It’s State of Origin Two time, with the second game of the series hopefully featuring fewer send offs and more action. As with any major sporting tournament or celebration The Gurgler is here to overthink and over-analyse it all with stats that may or may not matter. So talking about all that, here is our 2024 State of Origin Game 2 Stats Summary.
While the NRL is into reserve grade mode, many ask whether the State of Origin hype is worth it, but all agree that our 2024 State of Origin Game 1 Stats Summary certainly is worth the hype. We have stats, visuals, historic H2H plus we used as many stats as we think are useful to predict not only the winner, but the score. Who else offers such a service. Enjoy.
2024 State of Origin Game 2 Stats Prediction
Here’s our big ticket item before you get distracted and get sucked into the clickbait on Fox Sports – our Game 1 Predictions – which uses a lot of the stats we’ll dive into later.
2024 State of Origin Game 2 Best Bet
SAME GAME MULTI
NSW to win
Total Points Under 37.5
Margin – Tri Bet Under 10.5
Stephen Crichton to score anytime
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow to score anytime
$1 pays $60 (as per Sportsbet 23/6)
2024 State of Origin Game 2 Stats Summary
Here we dive into the history and stats of the first game of the Origin series and games at the Sydney Olympic Stadium.
State of Origin Game 2 Record
- NSW have Queensland covered in most Game Two Stats, particularly at Neutral venues and the MCG.
- NSW also lead the Game Two H2H when Queensland win the first game of the series.
- Of the 22 times Queensland have won the first game of the series NSW have won Game Two 13 times.
- Of the 16 times a Sydney ground has hosted the first game of the Origin series, the team that wins game one wins the second game only six times. Flor the record of those six times Queensland did it four times and NSW twice.
- NSW have won the last four Game Two matches when not played at Lang Park.
- NSW have won six of the last eight game two matches when Queensland have won game one.
Does a Game 1 Winner win the Series?
Well, yes they do. Mostly. One side does do it better than the other, but here are some super stats to go with.
- When Queensland have won the first game of the Series – the Maroons have gone on to win the Series 82% of the time. For NSW that win ratio is lower at 70%. (1980/81 excluded for first game/series calculations).
- It’s 76% overall for a G1 winner to win the series, but that drops to 72% when the first game is played at a regular home ground (not neutral).
- It’s 100% for G1 winners to win the Series since Covid in 2020.
- Starting in 2006, the last seven times that the first game has been played at the Olympic Stadium, Queensland have gone on to win the series that year. Regardless of if they won the first game or not.
- Queensland have won the last three games at the Sydney Olympic Stadium which doubles as Game One of the series (2015, 2016, 2022). The Maroons have got on to win the series on all three of those occasions.
State of Origin Record @ MCG
NSW definitely hold the upper hand overall, but there’s a few quirks.
- The only win for Queensland at the MCG was with Fatty’s 1995 side.
- NSW hold the upper hand for Game Two at the MCG and Victoria with 3-1 and 4-1 respectively.
State of Origin Record @ Neutral Grounds
NSW definitely hold the upper hand overall, but there’s a few quirks.
- NSW hold the overall H2H record at neutral grounds but look at that Game Two advantage – 6 wins to 1.
State of Origin Other Facts
- Game Two is the lowest scoring game of the series on average.
- NSW lead Qld in Game Two scoring but are even further ahead in recent seasons. The last ten seasons the Blues lead 23 points to 15, and in the last three seasons it is 25 v 15.
State of Origin Player Comparisons
Here we take the Game Two squads and compare their 2024 stats side by side.
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