Premier League Predictions Week 24 – Gurgler v Post FA Cup Form

After the excitement of the FA Cup 4th round, where we attempted to pick every upset possible, there’s even more excitement as we have midweek football and our Premier League Predictions Week 24.

Every week we offer up our Premier League predictions, along with a mini preview of each match, with a few best bets in an alternative Premier League preview.

We also put our tips up against a competitor, usually not human though, and based on some football stat or general life. This week our tipping opponent is based on each team’s form after a third or fourth round of the FA Cup.

It’s a lot like the BBC’s Lawros tips, but better. Arguably.

Premier League Predictions Week 24 – Gurgler v Traffic

TIPS BACKGROUND: Because this set of midweek Premier League fixtures follows the FA Cup, we thought it would be interesting to see what kind of form teams are in immediately after the games. Might be worthless as most teams put out a much changed line up, but we still think it’s worth a look.

We have used only the third and fourth round, and these will more than likely feature most, but not all, Premier League sides. And are likely to be midweek rounds.

The average points per game has been calculated, and the team with the biggest average points per game gets the tip. We’ve gone back to this decade, and down the divisions as a lot of teams have come from there.

As ever, all research is courtesy of Who Scored.

GURGLER PREMIER LEAGUE Predictions Week 24

But first our tips. Based on our opinion, research, study and ignorance. (In no particular order)

ARSENAL to beat Cardiff (3-1)
FULHAM to beat Cardiff (3-2)
DRAW – Huddersfield v Everton (1-1)
WOLVES to beat West Ham (2-0)
MAN UTD to beat Burnley (3-0)
MAN CITY to beat Newcastle (3-0)
CHELSEA to beat Bournemouth (3-0)
DRAW – Southampton v Crystal Palace (2-2)
LIVERPOOL to beat Leicester (3-0)
SPURS to beat Watford (2-1)

PREMIER LEAGUE Predictions Week 24 – Post 3rd / 4th Round FA Cup form

Average points per game from 2010 in brackets.

CARDIFF (1.6) to beat Arsenal (1.5)
BRIGHTON (1.3) to beat Fulham (1.2)
EVERTON (1.7) to beat Huddersfield (1.6)
WEST HAM (1.4) to beat Wolves (1.0)
MAN UTD (2.1) to beat Burnley (1.7)
MAN CITY (1.7) to beat Newcastle (1.5)
CHELSEA (1.9) to beat Bournemouth (1.5)
SOUTHAMPTON (1.4) to beat Crystal Palace (1.1)
LIVERPOOL (1.7) to beat Leicester (1.6)
SPURS (1.9) to beat Watford (1.4)

Premier League Predictions Week 24 Mini Match by Match Preview

Here’s a quick run down of every game for Week 24, with a barely interesting stat and a best bet included for those inclined.

ARSENAL v CARDIFF

Kick Off: Tuesday 7:45pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Cardiff 2 Arsenal 3

Arsenal have had a good and bad last week or so. Their win over Chelsea in the League saw them close the gap to fourth place (Chelsea) to just three points. Then they were knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester United, opening up the chance for United to equal their all time FA Cup record. Their injury crisis in the defence is starting to catch up.

Cardiff meanwhile have had almost the worst week possible, with their new signing Emiliano Sala  going missing on a plane trip to come and join up with Cardiff. A terrible tragedy, that makes a trip to the Emirates seem less important despite their 18th league position. 

Barely Interesting Fact: Arsenal have only been winning at half time on three occasions this season.

“Best” Bet: Arsenal -1.5 Handicap @ $1.69

FULHAM v BRIGHTON

Kick Off: Tuesday 7:45pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Brighton 2 Fulham 2

Fulham need to start winning, and soon. Seven points from safety, and just one win in their last ten games. They have already been knocked out of the FA Cup in Round Three. To add to their mess, their player Aboubakar Kamara was involved in separate fights at their training ground, the second of which saw the police involved. One less worry for Fulham we guess. Brighton have won once in eight games, but their two wins on the road this season put them fourth last in away form. There’s never been a better time for a Fulham win.

Barely Interesting Fact: There have been three or more goals in six of the last seven matches between these sides. Brighton have lost just one of them.

“Best” Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.25

HUDDERSFIELD TOWN v EVERTON

Kick Off: Tuesday 7:45pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Everton 1 Huddersfield 1

One team has sacked their manager, the other must surely be in the next few to face the dreaded vote of confidence, as Everton compounded recent form wobbles with an exit in the FA Cup to Millwall. Marco Silva seemingly headed for another second half of the season fade. They are helped by the fact that Huddersfield have lost their last six t home and that Huddersfield haven’t beaten Everton since 1956, but not helped by the fact that Huddersfield could get that new  manager bounce after another Dortmund junior coach Jan Siewert was hired.

Barely Interesting Fact: Everton have been drawing at half time 70% of their games this season, but have kept just one clean sheet away.

“Best” Bet: Half Time Result (Draw) @ $2.00

WOLVES v WEST HAM

Kick Off: Tuesday 7:45pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: West Ham 0 Wolves 1

Both of these teams come into the game on the back of FA Cup surprises. Wolves who were good enough to knock out Liverpool’s second side last start were pushed all the way by Shrewsbury Town, Wolves needing a later goal to draw. West Ham meanwhile, were well beaten by AFC Wimbledon, making it a great day for the third tier, as Doncaster Rovers also got through to the fifth round. Wolves home form is patchy currently, although their win over Leicester last start was at least entertaining. West Ham’s form is hard to follow, but at least it seems they get Marko Arnautović  back after a failed move to megabucks China. They need him based on most performances without him.

Barely Interesting Fact: Both of these teams have now drawn with third division Shrewsbury Town in the FA Cup in consecutive seasons.

“Best” Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.83

MANCHESTER UTD v BURNLEY

Kick Off: Tuesday 8:00pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Burnley 0 Man Utd 2

The Ole Gunnar Solskjær revolution continues, as Man Utd head into their match with Burnley on an eight game winning streak. Whilst some of the new manager’s games were seen as easy prey, they have beaten Spurs and Arsenal in their last two away games, and are now just three points from fourth. Heights that seemed impossible under the Grumpy One. Burnley are now unbeaten in four league games, and as a consequence see themselves out of the bottom three, but beating this current United team at Old Trafford seems unrealistic. At least they still have a three point gap to 18th placed Cardiff who have a similarly tough game at Arsenal.

Barely Interesting Fact: Burnley’s last win at Old Trafford was in 1962, but they did beat Man Utd once since, in 1968.

“Best” Bet: Man Utd -1.5 Handicap @ $1.68

NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER CITY

Kick Off: Tuesday 8:00pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Man City 2 Newcastle 1

The Manchester City juggernaut rolls on, after they beat Burnley 5-0 in the FA Cup. They last conceded against Liverpool, and since them have won their six games in the league and various cups by 28-0. And they have seemed to have played Jesus, Aguero, and de Bruyne into form alongside all their other in form players. The only question for Man City is how to fit them all in. Good problem to have for real manager, not so for Fantasy managers. Newcastle won 3-0 against Cardiff in their last league game, and the very predictable loss came against Watford in the FA Cup on the weekend. Newcastle are just above the relegation places, but are lucky as their rivals all have hard games.

Barely Interesting Fact: Newcastle haven’t beaten Man City under their new ownership. In fact you have to go back to 2005 for their last win. In the meantime Man City have won all but three of those games at a healthy 56-12 goal difference.

“Best” Bet: Man City to win @ $1.18

BOURNEMOUTH v CHELSEA

Kick Off: Wednesday 7:45pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Chelsea 2 Bournemouth 0

Bournemouth welcome Chelsea on the back of a rare win in the Premier League. But despite their recent form woes, they are currently the 6th best team in terms of home form. Although Spurs have two games in hand. Chelsea have lost three of their past six away games which gives them a sniff. Until you see Chelsea’s form against the bottom half, they have dropped just two points. Hopefully we get to see Gonzalo Higuain in action too. Callum Wilson can look and wonder what if.

Barely Interesting Fact: Bournemouth won the first clash between these two sides in 1988 back in the old 2nd division.

“Best” Bet: Chelsea to win @ $1.65

SOUTHAMPTON v CRYSTAL PALACE

Kick Off: Wednesday 7:45pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Crystal Palace 0 Southampton 2

An interesting battle of two teams just avoiding relegation, both hovering on 22 points, four points clear of the drop. Happily for Crystal Palace this game is away, as their home form is terrible. Their away form is not too bad, and great recently, with wins over Man City and Wolves and a 4-3 loss to Liverpool in the last three road trips. Scoring doesn’t seem a problem on the road, they have almost three times as many goals away than home. The three at Liverpool was as many as they had conceded in all their other home games. Southampton have turned the corner since getting id of Mark Hughes, but they are still only a small losing streak way from heading back to the bottom three.

Barely Interesting Fact: Crystal Palace and Southampton have both only won twice at hoem this season.

“Best” Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.94

LIVERPOOL v LEICESTER

Kick Off: Wednesday 8:00pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Leicester 1 Liverpool 2

Liverpool have had a nice break, no FA Cup games after getting knocked out by Wolves in the third round, and an added bonus of an extra day off with a Wednesday fixture. Liverpool were stretched by Crystal Palace last start at home, conceding as many in one game as the previous ten games. Leicester are a hard team to follow form-wise, but you can’t complain about the entertainment they provided last time out against Wolves. A loss here will probably see the end of Claude Puel for no good reason.

Barely Interesting Fact: Since Leicester have returned to the Premier League, they have only failed to score against Liverpool once. Although, they have only won two of those games.

“Best” Bet: Liverpool to win @ $1.20

SPURS v WATFORD

Kick Off: Wednesday 8:00pm GMT
Previous 2018-19 Result: Watford 2 Spurs 1

Spurs are still solid in third palce, but worringly they have lost their last two at home to Wolves and Man Utd. They should have their star player Son back from the Asian Cup, whcih should make up for the losses of Alli and Kane. Watford are unbeaten in their last four away games, and have beaten Spurs already this season. A great game to finsih of the midweek Premier League predictions Week 24.

Barely Interesting Fact: Spurs have only beaten Watford once in their last four games.

“Best” Bet: Undr 2.5 Goals @ $2.05

Last week’s “Best” Bets – 6 / 10

Premier League Predictions Week 24 – MMMMMulti

Time to make some money – here’s our best five tips rolled into one money-making machine.

ARSENAL to beat Cardiff 
WOLVES to beat West Ham
MAN UTD to beat Burnley 
MAN CITY to beat Newcastle 
CHELSEA to beat Bournemouth 
LIVERPOOL to beat Leicester

$1 for $7.50

2018-2019 Premier League Tipping Competition Results

THE GURGLER

2018-2019 Tipping Results – 117/230 – 50% – (13 Correct Scores)

Last Week Tipping Results –  5/10

Best – 7/10 Week 1, 3, 4, 7, 15

OPPOSITION

2018-2019 Results – 107/230 – 47%

Week 1 – 6/10 – Week 1 Form from last 5 seasons
Week 2 – 5/10 – Change in Market Value after Transfer Window
Week 3 – 4/10 – Red Cards from last 5 seasons
Week 4 – 7/10 – Form v Post Sir Alex Man Utd
Week 5 – 5/10 – Post International Break Form
Week 6 – 3/10 – Avoiding Russian Spies
Week 7 – 4/10 – Brexit
Week 8 – 6/10 – v Jose Mourinho
Week 9 – 4/10 – Sacked Managers / Tenure
Week 10 – 4/10 – Fighting Managers
Week 11 – 7/10 – v Leicester City
Week 12 – 4/10 – US Mid Term Elections
Week 13 – 6/10 – Claudio Ranieri
Week 14 – 5/10 – Own Goals
Week 15 – 5/10 – Midweek Form (Last 5 Seasons)
Week 16 – 2/10 – Hate
Week 17 – 4/10 – Dangerous Nickname
Week 18 – 5/10 – Christmas Shopping
Week 19 – 4/10 – Boxing Day Form
Week 20 – 7/10 – 2018 Form
Week 21 – 1/10 – New Year’s Eve
Week 22 – 7/10 – January Form
Week 23 – 3/10 – Traffic

Try our Fantasy Premier League Preview – The Own Goal