolves have won the only game on Monday between these sides. a solid 3-0 win away from home.
Why Should We Care
Because it is the last game of the week.
We Say….
Wolves 1 Southampton 0
S&C Computer Says….
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