NRL Betting Round 13 Preview – Powered by GurglerBet

Here is our big NRL Betting Round 13 Preview, with a focus on betting and stats.

For those who like a punt, or just a stats fan in general,, we have a load of good gear below. With the finest in big price same game multis to chew on.

Grab your pencils, and get ready for some “quality” NRL Betting Round 13 tips.

ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v SYDNEY ROOSTERS

Refer to this article for our tips for this game.

We were a bit late here.

So close to a $476 same game multi.

MANLY WARRINGAH SEA EAGLES v NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS

Warriors travel not far down the road from the Central Coast to try and get some lucky numbers up at Lottoland. The gulf in betting provides some value given the Warriors won last start, and Manly were well beaten by Penrith.

Both teams are down a five eighth for different reasons.  

The Warriors are also down a prospective new head coach after Todd Payten turned them down full time. Now there’s no excuse not to bring in the Walker brothers. The perfect fit.

Both teams also need to start winning to be any chance for final eight. For one team more than the other it would be almost a miracle.

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Warriors have won all the Friday night clashes – 1/1.
• Manly haven’t played the Warriors at Brookvale since 2011. They have met in Auckland, Christchurch, Perth,Central Coast, and ANZ Stadium.
• Manly’s win over the Cowboys a few weeks back broke a run of nine losses on Friday v all sides.
• The Warriors only win in August last season was v Manly.

• The Over 38.5 points looks quite achievable.
• New Zealand’s second halves are top every second game.
• Warriors have either won or stayed under this week’s margin line in five of the last six games.

• Another top first try scorer that is unavailable.
• With second rowers next best for first try perhaps Curtis Sironen is worth a go at first try scorer.
• Cade Cust tops Manly’s last try scorers and it back this week.
• Interchange may be an option at odds for either side.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Warriors +11.5 start
Over 38.5 points
Cade Cust to score anytime

@ $17.50

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS v BRISBANE BRONCOS

Another week of Bennett v Seibold banter leading into this clash, Seibold has done very well to be more dislikable than Bennett, who must be privately allowing himself a sneaky smirk at the depth of the Broncos troubles.

As for betting Bennett’s Souths are strong favourites to add some Saxa onto the Broncos troubles this week with a short-ish price. 

Based on the relative way these teams finished off their games last weekend, and their second halves in general it looks like a Souths win.

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Broncos have won one game in Sydney under Anthony Seibold.
• Wayne Bennett has won the last five clashes between these sides in Sydney. Last season with Souths, and the previous four with Brisbane.
• Broncos have won just one of their last five Friday night games outside of Qld.
• Souths are 3/4 on a Friday at ANZ Stadium under Bennett.

• As per above Bennett stats, and the odds, Souths look likely for the win.
• Both sides score more points in the first half than second
• The +/-18.5 points for first half looks entertaining, as the average points scored in the first half for both sides would get close to that.
• Despite going terrible, the 38.5 total points is worth a go,

• When you are scoring zero points in the second half as often as Brisbane are, they are going to be few opportunities for last try scorer. 
• Go with one of the Souths wingers for last try value.
• First try is worth a shot on Kotoni Staggs, who has been simply Brisbane’s best, and may be spurred on by his adult world cameo during the week.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Souths to Win

Total Points +38.5

Broncos +5.5 start for first half

Alex Johnston to score anytime second half

Kotoni Staggs to score anytime first half.

@ $42.75

MELBOURNE STORM v CANTERBURY BANKSTOWN BULLDOGS

The Storm come into this game with a price around the distance between the fans at last weekend’s game v Newcastle.

It should be a more socially distanced match on the Sunshine Coast this weekend. Perhaps it is the tutt-tutts they got from their match last weekend, or the fact that the Bulldogs don’t play the most exiting brand of rugby league.

Melbourne’s record in Queensland should mean the Storm light up the Sunshine Coast.

Otherwise there could be scattered showers in the coaches box.

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Melbourne have won their last 14 games in Queensland. And five of the last six before that.
• The Storm’s only loss in Queensland to a NSW side was to the Bulldogs in Mackay in 2012.
• Melbourne have the second best winning % on a Saturday since 1998 (66%) while the Bulldogs are fourth (58%)
• The Bulldogs have a 51.2% winning record v Melbourne since 1998. They are the only team with a record over 50% against the Storm.

• The average points and visual above for total points leans towards going for the under 40.5.
• The stats also point to the second half producing the most points. Both teams are over 50% for highest scoring half. The 21.5 for the second half could be an entertaining ride if the game gets boring.
• The Bulldogs average 6 points in the first half, the worst in the competition.

• Wingers are the key to the first try of this game, and Josh Addo-Carr seemingly getting back to his best each week, we say he is the best bet.
• Then why not double down on the Fox for last try too. 
• Although Christian Crichton is a good show too, but Storm do score the last try twice as much.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Melbourne to win
Total Points Under 40.5
First try Addo-Carr
Last try Addo-Carr

@ $95.50

NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS v WESTS TIGERS

A battle of two teams stumbling their way through the last month or so. Wests Tigers priming themselves for another 9th place finish, the for and against from the Broncos game not long will help.

Newcastle have dropped off lately and need to get back to winning ways.

The Knights win earlier in the season was one of the last games of rugby league before the big lockdown. At which stage the Tigers were just outside the top eight…

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• The Tigers have won on their last three visits to Newcastle.
• But they have also lost the only two Saturday games in Newcastle.
• Wests Tigers have gone LWLWLWL in their last seven games on a Saturday.

• Given the overall points in this game since 1998, and the recent points totals as highlighted above, the over 38.5 looks like a good thing.
• Load up on the Tigers in the first half. They are offering Over 6.5 for the first half for the Tigers, who are averaging double that.
• Wests Tigers first half of 13.1 average points is the second best this season.

• A real mixed bag for the first try scorer for both sides.
• A trend towards wingers for the Tigers, but the Knights have also scored the last try over 50%.
• Centres lead the way for the Knights, but their highest last try scorer Bradman Best isn’t in the centres this week. Why not Enari Tuala who also features for the first try.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Over 38.5 Points
David Nofoaluma to score 2+ Tries
Wests Tigers 1st Half over 6.5 Points
Enari Tuala to score anytime

@ $29.50

PENRITH PANTHERS v CANBERRA RAIDERS

Better to be lucky than good? Fox Sports just always seem to have the best game of the week every Saturday. This match being no exception.

Or maybe it is Fox have fewer agendas when it comes to picking games.

Either way, works for us. Decent betting match too, with the most open game for odds so far.

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Penrith have scored 98 points in their last two Saturday games. And won their last four.
• Canberra have the third worst win % on a Saturday with 43.1%. Gold Coast and Wests Tigers are worse.
• Canberra have won their last three against Sydney sides.
• It’s 22-22 for the H2H result from 1998.
• Penrith have the advantage on the Saturday (58%-42%) but Canberra have the upper hand on 

• With only one game less than the 34.5 points Total Points offered in the last 5 seasons in this H@H (by half a point) the Over 34.5 points looks a special. Especially given Penrith hot recent scoring form coming into this contest.
• Penrith have scored between 19 and 22 points in five of the last seven games. The other two were big wins as above in our point on Saturday games for the Panthers.
• Both teams have at least a 50% record of winning the second half.
• Penrith have the upper hand for average points scored in the first and second half.
• When Penrith have won in the past 5 seasons the average winning margin is under four points.

• Penrith have scored the first try in an incredible 11/ 12 Matches. Wingers making up almost half of those.
• Both team’s record is very good for the last try scorers.
• Second row is a different position option for last try scorer, and perhaps John Bateman wants to make up for lost time.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Penrith to win
Canberra+6.0 start
Total Points over 35.5 points
John Bateman to score anytime in second half

@ $82

GOLD COAST TITANS v NORTH QUEENSLAND

You could say at least one Queensland team should win this weekend, but that would be ruling out a draw in an awful season for Queensland teams.

You could claim also that the Titans are playing better than their more fancied intrastate rivals too.,

Perhaps it is about time the Titans grabbed a win over the Cowboys.

But Michael Morgan has returned.

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Gold Coast last beat the Cowboys in March 2014.
• It’s 50-50 for games on a Sunday between these sides.
• Gold Coast have lost their last four home matches on a Sunday at CBUS Stadium.
• The Titans have won just once in August since 2017.

• Given how terrible the stats are for both sides for 1st and 2nd Half wins, perhaps a draw at half time is the value, fence sitting bet.
• The recent margin results are stacked in the favour of a better Cowboys side, but the 3.5 start is a little cheap.
• Both teams have the worst second half wins in the competition at 17%, so perhaps a draw might not be too far a call to make.
• Combining recent form, average points per half this season, and the overall point scored, the Under 42.5 looks a good bet.

• With these teams scoring first on only six of the available 24 occasions, it is hard to pick a first try scorer for this match. 
• The last try scorer looks a little easier to pick, as we’re going for the Coast’s leading last try scorer Phillip Sami to do the job.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Either side to win by 6 or less – Tribet Margin
Draw at Half Time
Phillip Sami to score anytime in the second half

@ $63

CRONULLA SHARKS v PARRAMATTA EELS

An all Sydney clash on a Sunday at 4pm? Surely not. 

Cronulla have a decent record against Parramatta lately, 

QUICK MATCH FACTS

• Parramatta have struggled away to Sydney sides this year. Two losses and one close win over the Bulldogs last time out.
• Sharks have won their last three Sunday clashes
• Cronulla are 1/3 at Kogarah this season.
• Sharks have won the only Sunday clash between these sides.

• Sharks have the wood over Parramatta in the last five seasons, and this week’s margin of 6.5 start has been crossed on all but one occasion. But that was when Cronulla were playing better, and the Eels significantly worse.
• Parramatta, along with Penrith, lead the competition for second half wins at a healthy 75%.
• Total points at 39.5 could be interesting, but the H2H doesn’t show that the total of points scored in the last six Sharks games was 362 at over 60 points a game.
• Parramatta’s second half burst it might be best to look at second half totals for them.

• Both team are at 67% for first try this season, and there are a plethora of options for first try scorer.
• Braden Hamlin-Uele seems to like to first and last, and is worth another shot at first try scorer again this week.

THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI

Cronulla +6.5 start
Total Points Over 38.5
Braden Hamlin-Uele to score anytime
Second Half Points Over 19.5

@ $18.25