Here is part one of our 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League Differentials Preview, and for this part we go through the potential differentials for the top ten EPL sides from last season.
Following on from our preview where we asked the Big Questions ahead of the 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League season, is our 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League Differentials Preview, where we identify a player from each club that is worth considering in your FPL side.
Not everyone can have Sterling, Salah, Aguero, two Liverpool defenders and more superstars. And unlike most big European football club FPL players have to balance the books.
Hopefully our 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League Differentials Preview provides at least a bit of thought on that.
OK, so our 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League Differentials starts off with an obvious one, and a big name player, but with 27.9% and 26.4% of FPL players behind Bernado Silva and Raheem Sterling respectively, the 13.5% means that if de Bruyne scores big you won’t have to share with as many.
The Belgian midfield maestro had an injury riddled 2018-19 season, raising hopes for many FPL players who had taken the early risk with him, only to see him returned to the injured list.
But at his best he is a point scoring machine. 199 in 2016-17 and 209 in 2017-18, and if he returns to those heights present slightly better value when comparing Sterling’s 234 last season for the 12M price tag.
Below are the created chances and created big chances stats from the last five seasons where KDB features from his previous seasons, giving a taster of what a fit de Bruyne can do.
Another 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League Differentials who was badly affected by injury last season, and may well be worth considering as a differential during this season.
You certainly won’t have to share his points with too many, as only 0.7% have selected the Englishman so far.
The problem is whether he’ll play and/or stay fit. And whether you have a Liverpool spot open with all their Champions League winning Salah, Mane and defence.
So, of course he’d not going as good as those premium players, in his two season prior to 18-19, he managed 177 points across two half seasons, which is less than Salah’s 18-19. But that’s why this is called 2019-20 Fantasy Premier League Differentials. But at 6.5 you’re probably better off with a player from a lower team who will guarantee to start every week.
Spurs big off season signing, and first for some time, cost 60M Euros from Lyon. And you are taking him on faith, as looking at his numbers for Lyon last season it seems like he won’t be great FPL value at all.
But you only have to cast your mind back to Lyon’s two games against Manchester City last season to see Tanguy Ndombélé at his best, so one is presuming that he is a big time player that will love the big time and attention of the EPL.
At 6.0M he is as cheap as a Spurs midfielder will come. But we say, perhaps keep an eye on him, and wait for the Ryan Sessegnon transfer instead.
Another to take on faith, but Bayern Munich don’t chase EPL virgins for no reason do they? Good enough for England, so good enough for your FPL team?
At 4.5M there will hardly be a better potential buy at any of the big clubs with this much potential for such a low cost.
But he is injured right now, so not one to take straight away, but it’s probably better to see how Chelsea are going in general before splashing out on too many Chelsea players anyway.
Tammy Abraham is also a differential to look for, if he ends up playing for Chelsea this season and not out on loan again.
Now this one is a real differential, as Pepe isn’t even listed on FPL as an Arsenal player yet, but as it looks he is going to be, so why not explore a bit of new blood.
Pepe had some season for Lille in Ligue 1 last season, in a side that finished only behind moneybags PSG.
He was second top scorer behind Mbappe, and also provided the second most assists, and was the third highest rated player on Who Scored.
It is a wait and see how he fits in with the two Arsenal forwards, and we have to wait for the price at the time of writing, but if it does happens is one to seriously consider.
With Wolves looking good to attack the top six this season, there are plenty of good choices to be had, and the obvious one up front is Raúl Jiménez after his efforts last season. But as Wolves wound down their season, Diogo Jota started to show some of the signs of his high scoring Championship winning season. (17 Goals 6 Assists in 44 Games)
From the Cardiff game onwards, Jota actually outscored Jiminez in both goals and assists. And comparing their current prices of 7.5 v 6.5 for Jota, one would have to seriously consider the differential power of Jota.
As it is 12.4% of the FPL players already have. Jiminez is 37.4%
For Jota it’s all about where he gets played. Check the following two tables from Transfermarkt, and it is clear when played in the centre forward role, he is a much better asset to his club, and you the discerning FPL player. Let’s hope he gets to play right up front.
JOTA CAREER STATS
WOLVES 18-19
With Everton’s easy-ish start to the season, many FPL players will be looking to the Toffees for a player or two, and most will/should be tempted by Lucas Digne (27.4% have been). But there is a differential choice we off, namely Fabian Delph, who was recruited from Manchester City in the summer transfer window.
Delph got very little game time in the EPL last season, just over 12 hours of football, and his FPL points tally shows that he wasn’t a big part of their premiership winning side. But he has loads of talent, and now away from Man City he gets a chance to prove it. A backheeled goal on the move for Aston Villa back in the day shows he has something special. A clip from Youtube is at the bottom.
He scored 166 points in two seasons when he played for Aston Villa before the Man City move, with a handful of goals and assists.
He is older and wiser now, and Everton are on the way up, unlike the Aston Villa team he left at that time. With some serious game time at Everton, he is at minimum a good, slightly cheaper back up to Digne.
We’ve already discussed potential differential Tillemans in our super 2019-20 FPL Big Questions preview, so we thought about another player with potential.
In what could prove one of the shrewder pieces of business for the transfer window, Perez has been saved from the potential sinking ship that is Newcastle. His new vessel is a team on the rise.
If you take the results from when Brendan Rodgers took over on February 26, Leicester were 5th in the form table, just two points off third placed Chelsea.
Perez ended last season off in similar style with nine of his 12 goals for the season coming from Feb 23 onwards. Including a hat trick against Southampton.
A team and player heading in the right direction?
At minimum he will provide good back up for Jamie Vardy in a side that looks more exciting by the day.
At maximum he could be a great cheapish Premier League quality players
If FPL players are going to take anyone from West Ham this season it will probably be Felipe Anderson, and why not given his FPL point scoring last season. Anderson is only at 13% ownership right now.
So taking anyone else from West Ham will certainly be a differential, so why not Michail Antonio, who has shown good form in patches with West Ham. And at 3.6% you’ll be the envy of most FPL players if he scores big.
But will he?
His returns were reasonably modest for the 18/19 season, but he did score goals and provide more assists in the second half of the season, and against quality opposition ;like Spurs, Liverpool and an in-form Leicester. And a double assist against Watford in the final game of the season.
He’s no Felipe Anderson, and he’s a fair distance from his breakthrough Championship season of 14/15 where he scored 14 goals and 14 assists. But there’s still something there.
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