Is too much football is barely enough? Well it’s nearly over. But if you are in that great state of mind like that, then you may enjoy our Premier League Predictions Week 38.
We’ve put a lot of effort into this final edition of our Premier League preview, with this week jam packed full of stuff.
Each week our preview includes just enough quick info and barely interesting stats to help you decide a winner. Or to provide just enough barely interesting information leading into the big weekend and midweek of football.
If you enjoy loads of stats and graphs with some opinion, then you will enjoy our full Premier League Week 38 Predictions and Preview.
Premier League Week 38 Predictions – Preview Summary
Here’s our match by match review and our own Premier League Predictions Week 38. With loads of stats as below. But keep in mind the following…
Match H2H are for the League fixtures only, because who knows what teams play in cups these days.
Our barely interesting facts are just that, barely interesting. But takes in all competitions and cups. Or whatever suits the stat.
And is in an all new format for the last game week of the season.
NEW FOR THIS WEEK!!!
We have worked out a % likelihood of each team winning this weekend, using various H2H and 19-20 season stats and compiled by our S&C SuperPredictionComputer.
The final score is measured out between the two sides averages for each field.
If the final score is between 47.5% – 52.5% we say draw.
NEW ADDITIONAL STATS
Want some more stats that aren’t game specific, then click here for the Premier League Week 38 Stats Extra.
Premier League Week 38 Predictions in Detail
ARSENAL v WATFORD
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Arsenal 13 Watford 10 Draw 2
Why Arsenal can win
Watford have never beaten Arsenal on a Sunday in the league, but once in the cups.
Arsenal are unbeaten v Watford for the last four matches.
No team has conceded more goals away to big six teams than Watford, the 8-0 loss to Man City doesn’t help.
Only Norwich has fewer points away to big six teams than Watford – Norwich with zero.
Arsenal are undefeated at home to bottom six sides – 3W 1D
Why Watford can win.
Watford have a hot and cold record at Arsenal in the last five matches – 2 x 2-1 wins and their three losses come to a total of 0-9.
Only one of Watford’s league wins at Arsenal have been on the weekend.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Only the bottom four teams have scored fewer points than Arsenal against London clubs this season.
We Say….
Arsenal 4 Watford 0
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
BURNLEY v BRIGHTON
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Draw 11 Burnley 8 Brighton 6
Why Burnley can win
Burnley have the third highest points total v south coast sides – 4W 1D
No side has conceded fewer goals to south coast sides than Burnley – two goals in five matches.
Brighton have yet to beat Burnley in the Premier League – 2L 3D
Brighton are yet to score at Burnley in the Premier League. Although Burnley have only scored one goal.
Brighton haven’t beaten Burnley in the league since 2013 in the Championship. The season before was their last win at Burnley.
Brighton are 0/4 away to the north west.
Why Brighton can win.
Brighton are undefeated on the road since the restart.
Barely Interesting Stat:
This is the game with the highest % of draws in league clashes this game week.
The last three times before this season the first league game between these sides was a draw, the second game was a draw. This season’s earlier results was 1-1….
We Say….
Burnley 3 Brighton 0
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
CHELSEA v WOLVES
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Chelsea 38 Wolves 38 Draw 27
Why Chelsea can win
Wolves haven’t won at Samford Bridge since 1979.
Wolves have scored just one goal in their last five visits to Chelsea. But at least that was in the most recent game.
Chelsea are undefeated in two Sunday games.
Chelsea have a better last day record than Wolves – 20pts to 15pts.
Why Wolves can win.
No team has scored more points away to big six teams this season than Wolves.
Wolves have the second most points away from home since the restart.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Chelsea and Wolves are equal best scorers away to London clubs this season.
We Say….
Chelsea 1 Wolves 1
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
CRYSTAL PALACE v SPURS
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Spurs 24 Draw 11 Crystal Palace 6
Why Crystal Palace can win
Crystal Palace won the last game between these sides at Selhurst Park in the FA Cup last season. Perhaps Crystal Palace should treat the game as a cup tie, their record at home v Spurs in cups is three wins from four.
Why Spurs can win.
Spurs have won the last four matches between these sides at Selhurst Park. The last three have been 1-0.
Crystal Palace have now lost seven in a row.
No team has scored fewer goals than Crystal Palace at home – 14 in 18 games.
Jose Mourinho has nine wins in 12 games v Crystal Palace, Roy Hodgson has two wins in 19 games v Spurs.
Barely Interesting Stat:
There has never been a draw on a Sunday between these sides in eight matches. Six of the games have ended 1-0.
Crystal Palace have scored as many goals against London sides at home as Spurs have away to London sides – six goals.
We Say….
Crystal Palace 0 Spurs 2
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
EVERTON v BOURNEMOUTH
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Everton 4 Bournemouth 3 Draw 3
Why Everton can win
Everton have won all six games at home to Bournemouth.
Bournemouth are yet to win a point on the road against teams from the north west.
Why Bournemouth can win.
Everton are one of four teams at the bottom of the table for scoring goals against the bottom six at home too. The other three teams are in the bottom four.
Everton have only won one of the last four v Bournemouth – 2L 1D 1W
Barely Interesting Stat:
Only Norwich and Watford have a worse record against the bottom six teams at home than Everton – by one point.
We Say….
Everton 0 Bournemouth 1
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
LEICESTER v MANCHESTER UTD
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Man Utd 62 Leicester 32 Draw 29
Why Leicester can win
Man Utd have an impressive record v Leicester recently, but at Leicester the last five games has seen just two Man Utd victories.
Jamie Vardy has scored in at least one game against Man Utd in every season of Leicester’s stay in the topflight. Until this season, so far.
Why Man Utd can win.
Leicester have won just one in 23 clashes v Man Utd. That one win was a 5-3 win over Man Utd at least. Heading into that early season 14-15 clash, the top four were Chelsea, Aston Villa, Swansea and Southampton.
In the Premier League era at Leicester, Man Utd have won eight of 13 games and have outscored Leicester at home by 32-13.
Man Utd have won six of the last seven games. Leicester have failed to score in four of those games.
Man Utd have double the points in the last six games than Leicester.
Leicester have scored just six goals in seven games v top six sides (at the time of playing them). This is the equal second worst record with Watford. But better than Newcastle.
Only Liverpool (6 in 7 games) have conceded fewer goals to top six sides this season than Man Utd’s 10 goals in right games.
Manchester Utd are the only unbeaten team in the league and with the most points since GW28. Leicester’s record is a tidy 3-3-3.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Both games in Leicester’s premiership season ended 1-1.
We Say….
Leicester 3 Man Utd 3
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
MANCHESTER CITY v NORWICH
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Man City 29 Draw 20 Norwich 10
Why Man City can win
There have been 21 goals in the last four matches between these sides at Man City.
Man City have conceded the equal fewest goals v bottom six sides. Four in nine games with Sheffield Utd.
Norwich have scored just one goal against the big six sides away this season, in their first match of the Premier League season v Liverpool.
No team has scored more goals or conceded fewer goals since GW28, but Chelsea and Man Utd have scored more points.
Man City have five players with 10 goals or more this season. Norwich have just one – Teemu Pukki who hasn’t scored since 22nd January or from open play since December 14.
Why Norwich can win.
Man City have only won once in the last three games and three of the last seven v Norwich.
Norwich are 1-1 H2H for matches on Sundays v Man City.
Norwich beat Man City earlier this season. Soooo long ago.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Norwich and Man City played at Man City’s home ground twice in the 2013 calendar year, they won the first game 3-2 and lost the next game 7-0.
We Say….
Man City 10 Norwich 0
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
NEWCASTLE v LIVERPOOL
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Liverpool 80 Newcastle 44 Draw 41
Why Newcastle can win
Going back to 2010, Liverpool have won only two of the last eight matches at Newcastle. Last season’s 3-2 win was the first for five matches at Newcastle.
Liverpool have failed to win on any of the last three visits to Newcastle.
The home side haven’t lost any of the last seven clashes on a Sunday.
Why Liverpool can win.
Liverpool have won the last four clashes.
Liverpool have conceded the lowest amount of goals to sides in the middle eight this season – eight in 15 matches.
Newcastle have only won once in their last six home games.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Newcastle have scored the fewest goals at home to top six sides, but they have also played the fewest games against teams in the top six (at time of playing them).
We Say….
Newcastle 1 Liverpool 2
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
SOUTHAMPTON v SHEFFIELD UTD
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – Sheffield Utd 22 Southampton 15 Draw 12
Why Southampton can win
Southampton have already beaten Sheffield Utd this season.
Sheffield Utd have won just one of five Premier League clashes between these sides.
Southampton are undefeated in their last six and are fourth in the last six form table. But they are better on the road lately than at home.
Sheffield Utd haven’t won any of their last five away games.
Why Sheffield Utd can win.
Sheffield Utd are leading for average points against sides with striped kits – 1.56 to 1.38.
Sheffield Utd have conceded the fourth lowest total of goals away this season. But they have also scored the third lowest, keeping the bottom three teams for company.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Southampton have won the only game between these sides on a Sunday.
We Say….
Southampton 0 Sheffield Utd 0
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
WEST HAM v ASTON VILLA
MATCH STATS
OVERALL LEAGUE RECORD – West Ham 35 Aston Villa 34 Draw 32
Why West Ham can win
West Ham are unbeaten in their last four home games v Aston Villa. Aston Villa haven’t scored a goal in any of those games.
West Ham are up to 7th for last six form.
Why Aston Villa can win.
Now West Ham are safe, Aston Villa have so much more to play for.
West Ham have never won a Sunday clash between these sides.
Aston Villa have a far superior record for average point won per game against teams with claret coloured kits to West Ham – leading 1.67 points per game to 0.33. Only Norwich (0.00) are worse.
West Ham haven’t beaten a midlands-based side at home this season.
Barely Interesting Stat:
The last eight games between these sides sees a barely interesting pattern – (most recent game first) – Draw – West Ham – Draw – Aston Villa – Draw – West Ham – Draw – Aston Villa.
We Say….
West Ham 3 Aston Villa 1
S&C 3000 SuperPredictionComputer Says…
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