February 4, 2025, 1:46 am

Champions League Round 16 Predictions – Gurgler v Europe/League Form

Champions League reaches the knockout stage this week, and as ever, we’ll pretend we know plenty with our Champions League Round 16 Predictions.

And as ever we put our tips up against a unique opponent, usually based on a football statistic but sometimes not, much like our semi popular Premier League tips.

We’ll also throw in a minimum of information for a quick preview of Champions League Round 16 Predictions for those on the go.

So enjoy our plethora of information and Champions League Round 16 Predictions. First leg of the Round 16 clashes anyway.

 

Champions League Round 16 Predictions

Gurgler v Europe/League Form

Opponent Tips Background: 

As we head into the knockout stages of the European Cups, what better time to check to see if some clubs are better in Europe than in the league. 

The answer is, very few.

We have compiled the data which has the average points per game for both Europe and League this season fr each side, and the better than percentage of European points per game compared to the league gets out guest tip. 

Simples.

Champions League Round 16 Predictions – Our Tips

Here’s our fearless predictions based on our study of as much football as possible, podcasts, financial advice, and other avenues worth ignoring.

DRAW – PSG v Manchester Utd (2-2)
PORTO to beat Roma (1-0)
REAL MADRID to beat Ajax (3-1)
BORUSSIA DORTMUND to beat Spurs (2-0)
BARCELONA to beat Lyon (3-1)
DRAW – Bayern v Liverpool (1-1)
MANCHESTER CITY to beat Schalke (3-0)
DRAW – Atletico v Juventus (1-1)

Champions League Round 16 Predictions – Guest Tips – Europe v League Form

Difference in European Form v League in brackets.

Manchester United -15% to beat Paris Saint-Germain -31%
FC Porto 10% to beat Roma -9%
Real Madrid 5% to beat Ajax -20%
Borussia Dortmund -12% to beat Tottenham -42%
Barcelona 3% to beat Lyon -29%
Bayern Munich 11% to beat Liverpool -40%
Schalke 04 67% to beat Manchester City -9%
Atletico Madrid 8% to beat Juventus -27%

 

Champions League Round 16 Fixtures – 1st Leg

Date Time Home Away
Tuesday, Feb 12 20:00 Manchester United Paris Saint-Germain
Tuesday, Feb 12 20:00 Roma FC Porto
Wednesday, Feb 13 20:00 Ajax Real Madrid
Wednesday, Feb 13 20:00 Tottenham Borussia Dortmund
Tuesday, Feb 19 20:00 Lyon Barcelona
Tuesday, Feb 19 20:00 Liverpool Bayern Munich
Wednesday, Feb 20 20:00 Schalke 04 Manchester City
Wednesday, Feb 20 20:00 Atletico Madrid Juventus

 

Champions League Round 16 – Mini Preview

MANCHESTER UTD v PSG
H2H: Never Played

Barely Interesting Facts: Man Utd scored the second fewest goals in the Group stage of the sides who progressed. PSG scored the most goals of the sides left, but also let in the third most goals. Might be a French thing, Lyon were first.

Best Bet: Man Utd to score first

 

ROMA v PORTO
H2H: Roma 0 Draw 1 Porto 1

Barely Interesting Facts: Roma were one of two teams to lose three games and qualify. Liverpool were the other. Porto have conceded the fewest goals of any sides in all the European leagues left in the Champions League. Just over 0.5 goals per game. Porto are the only team to win five games in the group stage.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

 

AJAX v REAL MADRID
H2H: Ajax 4 Draw 1 Real Madrid 7

Barely Interesting Facts: For the last 5 seasons in meetings between these sides, the team who wins the first game, also wins the second game. Real Madrid have beaten Ajax 4-1 twice in their previous season, and the one before that, Real Madrid won both games 3-0. Ajax are currently scoring at 3.6 goals per game in the league. The best strike rate in Europe.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

 

SPURS v DORTMUND
H2H: Spurs 2 Dortmund 2

Barely Interesting Facts: Dortmund have conceded just 2 goals in the Group stages, which is the best. German clubs make up three of the top five for defensive displays in the Group stages. Spurs are the only team to progress to the Champions League Round 16 with a negative goal difference.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

 

LYON v BARCELONA
H2H: Lyon 0 Draw 2 Barcelona 4

Barely Interesting Facts: Lyon 1/4  teams not to lose a game in the Champions League group stages. They drew five times, but their only win came over Manchester City. Lyon have never beaten Barcelona. 
 
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

 

LIVERPOOL v BAYERN MUNICH
H2H: Liverpool 2 Draw 4 Bayern 1

Barely Interesting Facts: Liverpool lost three times as many games as Napoli in the group stages but progressed ahead of the Italian club. They have only lost once in the 26 league games so far. Liverpool might also be leading the way in goals conceded in the league, but are way down in 15th for goals conceded in the group stages (7 v 15 in 26 League matches). Bayern Munich ended up with the equal best goal difference with Manchester City in the Group Stages. Robert Lewandowski scored the most goals in the group stages with eight.

Best Bet: Mo Salah to score anytime

 

SCHALKE v MAN CITY
H2H: Schalke 1 Man City 2

Barely Interesting Facts: Schalke are the team who are ranked the lowest in their respective league competition of the 16 teams left in the Champions League Round 16. It also explains why they have the highest positive differential between League form and European form. Schalke scored the fewest amount of goals for teams that progressed with just six in six. Man City scored the second highest total of goals in the Group Stage, and have the equal best goal difference.

Best Bet: Manchester City to win

 

ATLETICO MADRID v JUVENTUS
H2H: Atletico 4 Draw 1 Juventus 2

Barely Interesting Facts: Surprisingly, given Juventus’ reputation for not conceding and not losing, Juventus lost two games in the Group Stages and let in as many goals as Man Utd. Atletico are one of just six teams to score less than ten goals in the Group Stages. The last time these two sides met, there was just one goal over the two legs.This game has the lowest combined league position figure of all eight game, at just 1.5.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

 

 

Champions League Round 16 – Three Games to Watch

You can’t watch everything, well actually you can if you have no life, so we select our three games to watch for the Champions League Round 16 ahead.

MANCHESTER UNITED v PSG

A few months ago this looked like a PSG cake walk, now with PSG losing Neymar and Man Utd losing Jose Mourinho, the chances of each side winning have turned dramatically. What looked an easy passage for PSG now looks more like European disappointment. Although, we are yet to see new manager OGS in European comeptitions.

LIVERPOOL v BAYERN MUNICH

Bayern Munich may not be dominating the Budnesliga for a change, but they are still a danger in Europe, and Liverpool’s Europe form this season has been patchy. Salah v Robben will be a good view.

ATLETICO v JUVENTUS

Not every game can be a multi goal thriller, but two of Europe’s best defensive sides will no doubt be locked in a tense struggle for 90 minutes and beyond.

 

 

Champions League Predictions Form So Far

GURGLER
Matchday  1 – 6/16 – Terrible
Matchday 2 – 10/16 – Better
Matchday 3 – 9/16 – Less Better
Matchday 4 – 6/16 – Back to Terrible
Matchday 5 – 9/16 – Improvement
Round 16 – 8/16 – Decent

OPPONENT
Matchday 1 – 6/16 – Current League Position
Matchday 2 – 6/16 – National Titles Won
Matchday 3 – 9/16 – Who Scored Team Rating
Matchday 4 – 8/16 – Value of Clubs
Matchday 5 – 8/16 – Expected Goals
Round 16 – 5/16 – Losing

 

Champions League Round 16 Super Stat

Here is the breakdown of each teams Europe v League performance this season.

Home Europe League Diff
Schalke 04 1.83 1.10 67%
Bayern Munich 2.33 2.10 11%
FC Porto 2.67 2.43 10%
Atletico Madrid 2.17 2.00 8%
Real Madrid 2.00 1.91 5%
Barcelona 2.33 2.27 3%
Manchester City 2.17 2.38 -9%
Roma 1.50 1.65 -9%
Borussia Dortmund 2.17 2.45 -12%
Manchester United 1.67 1.96 -15%
Ajax 2.00 2.50 -20%
Juventus 2.00 2.73 -27%
Lyon 1.33 1.87 -29%
Paris Saint-Germain 1.83 2.67 -31%
Liverpool 1.50 2.48 -40%
Tottenham 1.33 2.28 -42%
Theydon Boishttps://www.thegurgler.com
Born and raised on the banks of Yebri Creek, Theydon Bois has always been obsessed by sport. A stellar career of Underage B sides, RSL Social Golf, C Grade Warehouse and D Grade Indoor Cricket didn’t showcase much talent, but provided a window into the love for any game, any time. Theydon follows as much as he can and will provide opinion, ideas, and best tips and bets for most sports*. A particular interest in English Football sees Theydon Bois up every Saturday night until 2am with two laptops, smartphones, IPad and a radio feed of Soccer Saturday. A lifelong fan of underperforming, mediocre, disappointing teams will not sway his enthusiasm for sport. *Rugby Union not included.

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