Premier League Predictions Week 14 – Gurgler v Own Goals

Last weekend saw one of the sweetest Own Goals in recent Premier League history in the Bournemouth v Arsenal game, so what better excuse to use that for our weekly EPL preview and our  Premier League Predictions Week 14.

Every week we offer up tips, a mini preview, betting advice and an alternative view on the Premier League that we hope you enjoy.

It’s very much like BBC’s Lawro vs Somebody preview, but better. Arguably. 

Premier League Predictions Week 14 – Gurgler v Own Goals

Opponent Tips Background: Who doesn’t like an own goal, and who wouldn’t want to base their Premier League Predictions Week 14 tips on each team’s own goal record.

The background on this is thanks to the great Transfermarkt website, we’ve been able to find own goals records going back as far as we like. In this case back to the 2010-11 season.

There you can find not only how many own goals each team has scored, but how each team has profited from their opponent’s gifts. The end net result is determined to choose our opponent tips this weekend. The better the net result, that team gets the tip.

For barely interesting facts, we have the full list of all team’s own goals stats at the end.

Premier League Predictions Week 14

Premier League Predictions Week 14 – The Gurgler House Tips

DRAW – Cardiff v Wolves (0-0)
MANCHESTER CITY to beat Bournemouth (2-1)
NEWCASTLE to beat West Ham (2-1)
CRYSTAL PALACE to beat Burnley (2-0)
DRAW – Huddersfield v Brighton (1-1)
LEICESTER to beat Watford (2-1)
MANCHESTER UTD to beat Southampton (2-1)
DRAW – Fulham v Chelsea (2-2)
DRAW – Arsenal v Spurs (2-2)
LIVERPOOL to beat Everton (2-0)

Premier League Predictions Week 14 – v Own Goals

Net Own Goals (Own Goals Received – Own Goals Scored) in brackets.

WOLVES (+4) to beat Cardiff (-7)
MANCHESTER CITY (+6) to beat Bournemouth (-2)
WEST HAM (+1) to beat Newcastle (-6)
BURNLEY (0) to beat Crystal Palace (-1)
HUDDERSFIELD (+6) to beat Brighton (-5)
LEICESTER (-2) to beat Watford (-3)
SOUTHAMPTON (+8) to beat Manchester Utd (0)
CHELSEA (+6) to beat Fulham (0)
ARSENAL (+5) to beat Spurs (+4)
EVERTON (+6) to beat Liverpool (+5)

Premier League Predictions Week 14 Quick Mini Preview

GAME BY GAME PREVIEW IN 50 WORDS OR SO.

CARDIFF CITY v WOLVES

The Friday night game hardly looks a classic – two teams in the bottom six for goals scored. Although Cardiff’s last home game was entertaining enough. Wolves for all of their pre season best promoted side fanfare have now lost four of their last five, and their 2-0 loss at home to Huddersfield showed their Premier League fragility for the first time. In saying that, Cardiff have half their points and are second last v 11th. Cardiff have won two of their last three at home. Interesting stat is that despite decades of head to head in lower divisions, this is the first Top Flight meeting since 1962.

BEST BET: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ $1.59

MANCHESTER CITY v BOURNEMOUTH

Perhaps the way to beating Manchester City is to become Lyon, after they ended the Champions League first round head to heads with a draw and a win against Manchester City.  Man City are scoring at three goals a game, and conceding almost every third. Bournemouth’s last three games have ended up 2-1, and they have lost them all.These sides did meet in the third division back in 98-99, one of those meetings was a draw and was the only time Bournemouth haven’t lost to Manchester City. Bournemouth have only ever scored three goals against City in eight meeting, conceding 22.

BEST BET: MANCHESTER CITY WIN 2-1 @ $11

NEWCASTLE v WEST HAM

Only Man City can better Newcastle’s current run of three straight wins, a reward for a start to the season where they played five top six teams in the first eight games. Perhaps this winning run will be used a ploy from the unpopular Newcastle owner to convince the very popular Benitez to stay on before giving him no money in January. West Ham are as gloriously unpredictable as ever. These teams have met exactly 100 times, and Newcastle hold the advantage 42 wins to 33.

BEST BET: BOTH SIDES SCORE @$1.83

CRYSTAL PALACE v BURNLEY

A meeting of two sides that have overachieved in the last couple of years, but are well in the relegation scrap this season. Crystal Palace and Burnley are 16th and 17th, Crystal Palace ahead on goal difference, despite only scoring a league low of 8 goals. Zaha is back, which means they’re likely to score more. Palace did have to play top six opponents in four straight games, and ended up with a respectable 2 draws and two decent performances. Burnley haven’t won any of their last six games, and need a win soon, as they have three top six sides waiting in December.

BEST BET: Crystal Palace to win @ $1.53

HUDDERSFIELD v BRIGHTON

Huddersfield, who looked as busted arse as any team in recent seasons have come alive, two wins and a draw catapulting them into double points and 15th. It may be two points clear of safety, but the win at Wolves showed they are well capable of avoiding the drop. Brighton are pretty poor away from home, but have beaten Newcastle in their only away win. The last 11 matches between these two sides have ended in either a home win or a draw. In fact draw is the most frequent historical result between these two sides – 12/28.

BEST BET: Double chance – Huddersfield or Draw @ $1.30

LEICESTER v WATFORD

A solid midfield battle looms with two teams in a group of sides that includes Manchester United. It could be argued that both Watford and Leicester aren’t playing much better or worse. Both sides have just one win from their last four, but Leicester are t least unbeaten. They haven’t lost a game since the awful helicopter crash. Leicester hold the edge historically, as does the home side with 10 wins in the last 13 matches.

BEST BET: Both teams to score @ $1.80

SOUTHAMPTON v MANCHESTER UNITED

Manchester United surprised a few by not being able to beat Crystal Palace at home last weekend, a side who had lost every game wince 1989 there. They did beat Young Boys in the Champions League midweek, but it has hardly convincing. Much like most of their season. Convenient to play Southampton who looks as relegation certified as any side in the last few seasons, perhaps it is the red and white stripes. Mark Hughes is surely the next manager to go, although you could make the argument for both sides. Manchester United have won 6/12 matches in the EPL since Southampton most recent promotion.

BEST BET: Over 2.5 Goals for some reason @ $1.86

FULHAM v CHELSEA

Claudio Ranieri’s appointment did the trick last weekend with a first up win over Southampton. The leaky defence still remains for now, but the goals scored at the other end excites, especially when involving Ryan Sessegnon. It is the first in a double header of games for Fulham where Ranieri meets his other two EPL sides that he managed. Chelsea suffered their first loss of the season last weekend at Wembley, so perhaps playing London rivals away could be an Achilles heel. Possibly one of the shortest distances between two sides in a derby that don’t share the same ground. Fulham have won just three of the 50 matches between the sides.

BEST BET: Double Chance – Fulham or Draw @ $5.00

ARSENAL v TOTTENHAM

The second of three derbies on Sunday, but this one is the biggest of the three and match of the weekend. And one of the best fixtures of the year. Just three points separates the two north London sides, and Spurs did Arsenal a favour last weekend by beating Chelsea, their third straight win. Arsenal bounced back to winning ways against Bournemouth last weekend, but they remain undefeated after losing their first two games of the season. It looks like a four team playoff all season for second to fourth Champions League places, whether that will include both of these teams we will see some evidence of this weekend. Arsenal hold the better of the historical record in this game, but that tightens up this decade to 8-7 with 5 draws.

BEST BET: Harry Kane to score anytime @ $1.72

LIVERPOOL v EVERTON

Signing off a triple treat of derbies is the Liverpool one, a fixture that more often than not goes the way of the red side. Everton have only beaten Liverpool once this decade, but there have been 9 draws, so that averages out at one a season. Everton also haven’t won this fixture away since 1999. While Liverpool are undefeated in the Premier League, they are coming into this match having lost to PSG in the Champions League, making it a loss against all their group opponents. There is only one point between these sides in the last six form.

EPL BETTING – SUPER PREMIER LEAGUE Week 14 MULTI 

Time to make some money – here’s our best five tips rolled into one money-making machine.

DRAW – Cardiff v Wolves
MANCHESTER CITY to beat Bournemouth
CRYSTAL PALACE to beat Burnley
DRAW – Huddersfield v Brighton
DRAW – Arsenal v Spurs

$1 for $58

2018-2019 Premier League Tipping Competition Results

THE GURGLER

2018-2019 Results – 72/130 – 55% – (7 Correct Scores)

Last Week – 6/10 – (2 Correct Scores)

Best – 7/10 Week 1, 3, 4, 7

OPPOSITION

2018-2019 Results – 64/130 – 49%

Week 1 – 6/10 – Week 1 Form from last 5 seasons
Week 2 – 5/10 – Change in Market Value after Transfer Window
Week 3 – 4/10 – Red Cards from last 5 seasons
Week 4 – 7/10 – Form v Post Sir Alex Man Utd
Week 5 – 5/10 – Post International Break Form
Week 6 – 3/10 – Avoiding Russian Spies
Week 7 – 4/10 – Brexit
Week 8 – 6/10 – v Jose Mourinho
Week 9 – 4/10 – Sacked Managers / Tenure
Week 10 – 4/10 – Fighting Managers
Week 11 – 7/10 – v Leicester City
Week 12 – 4/10 – US Mid Term Elections
Week 13 – 6/10 – Claudio Ranieri

PREMIER LEAGUE TEAMS’ OWN GOAL RECORD FROM 2010-11

BLAST FROM THE PAST – WATFORD v LEICESTER

Simple, a penalty to take Leicester through to the Championship playoff final. Never mind, it happened a season later.