March 13, 2025, 6:53 am

Alternative NRL Round 11 Predictions and Preview – Gurgler v Federal Election

Time for our neverfail NRL Round 11 predictions and mini preview of the weekend. Only one of those things is a lie.  After losing the unlosable tipping week, with a swing against the readership of this website, we vow to do better in the future, starting with this week.

As you might guess, it’s all about politics this week, after the big election result on Saturday night.

Interested in Predictions based on a barely interesting stat or something completely unrelated to rugby league? Like this week’s tips based on the 2019 Federal Election results. Or a handful of barely interesting stats to go with each game. Or a best bet which is currently profiting for the season.

Of course you are. Our Alternative NRL Round 11 predictions awaits.

 


 

NRL ROUND 11 PREDICTIONS – GURGLER PREDICTIONS

EELS to beat Panthers

MANLY to beat Titans

ROOSTERS to beat Knights

RAIDERS to beat Cowboys

BRONCOS to beat Warriors

TIGERS to beat Rabbitohs

STORM to beat Bulldogs

SHARKS to beat Dragons

TIPPING PROGRESS – 48/80
— Last Week 4/8

BEST BET PROGRESS – 44/80
$1 Season Earnings $85.85 (from $1 bet on all tips)
— Last Week 3/8 — $5.95

 

NRL ROUND 11 PREDICTIONS – OPPONENT PREDICTIONS – FEDERAL ELECTION

PANTHERS (LNP) to beat Eels (ALP)

TITANS (LNP) to beat Manly (IND)

ROOSTERS (LNP) to beat Knights (ALP)

COWBOYS (LNP) to beat Raiders (ALP)

BRONCOS (LNP) to beat Warriors (NA)

RABBITOHS (ALP) to beat Wests Tigers (ALP)
Souths get the tip because Opposition Leader in waiting is a big Rabbitohs fan.

BULLDOGS (ALP) to beat Storm (GRN)
Bulldogs win because ALP loves league more than the Greens, in general.

SHARKS (LNP) to beat Dragons (ALP)

 

BACKGROUND FOR TIPS – – Since the election is the biggest news around after Game of Thrones, it is appropriate to use the election result to determine NRL Round 11 predictions.

How it works this week is we find the electorate of each club (heartland not necessarily stadium) and if that seat went to the government over another party that team gets the tip, as they are more likely to get funds from the government and make the people happy. In the case of a tie, we have chosen subjectively.

OPPOSITION TIPPING PROGRESS – 45/80

Week 1 – First Round Form – 5/8
Week 2 – Best Supported Club in 2018 – 5/8
Week 3 – Club Memberships – 3/8
Week 4 – April Fool’s Day – 3/8
Week 5 – NFL Teams – 4/8
Week 6 – Full Moon – 6/8
Week 7 – Anzac Day – 4/8
Week 8 – NRL Supporters – 5/8
Week 9 – Suncorp Stadium – 5/8
Week 10 – Game of Thrones – 5/8

 

NRL ROUND 11 PREDICTIONS PREVIEW – MATCH BY MATCH THOUGHTS

Here is our short game by game preview for the big weekend ahead. We couldn’t offer up our NRL ROUND 11 predictions without explaining ourselves a little further.

THU 7:50pm – PARRAMATTA EELS v PENRITH PANTHERS

Head to Head since 1998 –  Eels 20 Panthers 19
This Season: Penrith 12  Parramatta 20

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

Panthers have won the last four clashes between these sides at Parramatta’s home ground if the game was played on Channel Nein.

SUMMARY

Parramatta are great at their new home ground, but not great elsewhere. Penrith aren’t great anywhere.

ONE REASON TO WATCH

The first battle of the West at the shiny new stadium. Or if the implosions at Penrith continue.

BEST BET

Blake Ferguson to score a try and Eels win @ $3.10

 

FRI 6:00pm – MANLY SEA EAGLES v GOLD COAST TITANS

Head to Head since 1998 –  Manly 11 Titans 8
Last Season: Gold Coast 32  Manly Warringah 20 — Manly Warringah 34  Gold Coast 42

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

Titans have won the last two Friday night clashes between these sides.

SUMMARY

Manly defy injuries, tipsters and odds to keep winning. Titans defy themselves after taking early leads.

ONE REASON TO WATCH THIS GAME

Martin Taupau continuing to kick arse.

BEST BET

Titans to score first try @ $2.20

 

FRI 8:05pm – NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS v SYDNEY ROOSTERS

Head to Head since 1998 –  Roosters 27 Knights 12
Last Season: Newcastle 16  Roosters 18 — Roosters 38  Newcastle 8

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

Roosters have won 10 of the last 11 matches between these sides.

SUMMARY

The Roosters slipped up against the Broncos last weekend, and the Knights are in some decent form. 

ONE REASON TO WATCH

Ponga v Tedesco. Or can Mitchell Pearce play his way into the Blues side against his old team. Qld hopes so.

BEST BET

Tedesco to score anytime @ $2.10

 

SAT 3:00pm – CANBERRA RAIDERS v NORTH QLD COWBOYS

Head to Head since 1998 –  Canberra 20 Cowboys 18
This Season: Cowboys 12 Canberra 30

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

Canberra have never lost to the Cowboys in May.

SUMMARY

Canberra held their own against the Rabbitohs last weekend, and look a decent top four prospect. The Cowboys got home last weekend against the Eels, and look a little more like top eight material than earlier in the season.

ONE REASON TO WATCH

We’re hoping it is Gideon Gela-Mosby carving it up on the wing.

BEST BET

Canberra to win @ $1.44

 

SAT 5:30pm – NZ WARRIORS v BRISBANE BRONCOS

Head to Head since 1998 –  Broncos 18 Warriors 18
Last Season: Brisbane 6  Warriors 26 — Warriors 18  Brisbane 27

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

These two sides have only met twice in May – the Warriors have won both.

SUMMARY

Both sides got wins last weekend, both slightly unexpected. Both teams sit 10th and 11th just a win away from the top eight. This game is quite important then.

ONE REASON TO WATCH

Broncos v Warriors games are always entertaining.

BEST BET

Corey Oates to score a try and Brisbane Broncos to win @ $2.10

 

SAT 7:30pm – SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS v WESTS TIGERS

Head to Head since 1998 –  Rabbitohs 17 Tigers 15
Last Season: South Sydney 51  Wests Tigers 10 — Wests Tigers 22  South Sydney 6

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

Rabbitohs have won the past five clashes between these sides in May, going back to 2009.

SUMMARY

Rabbitohs continue to grind out the wins and lead the competition. Wests Tigers keep grinding but don’t necessarily get the results they deserve.

ONE REASON TO WATCH

Cody Walker v Benji Marshall

BEST BET

Total Match Points under 43.5 @ $1.90

 

SUN 2:00pm – CANTERBURY BULLDOGS v MELBOURNE STORM

Head to Head since 1998 –  Bulldogs 21 Storm 19
This Season: Melbourne 18 Bulldogs 16

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

The Bulldogs are Melbourne’s bogey team. Well at least the team they have the worst win % against.

SUMMARY

Somehow Melbourne won last weekend, despite playing not much better than when they didn’t deserve to beat the Sharks. Bulldogs got a win to remove themselves from the bottom.

ONE REASON TO WATCH

Ryan Papenhuyzen

BEST BET

Bulldogs +12.5 start @ $1.68

 

SUN 4:05pm – ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS v CRONULLA SHARKS

Head to Head since 1998 –  St George-Illawarra 22 Sharks 20
Last Season: Sharks 16  St George Illawarra 20 — St George Illawarra 40  Sharks 20

BARELY INTERESTING FACT

The Dragons have won 6/7 at Win Stadium. Sharks have been kept scoreless for two of those games.

SUMMARY

The Dragons were awful last weekend against the Knights, while the many Scomo sightings weren’t enough for the Sharks to out-tough Manly. Both teams are now outside the top eight. Sharks on points difference only.

ONE REASON TO WATCH

It is a fierce local derby. Or more Scomo sightings.

BEST BET

Sharks to win @ $1.90

Max Laynehttps://www.thegurgler.com
Max has no time for long bios, he has only time for sport and then more sport. Each week he tries to sum up what sport has tickled the collective fancy of The Gurgler.

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