After another high quality midweek International interruption, the Premier League is back to liven up the weekends and once again we have our Premier League Predictions Week 9 ready.
Each game week we bring our unique look at the EPL with our mini preview, and our Premier League Predictions Week 9.
But anyone can offer up predictions. So each week we will put our Premier League predictions up against a guest tipster, but not necessarily a person, but based on a statistic or ridiculous idea which has varying links to football. It’s very much like BBC’s Lawro vs Somebody preview, but better. Arguably.
Like this week, for our Premier League Predictions Week 9 we put our selections up against tips based on each team’s record of longevity of their managers. October being the biggest in season month for sackings.
Premier League Predictions Week 9 – Gurgler v Sacked Managers
Opponent Tips Background: You may not know that October is the biggest month for sacking managers in the EPL mid season, perhaps clubs want to sort that out before it gets too cold, so we’re going to use manager related statistics to determine our opposition.
With stability usually leading to success, we’ve decided that the team with the highest average tenure of their manager in the EPL era will get the tip. Simples.
It is not each club’s record in the EPL division only, just each current Premier League club’s record in all divisions.
We’ve compiled some barely interesting stats on managers which is available and the end of the preview, and stats for not just EPL era.
But first, our Premier League Predictions. Which we’ve given ourselves the dreaded full confidence of The Gurgler board.
Premier League Predictions Week 9
Premier League Predictions Week 9 – The Gurgler House Tips
CHELSEA to beat Manchester Utd (1-0)
BOURNEMOUTH to beat Southampton (2-0)
FULHAM to beat Cardiff (2-1)
MANCHESTER CITY to beat Burnley (2-0)
NEWCASTLE to beat Brighton (2-0)
DRAW – West Ham v Spurs (1-1)
WOLVES to beat Watford (1-0)
LIVERPOOL to beat Huddersfield (3-0)
EVERTON to beat Crystal Palace (3-0)
ARSENAL to beat Leicester (2-1)
Premier League Predictions Week 9 – v EPL Club’s Manager Tenure in EPL era
Average Tenure (Years) in brackets.
MANCHESTER UTD (6.7) to beat Chelsea (1.4)
BOURNEMOUTH (3.0) to beat Southampton (1.2)
DRAW – Cardiff (1.6) v Fulham (1.6)
BURNLEY (2.3) to beat Manchester City (1.8)
DRAW – Newcastle (1.3) v Brighton (1.3)
WEST HAM (2.1) to beat Spurs (1.8)
WOLVES (2.2) to beat Watford (1.3)
LIVERPOOL (3.9) to beat Huddersfield (1.7)
EVERTON (2.0) to beat Crystal Palace (1.2)
ARSENAL (4.6) to bet Leicester (1.3)
Premier League Predictions Week 9 Quick Mini Preview
GAME BY GAME PREVIEW IN 25 WORDS OR LESS
CHELSEA v MANCHESTER UTD
We proved last time that joint EPL leaders Chelsea have the best record of any side against Jose Mourinho. And his old club to rub it in. Hazard is the man of the moment too. Man Utd are below Wolves and Bournemouth on the ladder and were heading for worse before the turnaround against Newcastle last time out. One could argue their second half was the best of the season and perhaps Jose should tell his side they are 2-0 down before the game starts.
BOURNEMOUTH v SOUTHAMPTON
South Coast derby, and there is a stark contrast in their current table position and our manager tenure stat for our Week 9 predictions. Any coincidence? Bournemouth’s lofty position is a feel good story, and with the FPL gold in their side, it is hard to see too much of a correction before the season is out. We predicted relegation for Southampton and stick by it.
CARDIFF v FULHAM
Cardiff have conceded 10 goals at home this season in four games. Fulham have conceded 11 goals away in four games. So an entertaining 3-3 draw anyone? Cardiff look every bit a 2019-2020 Championship side, and sadly apart from one good game and a few brief patches of goodness, so do Fulham.
MANCHESTER CITY v BURNLEY
Manchester City will no doubt continue their 100% home record this weekend, but Burnley have been on the improve and are up to 12th already – top of the bottom third of the EPL ladder. Might not be the flogging people think it could be.
NEWCASTLE v BRIGHTON
Newcastle have already played five of the top six sides this season, so will welcome the slightly less challenging match against Brighton (1 point away this season). Interestingly in those five Top Six games for Newcastle the score was 2-1 four times, and 3-2 the other. Always great to see Glenn Murray among the goals scorers, proving his continued value for money.
WEST HAM v SPURS
Spurs travel the short distance to London stadium with the season’s best away record – four wins from five – although their home isn’t really their home either. West Ham got a very useful draw against Chelsea at home not long ago, so it will be interesting to see if they can match it against another Top Six side.
WOLVES v WATFORD
Wolves are on a run on six unbeaten, and look the top eight Premier League side most predicted at the start of the season. The prediction that Wolves would have finished top half last season too looks pretty accurate. Good times for Wolves fans. Wolves start has been more steady than spectacular, unlike Watford whose start was certainly the latter. However three losses in four now, including a 4-0 loss to Bournemouth, and is it time for the slide backwards already.
HUDDERSFIELD v LIVERPOOL
Huddersfield are scoring a goal every second game, Liverpool are conceding even less. The big question is whether Salah will play, although the dynamic three from last season have been slightly less so this season. Could be 6-0 or a sneaky 1-0 to Liverpool.
EVERTON v CRYSTAL PALACE
Have Everton turned the corner after their good win last start? Let’s hope so for a decent upper midfield battle. Crystal Palace can’t win if Zaha doesn’t score, and he isn’t scoring enough. And they have had a reasonably easy run to start the season. That’s about to change with top six fixtures in the next four games after this weekend.
ARSENAL v LEICESTER
The love has returned to Arsenal, and so have the wins. Under the radar they have sneaked up to fourth and are just two points behind the joint leaders. They should beat Leicester, who have looked good this season, but are set for the sweet, sweet middle of the EPL table.
THE AUSTRALIAN TV FTA GAME
No Optus? Don’t blame you, it’s no longer free. But if you’re a tightarse like us, here is the TV game for the week. $15 a month is not bad on Optus if you throw in the Champions and Europa League.
SATURDAY 9PM – CHELSEA v MANCHESTER UNITED
Getting to be last chance saloon for the decent, early games.
THE 0-0 SPECIAL
No selection this week.
Season Progress – two correct from the first 3 weeks, and none since.
EPL BETTING – SUPER PREMIER LEAGUE Week 9 MULTI
Time to make some money – here’s our best five tips rolled into one money making machine.
BOURNEMOUTH to beat Southampton
MANCHESTER CITY to beat Burnley
LIVERPOOL to beat Huddersfield
EVERTON to beat Crystal Palace
ARSENAL to beat Leicester
$1 Multi pays $7
FANTASY FOOTBALL THOUGHTS
We weren’t very good last season, but that won’t stop us providing a few Fantasy Football EPL tips.
- Can you afford to double up on Wolves defenders. So many great cheap options.
- Will Salah play? The 50% who don’t have him may be laughing.
- Time to go for Zaha, with harder fixtures coming up.
- So many great Bournemouth buys. Wilson, Fraser, even Brooks.
- More to come – waiting for potential injuries.
Here’s our side for this season.
2018-2019 Premier League Tipping Competition Results
THE GURGLER
2018-2019 Results – 46/80 – 58% – (5 Correct Scores)
Last Week – 3/10 – (0 Correct Scores)
Best – 7/10 Week 1, 3, 4, 7
OPPOSITION
2018-2019 Results – 40/80 – 50%
Week 1 – 6/10 – Week 1 Form from last 5 seasons
Week 2 – 5/10 – Change in Market Value after Transfer Window
Week 3 – 4/10 – Red Cards from last 5 seasons
Week 4 – 7/10 – Form v Post Sir Alex Man Utd
Week 5 – 5/10 – Post International Break Form
Week 6 – 3/10 – Avoiding Russian Spies
Week 7 – 4/10 – Brexit
Week 8 – 6/10 – v Jose Mourinho
Some Premier League Clubs Manager Records
CURRENT EPL SIDES MANAGER TENURE IN EPL ERA
| Club | Average of Years |
| Manchester United | 6.7 |
| Arsenal | 4.6 |
| Liverpool | 3.9 |
| Bournemouth | 3 |
| Burnley | 2.3 |
| Wolves | 2.2 |
| West Ham | 2.1 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Tottenham | 1.8 |
| Manchester City | 1.8 |
| Huddersfield | 1.7 |
| Fulham | 1.6 |
| Cardiff | 1.6 |
| Chelsea | 1.4 |
| Brighton | 1.3 |
| Leicester | 1.3 |
| Newcastle | 1.3 |
| Watford | 1.3 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.2 |
| Southampton | 1.2 |
CURRENT EPL SIDES MANAGER TENURE ALL TIME
| Club | Average of Years |
| Liverpool | 5.4 |
| Manchester United | 5.2 |
| Arsenal | 5.2 |
| West Ham | 3.7 |
| Everton | 3.7 |
| Wolves | 3.2 |
| Chelsea | 2.9 |
| Tottenham | 2.8 |
| Bournemouth | 2.8 |
| Burnley | 2.7 |
| Huddersfield | 2.6 |
| Manchester City | 2.6 |
| Fulham | 2.5 |
| Southampton | 2.4 |
| Leicester | 2.3 |
| Cardiff | 2.2 |
| Newcastle | 2.1 |
| Watford | 2 |
| Brighton | 1.9 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 |
MONTH OF MANAGER SACKING – EPL ERA
Not all necessarily EPL sacking – just current EPL sides since 1992
| Month | Sackings |
| January | 28 |
| February | 18 |
| March | 19 |
| April | 12 |
| May | 27 |
| June | 103 |
| July | 3 |
| August | 19 |
| September | 24 |
| October | 35 |
| November | 25 |
| December | 25 |
AVERAGE TENURE BY MONTH OF HIRE
| Month | EPL | All Time |
| January | 1.2 | 2.9 |
| February | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| March | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| April | 1.2 | 5.9 |
| May | 2.0 | 4.4 |
| June | 2.2 | 7.1 |
| July | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| August | 1.3 | 6.2 |
| September | 1.9 | 6.3 |
| October | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| November | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| December | 1.4 | 2.8 |
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