February 4, 2025, 5:04 am

Alternative Week 30 EPL Predictions – Gurgler v Away v Home Form

Finally the English Premier League has returned, and it has been so long since there has been any football played it is to remember who did what we offer up our alternative Week 30 EPL Predictions so you don’t have to think at all.

This continues our alternative way of selecting Premier League winners. Some of them based on football stats, and some have a very obscure link to football or news events of that week.

This week it is about away form, based on the success rate of away teams in the Bundesliga since it restarted. More on that soon.

For those who would like the full Premier League preview – read on for a taste below – or visit our full preview with way too many stats here.

For the Alternative Week 30 EPL Predictions, enjoy.

 

Alternative Week 30 EPL Predictions – Away v Home Form

week 30 premier league preview - alternative tips

Since the Bundesliga started up away sides have had the much better record. so we thought we might use that for some alternative Premier League Round 30 predictions.

We took average points at home for the home side, and average away points for the away team, and if the away points average is higher, then that team is more likely to win in the new football environment that not.

Says us.

 

 

Best of the Full Week 30 Preivew

Our full preview with more stats and graphs than you could ever need are just a click away, but in the meantime have some highlights.

 

Barely Interesting Stat:

Sheffield United have not beaten Aston Villa at Villa Park in any league competition since 1966 (8 losses 5 draws). Note that Sheffield United do have a decent record against Villa in Cups.

FPL “defender Lundstram has had more shots for the Blades than any other teammate.

Man City last lost a midweek game at home in the league in 2014. 20 wins and 5 draws later.

Norwich have only lost once to Southampton at home in the Premier League.

Spurs have won 1/5 on a Friday, and Manchester United are unbeaten in three.

Not only have the last three league games at Watford ended up 2-1 to the Hornets, but the last three games at Leicester have ended Leicester 2 Watford 0.

Arsenal have not beaten Brighton in Brighton in the league since 1981.

The last four Bournemouth v Crystal Palace games on a Saturday have ended in a draw.

Newcastle head the record against teams with striped kits (compared to Sheff Utd) – 2.29 v 1.75 average points per game.

The last Sunday game between Aston Villa and Chelsea ended in a 8-0 win to Chelsea.

Liverpool have won the last five midweek clashes v Everton by a combined 16-3.

Man City have played Burnley four times at home in the two seasons prior to this season, they won all four with a combined return of 17-1. Probably the odds of Burnley winning this game.

Final Say:

Aston Villa 0 Sheffield Utd 1
Manchester City 3 Arsenal 1
Norwich 2 Southampton 1
Spurs 0 Man Utd 2
Watford 1 Leicester 2
Brighton 0 Arsenal 1
Bournemouth 0 Crystal Palace 0
Newcastle 0 Sheffield Utd 1
Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 3
Everton 1 Liverpool 3
Manchester City 3 Burnley 1

IF we were a betting person:

AVLvSHU Jack Grealish to have three or more shots on target @ $15.
MCIvARS Time of first goal for match for Man City 1-10 minutes @ $3.50
NORvSOU Norwich to win @ $3.10
TOTvMNU Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.88
WATvLEI Watford 2-1 @ $12 or Leicester 2-1 @ $9
BRIvARS Both teams to score – No @ $2.00
BOUvCPA Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.66
NEWvSHU 1st Match goal – Sheffield United second half @ $3.00
CHEvAVL Chelsea -2.0 Handicap @ $5.00
EVEvLIV Liverpool to win @ $1.53
MCIvBUR Man City to win by exactly two goals @ $3.75

Theydon Boishttps://www.thegurgler.com
Born and raised on the banks of Yebri Creek, Theydon Bois has always been obsessed by sport. A stellar career of Underage B sides, RSL Social Golf, C Grade Warehouse and D Grade Indoor Cricket didn’t showcase much talent, but provided a window into the love for any game, any time. Theydon follows as much as he can and will provide opinion, ideas, and best tips and bets for most sports*. A particular interest in English Football sees Theydon Bois up every Saturday night until 2am with two laptops, smartphones, IPad and a radio feed of Soccer Saturday. A lifelong fan of underperforming, mediocre, disappointing teams will not sway his enthusiasm for sport. *Rugby Union not included.

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